[yisman]

I think I'll skip the early games and go with one pick tonight. Going against St. Mary's.

[mikejamm]

I posted the other 13 points in the Jan thread.

You can cover me next month.

======================
Thanks Brad! I've got you covered for Feb. bro! Yeah I lost 300pts on a NBA prop and it screwed my whole month! Thanks again for covering for me man, it kinda fun to have a streak group here on SBR to play a monthly pts contest.

[yisman]

wish I could forfeit and take sacramento

Loyola getting trashed on their homecourt

[CupWanted]

putting my W1 on Uzbekistan and the W/D option. I'll take the -125 favorite.

[lordswing]

Anything better than rider aor?

[mikejamm]

Man I got snookered into taking that Cleveland State 3 pt prop and they're getting their asses handed to them by Butler!

[CupWanted]

Theres a bone out there today. Baylor straight up over Tech. w3 on it. Moneyline is -190-220.

Utah St. Nevada under 144 looks good too.

[ronjon619]

Theres a bone out there today. Baylor straight up over Tech. w3 on it. Moneyline is -190-220.

Utah St. Nevada under 144 looks good too.

I jumped the Baylor also. Looks like a gift.

[yisman]

Well, that was predictable. -250 loses.

This was my first SftC fade in like two weeks, though, and I did win a few bucks out of it.

[CupWanted]

Blew a w5 last night on San Jose St. Idaho played in Hawaii the night before then beat SJSU on their home floor. Blah. Taking Baltimore.

[yisman]

I thought I'd get screwed out of a pick by italian soccer somehow taking over 1:55, but since the bowl game isn't until 9, I can take college basketball.

I had thought bowl would be at 8, meaning I'd need to take NFL to pick it.

[ronjon619]

i really like the Reno pick tonight. I think they blow BC out.

[yisman]

I wouldn't be so sure about that.

[ronjon619]

why is that? Reno up tempo spread offense and BC with a slow run on 1st and 2nd then throw on 3rd and long. I think Reno covers that 7 and a hook.

[losturmarbles]

i really like the Reno pick tonight. I think they blow BC out.

I think they will too

-9.5 is +111/-128 or ~46% probability

[yisman]

I don't think BC is getting the credit they deserve.

Solid defense and I don't see them getting blown out.

Nevada is the better team, but expecting a multiple TD blowout is a bit much.

[lordswing]

go koreans

[yisman]

Had a bunch on Australia ML -1200 at Bodog, a good price. That came through.

Obviously I picked South Korea for the SftC prop. Probably doesn't matter much if they win or not, considering I'm only at W2 and everyone will take them, basically.

[CupWanted]

Putting my W2 on S. Korea also. BOL to us. Don't know if I like anything else today/tonight.

[ouman101]

Had a bunch on Australia ML -1200 at Bodog, a good price. That came through. Obviously I picked South Korea for the SftC prop. Probably doesn't matter much if they win or not, considering I'm only at W2 and everyone will take them, basically.

Wish I would have seen this one. I didn't even really look at it. I figured it would be one of those toss up games, and I don't know very much about soccer.

[yisman]

South Korea ML was -216 at Pinnacle when I posted that.

[ouman101]

South Korea ML was -216 at Pinnacle when I posted that.

Yeah, those are the things I look for when picking these. It seems like once a day there will be a prop that has a lot of value on one side. Even last night with USC against UCLA. USC was favored by 5 and you just needed to pick either side straight up.

[yisman]

I don't like anything tonight.

I think I'll take Crawley this afternoon.

It's going to suck if I lose because then I'll have to pick these complete toss-ups tonight, like Newton first half yards or longest TD.

[ronjon619]

take ND....that one looks too easy.

[Optional]

They locked the Bruins Penguins game way before it has started for some reason

[yisman]

I decided on Marquette at about 6:55, despite the Crawley Town outright win earlier.

Pretty sure I can keep myself from picking the bowl stuff if this wins, though.

[losturmarbles]

I think this is going to be one of those nights where all the dogs win

[yisman]

Do you mean the lower percentage picks? If you want dogs, there's really nothing on the board.

[losturmarbles]

No, I was referring to the underdog moneylines. I don't really pay attention to the espn % that much, sometimes I guess. But I tend to believe that the public is 99.99% irrelevant. That any line movement blamed on the public is either sportsbook manipulation or syndicate manipulation.

Looks like Marq is handling ND, so that's 1 fav win. Let's see if Charlotte, Boston, Oregon, and Colorado can come through. I was thinking Colorado was a dog too, but after just checking it's 50/50 with a lean on Col.

[yisman]

marbles, what I was telling you is that there was very little in terms of underdogs tonight.

You had Charlotte +3.5 and ND +3.5 but that's it.

The rest of the stuff was all close to pick'em.

Detroit was like -110, Pittsburgh was like -120, Oregon was like -115.

Tonight couldn't be a big SftC underdog night regardless of what happened. No big underdogs, and the only real underdogs you had were two moderate basketball dogs.

[yisman]

Just to reinforce what I was saying, two teams that were "underdogs" this morning closed as favorites: Colorado Avalanche and Oregon Ducks.

[losturmarbles]

you're right, I wasn't paying much attention to it earlier, more just going by memory from some of the wagers I made. Didn't realize Oregon closed as a fav until you just mentioned it. I didn't even pay attention to the second half of your post earlier either, distractions ...
yeah I realize there wasn't any heavy dogs, but it seemed like the timing was right for one of those nights, but like you said a lot of close to 50/50 games.

[yisman]

not sure where revnecro is, but this is a night he'd be loving because almost all the lower %s won.

Only high percentage that came through was Newton yards.

@ Colorado Avalanche (22-15-6)510.2%

Boston Bruins (22-12-7)4Final
13.9%
@ Marquette Golden Eagles (12-5)7911.7%@ Charlotte Bobcats (14-21)9610.9%

[lordswing]

auburn FGs made vs. spread is interesting

[CupWanted]

Gonna put my W3 on Birmingham W/D so I have a reason to watch the game today. West Ham sucks tho so I think it has a good shot at hitting. As for later it's another tough night. Biggest favorites are Mich. St., Tenn. both at around -160. I like the Capitals to win in Florida but that's close to a pick em game.