1. #1
    pavyracer
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    Bowl Opening Lines System

    As some of you know I have been tracking the college games for the last 5 weeks based on where the opening line opens in relation to the numbers 3, 7, 10, 14. Based on this limited sample it appears tracking the numbers 3 and 7 gave the best results.

    The system is so simple even a caveman can do it. I basically bet against the -2.5 & -6.5 opening lines and in favor of the -3.5 & -7.5 lines.

    So for the Bowl games here are the plays (lines posted are opening lines and are not current or closing lines so you may never get that number when betting). Also for those who tracked the system before when I posted plays I’m giving the actual plays here since you already know how the system works by now:

    So here are the 10 games that fit into this system. Some of the games didn’t have the hook as opening line in all major books or the juice was high on the +3 for example.

    Fresno St +2.5
    Louisville -3.5
    Georgia Tech +2.5
    NC State +2.5
    Maryland -7.5
    SMU -8
    Syracuse +2.5
    Tennessee +2.5
    Wisconsin +2.5
    Kentucky +2.5

    Again do your own diligence and figure what plays will work best for you. This system does not track team’s past performance in Bowls, suspended players, weather conditions, etc. It’s purely based on the location of the hook in the opening lines on the numbers 3 and 7.

    Good luck with your Bowl selections this year.
    Points Awarded:

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    manny24 gave pavyracer 37 SBR Point(s) for this post.

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    wunwun gave pavyracer 15 SBR Point(s) for this post.


  2. #2
    konck
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    Dogs win a lot of bowl games ...

  3. #3
    Doc JS
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    Interesting, Paver...

    Doc

  4. #4
    dodger33
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    How has it performed in the past?

  5. #5
    pavyracer
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    Quote Originally Posted by dodger33 View Post
    How has it performed in the past?
    I only tracked it for the last 5 weeks:

    5-1
    5-1
    5-0
    7-3 (some say it was 8-1-1 or 9-1 depending on the line you got for CF/SMU and Oklahoma/Nebraska games)
    1-0

  6. #6
    BIGDAY
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    Thanks for the tip. BOL!

  7. #7
    cadillac pete
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    Looking forwared to see how it works out.

  8. #8
    jonesda
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    thanks pavy good luck.

  9. #9
    kfranz31
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    thanks for the info will definitely watch how this progresses

  10. #10
    thebestthereis
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    geico

  11. #11
    TheGambler
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    Any system developed by Paver has to be worth looking into. I will blindly put $100 on each of these!!

  12. #12
    Richkas
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    Good Luck Pavy

  13. #13
    Heandog
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    good luck intrestering gonna keep a eye open on this

  14. #14
    zam77
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    Quote Originally Posted by pavyracer View Post
    I only tracked it for the last 5 weeks:

    5-1
    5-1
    5-0
    7-3 (some say it was 8-1-1 or 9-1 depending on the line you got for CF/SMU and Oklahoma/Nebraska games)
    1-0

    wow... that's to good to be true. thanks pavy

  15. #15
    pavyracer
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    Quote Originally Posted by zam77 View Post
    wow... that's to good to be true. thanks pavy
    Hey zam there are a couple old threads where I posted these plays. Some guys made good money playing these.

  16. #16
    BiffTFinancial
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    i've been watching this study of yours the last couple of weeks, pavy. nice work. i think you're onto something.

  17. #17
    wunwun
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    Quote Originally Posted by pavyracer View Post
    Hey zam there are a couple old threads where I posted these plays. Some guys made good money playing these.
    Thank you!
    BOL

  18. #18
    iloseagain
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    fresno st shit the bed haha

  19. #19
    Pete0
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    Pavy, do u think this affects the selections ?

    For example, today on the louisville/So Miss game. the hook is shifted to the other team. the line is 2.5

  20. #20
    pavyracer
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    Quote Originally Posted by Pete0 View Post
    Pavy, do u think this affects the selections ?

    For example, today on the louisville/So Miss game. the hook is shifted to the other team. the line is 2.5
    No I will stick to the opening lines. The closing lines are not factored into this system.

  21. #21
    VegasInsider
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    Thanks for the tip, sounds reasonable.

  22. #22
    DroppinDimes
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    Louisville -2 last night = WINNER!!!

  23. #23
    kydchi
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    thank you for the due diligence and best of luck.

  24. #24
    zam77
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    got this in too early at -3, but i'll take the push... seems like there's bound to be one of those according to the system anyhow

  25. #25
    harlee71
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    Nicky Santoro says its important to beat the closing line.

  26. #26
    Punter4Life
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    Quote Originally Posted by pavyracer View Post
    As some of you know I have been tracking the college games for the last 5 weeks based on where the opening line opens in relation to the numbers 3, 7, 10, 14. Based on this limited sample it appears tracking the numbers 3 and 7 gave the best results.

    The system is so simple even a caveman can do it. I basically bet against the -2.5 & -6.5 opening lines and in favor of the -3.5 & -7.5 lines.

    So for the Bowl games here are the plays (lines posted are opening lines and are not current or closing lines so you may never get that number when betting). Also for those who tracked the system before when I posted plays I’m giving the actual plays here since you already know how the system works by now:

    So here are the 10 games that fit into this system. Some of the games didn’t have the hook as opening line in all major books or the juice was high on the +3 for example.

    Fresno St +2.5
    Louisville -3.5
    Georgia Tech +2.5
    NC State +2.5
    Maryland -7.5
    SMU -8
    Syracuse +2.5
    Tennessee +2.5
    Wisconsin +2.5
    Kentucky +2.5

    Again do your own diligence and figure what plays will work best for you. This system does not track team’s past performance in Bowls, suspended players, weather conditions, etc. It’s purely based on the location of the hook in the opening lines on the numbers 3 and 7.

    Good luck with your Bowl selections this year.
    How's this working out?

  27. #27
    Joe Sharp
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  28. #28
    pavyracer
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    Quote Originally Posted by Punter4Life View Post
    How's this working out?
    It's 1-1 or 0-1-1 depending on when you bet Louisville.

  29. #29
    Todd2122
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    Compared to other teams, how do you like GA Tech tomorrow? Lost 4 of last 5 games.

  30. #30
    illfuuptn
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    running hot. not a real system

  31. #31
    RunEmHard
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    GT missing quite a bit of players due to disciplinary reasons , you still think they going to cover?
    I dont think so.
    Liking Airforce -3.

  32. #32
    pavyracer
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    Quote Originally Posted by Todd2122 View Post
    Compared to other teams, how do you like GA Tech tomorrow? Lost 4 of last 5 games.
    Quote Originally Posted by illfuuptn View Post
    running hot. not a real system
    Quote Originally Posted by RunEmHard View Post
    GT missing quite a bit of players due to disciplinary reasons , you still think they going to cover? I dont think so. Liking Airforce -3.
    System is not based on players missing. So if you think missing players will have an effect on game don't play it. This system is not based on team's current form, missing players, etc.

  33. #33
    pavyracer
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    Big Day today boys with 3 games on the line. 3-2 so far.

  34. #34
    shaggy3000
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    need a turn around in this SMU game to start it off right. and a BIG finish from Tennesse!!!!!!!!!!!!!

  35. #35
    bigdaddyjames
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    very good picking there >>> wish you would post somethingbefore the games start so i can see what you are on .....

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