Going with the Mets today.

**brahmabull117** · 08-23-11, 06:15 PM

Originally posted by BigDofBA

I'm not against betting favorites, I actually made a thread about it. That being said, I don't understand how some people here think that constantly betting -200 or more favorites is the key to success..

you gotta make good picks to win, it doesn't matter if they're favorites or not

I have no problem taking a - 200 favorite when it's a scorching hot team playing against a really bad team on a terrible losing streak

I want nothing to do with a - 200 favorite if it's lincecum pitching with that godawful giants offense

You gotta play the right favorites, just like you gotta play the right underdogs. Neither style of betting is better, it's all about what you're comfortable with

**warriorfan707** · 08-23-11, 06:17 PM

Originally posted by BigDofBA

I'm not against betting favorites, I actually made a thread about it. That being said, I don't understand how some people here think that constantly betting -200 or more favorites is the key to success.

If it was as easy as betting the best teams all the time, everyone would be rich. Sure you can win like 4 or 5 in a row and make some money but once you lose a couple you're bankroll is hurting.

The best teams win like 66% of the time and anything can happen on any given night.

The worst team in baseball, the Astros, which have a minor league lineup just won a series against the defending world champions. Crazy stuff happens.

In certain situations I would like to place small risks that yield larger gains. I did that tonight with the Mets. I don't totally expect them to win but I feel like there is a good enough chance to take a shot.

I love when people bet large favorites and then complain about how they got "unlucky". Being "unlucky" in baseball happens all the time so you might as well be on the lucky side once in a while at + money.

And for the record, I took the Reds, Braves, and Angels tonight so I play favs as well.

Noone said to constantly bet -200s. Its about knowing when to do it and when not to do it. Sometimes betting -200's are the best bets there are. Sweat free ballgame thats over by the 4th inning. Good for my blood pressure...

(In before someone comes out of bushes and says no lead in MLB is safe) False, plenty of leads are safe. All the ones that don't get blown are safe.

**Cougar Bait** · 08-23-11, 06:18 PM

Good luck lakerboy

**brahmabull117** · 08-23-11, 06:18 PM

Originally posted by warriorfan707

Noone said to constantly bet -200s. Its about knowing when to do it and when not to do it. Sometimes betting -200's are the best bets there are. Sweat free ballgame thats over by the 4th inning. Good for my blood pressure...

(In before someone comes out of bushes and says no lead in MLB is safe) False, plenty of leads are safe. All the ones that don't get blown are safe.

the mets are on auto fade for me right now anyways... 5-16 their last 21 games

**BigDofBA** · 08-23-11, 06:19 PM

OK. Well I'm totally cool with picking your spots. That being said, I haven't taken a team great than like -170 this year. That's just because I haven't felt it was a good enough spot.

I've actually done decent fading CC when he is -200 or greater.

Anyway, the Mets are already threatening. Should be a good game.

**lakerboy** · 08-23-11, 06:20 PM

only the mets will get nothing here

**brahmabull117** · 08-23-11, 06:22 PM

Originally posted by BigDofBA

. I've actually done decent fading CC when he is -200 or greater.

how the hell is this possible??

the yankees have only lost 2 game CC started this year except for his games against Boston and Tampa Bay (none of those were -200 favorites I don't believe because he faced Price and Shields in the 2 tampa losses and obviously he's never gonna get -200 against Boston)

and the overwhelming majority of those wins were blowouts wins, so I know you're not making any money on the runline

**warriorfan707** · 08-23-11, 06:22 PM

Thats New York Mets baseball for you. Best rally they've had since 1988, and we head to the bottom of the 1st scoreless.

**No coincidences** · 08-23-11, 06:23 PM

Ballgame.

Teams that can't get anything out of bases loaded, first inning situations rarely win.

Fvcking Mets.

**lakerboy** · 08-23-11, 06:23 PM

mets will have worley in trouble all night long.

**No coincidences** · 08-23-11, 06:23 PM

Originally posted by lakerboy

only the mets will get nothing here

You obviously didn't watch the Cubs last night.

7 hits and 5 walks through 5 innings -- 0 runs and 11 LOB.

**BigDofBA** · 08-23-11, 06:23 PM

Originally posted by brahmabull117

how the hell is this possible?? the yankees have only lost 2 game CC started this year except for his games against Boston and Tampa Bay (none of those were -200 favorites I don't believe because he faced Price and Shields in the 2 tampa losses and obviously he's never gonna get -200 against Boston) and the overwhelming majority of those wins were blowouts wins, so I know you're not making any money on the runline

LOL. I think I've only bet against him twice and I think those were the two games. I believe one was a Saturday and the other one was Sunday night baseball. Don't remember though.

Twins mabye????? I don't remember.

**Jago2008** · 08-23-11, 06:23 PM

Men on 1st and 2nd one out, Bases loaded and two outs... and nothing. I'm not here to hate, but that is ridiculous they couldn't plate a run. And I have the Phils in this one.

Don't hate, appreciate.

**BigDofBA** · 08-23-11, 06:25 PM

Originally posted by No coincidences

Ballgame. Teams that can't get anything out of bases loaded, first inning situations rarely win. Fvcking Mets.

You've noticed that too???

I think you've caught on to the fade whatever the lock is on this fourm. Last year I made most of my money fading Rubberband plays.

**brahmabull117** · 08-23-11, 06:25 PM

Originally posted by BigDofBA

LOL. I think I've only bet against him twice and I think those were the two games. I believe one was a Saturday and the other one was Sunday night baseball. Don't remember though. Twins mabye????? I don't remember.

so you took him on the 2 times the yankees lost instead of the 18 times the yankees won in CC starts...and you think you can make money fading CC???

**BettingWizard** · 08-23-11, 06:32 PM

**No coincidences** · 08-23-11, 06:36 PM

Wow.

**hawley** · 08-23-11, 06:36 PM

Unreal. This will be the story of the game

**No coincidences** · 08-23-11, 06:38 PM

Originally posted by hawley

Unreal. This will be the story of the game

I'm telling you: Vance Worley has a deal with the devil.

I've seen it all year long. The guy defies all logic.

**BettingWizard** · 08-23-11, 06:38 PM

Under is definitely gold now

**apeterlives** · 08-23-11, 06:38 PM

wow mets just cannot get a hit when they need it hopefully they keep getting on

**Jago2008** · 08-23-11, 06:38 PM

Wow the Mets Offense not doing Niese any favors...

U have men on 3rd and 2nd w/ no outs, then follow w/ 3 straight SOs performance. GJ

**No coincidences** · 08-23-11, 06:39 PM

Four stranded in scoring position through two innings with backward K's to end both. That's hard to do.

**Romanianbornwin** · 08-23-11, 06:40 PM

Vance Worley has been getting lucky the whole year. One of these starts, he is gonna get hammered.

**brahmabull117** · 08-23-11, 06:40 PM

and that's why they're the mutts

**lakerboy** · 08-23-11, 06:41 PM

its all good. its never easy to win these types of bets. worley pitch count up slowly. guy will make a mistake eventually.

**paco** · 08-23-11, 06:46 PM

Originally posted by Romanianbornwin

Vance Worley has been getting lucky the whole year. One of these starts, he is gonna get hammered.

Ever occur to u that he is just really good?

**BettingWizard** · 08-23-11, 06:47 PM

mets bettors need a 2-1 type game, no way they score more than 3 runs after what has happened so far

**Romanov** · 08-23-11, 06:52 PM

Originally posted by BettingWizard

mets bettors need a 2-1 type game, no way they score more than 3 runs after what has happened so far

I don't understand your logic. These are relatively independent trials of batters facing a pitcher. If anything, it has shown they can beat Worley

**BettingWizard** · 08-23-11, 06:54 PM

teams that blow scoring chances early on usually don't score much the entire game

**Romanov** · 08-23-11, 06:55 PM

Originally posted by BettingWizard

teams that blow scoring chances early on usually don't score much the entire game

You have a selective memory in this situation. Of course these instances will stand out in your mind.

**Romanianbornwin** · 08-23-11, 07:03 PM

Originally posted by paco

Ever occur to u that he is just really good?

His numbers in minor leagues weren't "really good" and he allows a lot of hits and escapes from a lot of jams.

**warriorfan707** · 08-23-11, 07:10 PM

Ballgame. So much for Niese

**Ninersnut** · 08-23-11, 07:10 PM

Half the phillies team is sitting. Unreal.

**lakerboy** · 08-23-11, 07:10 PM

Well its over now