Originally Posted by
TLD
I would strongly suggest that people be very wary of this outfit.
Obviously the “business model” makes zero sense. Very few people who play with this book and lose will be honorable enough to pay their debt; there will always be a way for stiffs to rationalize stiffing, as evidenced in this very threat. So the book’s income is going to be close to zero.
And unless they’re utterly retarded, they know that. So there’s something else going on. Many possibilities have been raised, some more plausible than others, and some more potentially dangerous than others. I have no idea which is the accurate one, but I don’t recommend getting involved with them and finding out the hard way which one it turns out to be.
As far as the “payments,” keep in mind several things:
1. Almost all the reports of payments have been by posters with virtually no previous posts. For whatever reason there are a great number of newbies to all these sites who were inspired to sign up and share with the world their consistently positive experiences at this book, and to assure everyone that they are definitely paying out. Take that for what it’s worth.
2. In a Ponzi scheme, early investors are paid in order to generate more trust from them and others. The scammers do not just pretend to pay or lie and say they will pay; they in fact do pay. So it’s entirely possible some early payouts are going out, and that it’s still a scam. A book like this could pay 20 people $1,000 each in order to get them and 180 others to cough up their personal information. So they wouldn’t end up paying $1,000 a head for it, but $100.
So it doesn’t have to be the case that everyone claiming to have been paid is lying or is a plant they sent in. The book might really be paying in the early stages and still be bogus. Or it could be a combination of both: They might be making a handful of legitimate payouts, and then augmenting that by sending in sham posters to give the impression there are a lot more payouts going out.
3. This is a point I really think needs to be driven home not just concerning this book, but banking in general, because it’s one of the main ways people lose so much to Nigerian scammers and such:
A bank accepting a check, cashing a check, “partially” cashing a check, etc. is NOT a guarantee that the check is good, or that they’re accepting responsibility for it if it is not. You will sometimes be paid for a bad check. But subsequently, when it’s been discovered it was bad, you’ll be liable to give the money back. So don’t breathe a sigh of relief when a check “clears” and think you’re now at zero risk.
Because there are many reasons your bank might accept a check from you and pay you, even though they don’t yet know for sure it’s good. One is simply that you have a large enough balance in your account to cover it. So even though it feels like you’re “cashing” the check, what’s really happening in effect is that you’re depositing the check and withdrawing an equal amount of your own money.
But even when your bank truly does release the money from the check to you, you’re not fully in the clear. Banks are playing the percentages and balancing different goals. For example, for a certain type of check deposited by a certain kind of customer, it may be that if they haven’t gotten any evidence of a problem within five days, that 98% of the time there’s no problem with the check. So they deem the check “cleared” after five days, and you have access to the money. But if they find out later your check is in the 2%, they’ll take the money right back. (In answer to the question of why don’t banks then wait until the evidence is closer to 100% that the check is good, first, they want to keep their customers happy by not having overly long hold periods, and second, certain banking regulations have been put in place over the years precisely to prevent banks erring too far on the side of “safety” and locking up people’s funds indefinitely.)
Again, this goes beyond just this book. When the Nigerians and their ilk send phony checks to people and ask for some much smaller amount in return, the way people get bilked is they think, “Ah ha! I’m no dummy! I won’t send them the money they want until I see if my bank will take their check.” Then they deposit the check, it “clears,” they send money to Nigeria, the bank finds out later the original check was bad after all, and the person now has to reimburse the bank for the phony check they deposited.
But to get back to this book, don’t be misled that these reports of received payments somehow outweigh the overwhelming evidence that this book’s “business model” is absurd and they can’t possibly operate indefinitely in the manner they claim. Because, one, some or most of the reports might be phony, two, the payouts might be part of a small Ponzi batch of legitimate early payouts to build trust that will quickly cease, and/or, three, some or all of the checks might be found out later to be bogus.