Heres One For All You Math Gurus

**Ganchrow** · 01-28-06, 04:35 PM

Originally posted by bigboydan

I was looking at these two lines offered at pinny on the aussie open. i've been trying to crunch these numbers to find the value, but i'm having a little trouble.

which do you feel is the better way to bet this match ?

Theoretical hold on the former is 2.24% and on the latter it's 1.15%. Hence, the money line offers lower vig.

**bigboydan** · 01-28-06, 04:42 PM

thanks for info ganchrow

**Ganchrow** · 01-28-06, 05:04 PM

For future reference if the money line on the favorite is F<-100 and the money line on the dog is D>=100. then the theoretical hold as a fraction of nominal is given by:

Code:

   100 * (F + D)
-------------------
 200F + FD - 10000

Similarly, for D<-100 and F<-100, the theoretical hold is given by:

Code:

     10000 - FD
---------------------
 100 * (F + D) - 2FD