[homie1975]

posted ATS playoffs 6-2
posted ML playoffs 0-1


I like the Heat here to stay within 9 with what is a rested Nuggets squad but I am thinking will be slightly rusty with timing etc after such a long layoff. practice is great but it is not a game vs a top flight opponent.


I like the 2 days rest and all of Thursday before the tip off for the Heat and a chance for guys like Vincent and Lowry to heal up a little bit.......

[bjb7223]

posted ATS playoffs 6-2
posted ML playoffs 0-1


I like the Heat here to stay within 9 with what is a rested Nuggets squad but I am thinking will be slightly rusty with timing etc after such a long layoff. practice is great but it is not a game vs a top flight opponent.


I like the 2 days rest and all of Thursday before the tip off for the Heat and a chance for guys like Vincent and Lowry to heal up a little bit.......

good luck

[asiagambler]

It's possible

Miami hasn't handled playing too well at Denver in the regular season in recent years though.

0-5 SU and ATS in last 5 at Denver with average margin of defeat of 15 points. (Bubble game not counted)

But stakes are obviously much higher here so maybe means nothing

[Josherzz1]

I agree, best of luck. I'm also on the Heat taking the points. Go Heat!
[IMG][/IMG]

[homie1975]

Thanks All for chiming in !

It looks like more 9's are flashing across the board now, but still mostly 8.5s.

[IBetYou]

It's possible

Miami hasn't handled playing too well at Denver in the regular season in recent years though.

0-5 SU and ATS in last 5 at Denver with average margin of defeat of 15 points. (Bubble game not counted)

But stakes are obviously much higher here so maybe means nothing

Good point. I had overlooked this (in my own private analysis!). No chance for them to climatize either. Like you say it mightn't mean much at this point.

[IBetYou]

Lets not say "it's possible" though. He's talking about a 50-50 prop.

Or am I to infer you're taking the Nuggets minus 9?

[asiagambler]

Lets not say "it's possible" though. He's talking about a 50-50 prop.

Or am I to infer you're taking the Nuggets minus 9?

The "It's possible" part is with respect to the reasoning he gave as in "Yes, it's possible the rust factor and the time off benefiting Miami more is what ultimately makes the difference in turning the 50-50 proposition into a 54-46 in favour of Miami +9"

[homie1975]

The "It's possible" part is with respect to the reasoning he gave as in "Yes, it's possible the rust factor and the time off benefiting Miami more is what ultimately makes the difference in deciding the 50-50 proposition"

if I thought it was just a 50/50 proposition then i would not have bet it.

[asiagambler]

if I thought it was just a 50/50 proposition then i would not have bet it.

52/48 ?

[IBetYou]

if I thought it was just a 50/50 proposition then i would not have bet it.

Yes, of course. Have you not heard of a 50-50 prop? It means from the perspective of the bookie, or more accurately the market.

[veriableodds]

looking at season +post play denver wins by an average of 4-5 points. Miami is lets say better than the average team.. Of the 8 categories that make the offensive/defensive stats denver stands out in 1. Model showing a 6 point advtg to denver, one would have to think +9 is a good# or value play.

[homie1975]

52/48 ?

54-46 in my mind

[getaloadoffatso]

posted ATS playoffs 6-2
posted ML playoffs 0-1


I like the Heat here to stay within 9 with what is a rested Nuggets squad but I am thinking will be slightly rusty with timing etc after such a long layoff. practice is great but it is not a game vs a top flight opponent.


I like the 2 days rest and all of Thursday before the tip off for the Heat and a chance for guys like Vincent and Lowry to heal up a little bit.......

I like the Heat plus the points as well
That's not good news for you or the Heat

[bjb7223]

let's go

[bjb7223]

terrible defensive strategy by the Heat

[Eddy Munny]

Heat had a chance for a backdoor and then some no-name scrub bounces the ball off his sack and out of bounds.

[homie1975]

6-3 ats
0-1 ml

[gauchojake]

Martingale that shit bruh

[IBetYou]

Indeed a good point AG. HEAT teams have struggled in this building dating all the way back to the Wade years.

[OldBill]

yup nuggets are not celtics they aree deep and have great bench and playing in that mile hi air kills you in 2nd half

NUGGETS all day every day series end in 5 or 6

made $50 play in casino on nuggets saw the win got cash more money for craps

[asiagambler]

Indeed a good point AG. HEAT teams have struggled in this building dating all the way back to the Wade years.

Cheers emoji

[RunBookRun]

...hard to bet Miami covers when it appears they absolutely will lose.

[homie1975]

the last 20y when miami went to denver it was probably just for a night or even off a B2B so they never had a chance to Climatize.

i am not saying they are a good bet in this series on the road each game, but rather that there are other factor(s) at play that might be a bit more favorable to their plight this time............

[bjb7223]

stop doubling Jokic

[veriableodds]

''One cannot succeed without failure first."
veri 2023

[bjb7223]

Butler needs to wake up or the Heat will be down 0-2. He is not in this game.

[2Sweeet]

Again if they keep Butler on the Bench r +8.5 is money. This guy is killing this team. I think he is hurt 100% If u can't play keep your ass on the bench. If I can see it the Nuggets know it. Fck him

[bjb7223]

good one Homie, I hope you got game 2

[titanium777]

Winner winner chicken dinner

[2Sweeet]

good one Homie, I hope you got game 2

Homie I called that when the Heat were down 9. Go look.. U think that Butlers 8 pts helped. Lol again go to bed. He gave up the 3 not getting back to make it a game. Then almost gave up another one. I'm done with this bs with u but u will hear Butler has some kind of injury to his left leg when the dust settles. Enjoy Wimbeldon

[homie1975]

i did not bet game 2

denver at home scares me too much LOL