1. 05-03-23 10:28 PM #1
    veriableodds
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    MLB bases 5/4

    volume value... will try 300 sample size
    wsh/+184
    det/+165
    pitt/+176
    laa/+130
    balt/-161
    minn/-128
    bstn/+153
    ptt/tb/ov-8/-115
    atl/mia/un-8.5/-110
    ok thats 9
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  2. 05-04-23 09:14 PM #2
    veriableodds
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    6-3 total 9/300 (+4.72 graded as flat 1u each play)
    5/5
    mia/cbs/u-9.5/-120
    hou/sea/ov-7/+100
    kc/-143
    thats 3
    Last edited by veriableodds; 05-04-23 at 09:21 PM. Reason: forgot the hook
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  3. 05-06-23 02:27 AM #3
    veriableodds
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    2-1 +0.83 total 12/300 (+5.55u)
    5/6
    mlw/+155
    blt/+225
    thats 2
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  4. 05-07-23 07:50 AM #4
    veriableodds
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    0-2 -2.00 total 14/300 (+3.55)
    5/7
    bst/phi/u-9.5/-110
    wsh/az/o-9/-115
    csw/cincy/u-10/-115
    bstn/+112
    tb/+108
    pick 5
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  5. 05-07-23 08:16 AM #5
    mjsuax13
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    Good luck today.
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  6. 05-07-23 08:36 AM #6
    veriableodds
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    Quote Originally Posted by mjsuax13 View Post
    Good luck today.

    you also

    wife is in for a suprise today, by the time she gets home the house will be repainted, and gonna make her some steak stir fry on the new out kitchen area(75% veggies 25% steak) lol...lol
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  7. 05-07-23 07:53 PM #7
    veriableodds
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    3-2 +0.86 19/300 (+4.41)
    5/8
    pitt/-158
    cws/kc/u-9/-120
    txs/+140
    3 plays
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  8. 05-08-23 07:57 AM #8
    veriableodds
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    one more add this doesn't happen very often, guess I forgot to catch it
    stl/cbs/o-7/-105
    4 plays
    Last edited by veriableodds; 05-08-23 at 07:57 AM. Reason: who knows?
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  9. 05-09-23 06:57 AM #9
    veriableodds
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    2-2 +0.03 Total 23/300 (+4.44)
    5/9
    pitt/-157
    nym/cinn/u-10.5/-125
    stl/chi/o-8/-105
    cws/kc/u-9.5/-125
    sd/mnn/u-9/-110
    wsh/sf/o-8/-120
    6 picks
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  10. 05-10-23 06:56 AM #10
    veriableodds
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    3-3 -0.34 29/300 (+4.10)
    5/10
    mlw/+152
    mia/+135
    tx/+175
    wsh/+139
    laa/+120
    cinn/+153
    kc/+130
    7
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  11. 05-10-23 09:07 PM #11
    veriableodds
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    4-3 +2.79 36/300 (+6.89u)
    taking Thursday off
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  12. 05-12-23 06:07 AM #12
    veriableodds
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    5/12
    blt/-147
    bst/-106
    tx/-165
    3 p
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  13. 05-12-23 09:42 AM #13
    mjsuax13
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    Quote Originally Posted by veriableodds View Post
    5/12
    blt/-147
    bst/-106
    tx/-165
    3 p
    Good luck today.
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  14. 05-13-23 06:44 AM #14
    veriableodds
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    1-2 -1.06 32/300 (+5.83)
    5/13
    cincy/+158
    det/+152
    atl/+115
    wsh/+129
    tx/-130
    bstn/-125
    clv/+109
    pitt/+157
    mlw/-159
    sd/+135
    hou/+117
    sfg/+165
    cld/+146
    13 p
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  15. 05-13-23 07:55 AM #15
    veriableodds
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    nyy/+121 add forgot
    14 p
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  16. 05-14-23 07:34 AM #16
    veriableodds
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    5-8-1 -2.7 46/300 (+3.13)
    5/14
    phi/cld/u-11/-110
    sf/az/o-8.5/-120
    nym/wsh/u-9/-110
    det/+160
    mlw/-158
    az/+135
    bst/+110
    hou/-129
    tx/-135
    9 p
    basically, just using league trends. Finding teams that are equal @ have value
    Straight Up Trends (Won Loss)


    Category Record Percent
    Away Teams 286-306 48.3%
    Home Teams 306-286 51.7%
    Favorites 342-248 58.0%
    Dogs 248-342 42.0%
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  17. 05-14-23 08:33 AM #17
    veriableodds
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    *side note
    after 100 picks I will be employing this theory, or strategy, link below. Obviously their will not be as much volume but better quality which will result into staying the season longer. Jesus I really didt want to get this proactive with just 300 picks
    Anyone wager these inherent type senario's??? (sportsbookreview.com)
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  18. 05-14-23 09:06 PM #18
    veriableodds
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    the nym/wsh was g1 sorry missed. Typically never play g2 of a dbl header
    7-2 +4.92 55/300 (+8.05)
    5/15
    bst/+104
    mlw/-105
    sea/bst/u-9.5/-115
    cnn/cld/u-11.5/-110
    4 p
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  19. 05-16-23 02:31 AM #19
    veriableodds
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    0-4 -4.00(holy shit lol) 59/300 (+4.05)
    5/16
    tb/+145
    mlw/+165
    az/-140
    ptt/det/o-8.5/-120
    4 p
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  20. 05-17-23 06:04 AM #20
    veriableodds
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    2-2 +1.10 63/300 (+5.15)
    5/17
    az/-157
    tb/+100
    mlw/-114
    3 p
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  21. 05-17-23 10:05 PM #21
    veriableodds
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    1-2 -1.36 66/300 (+3.79)
    5/18
    tb/+102
    clv/+129
    lad/-140
    3 p
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  22. 05-19-23 05:53 AM #22
    veriableodds
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    1-2 -0.71 69/300 (+3.08)
    5/19
    lad/-114
    blt/tor/0-9/-120
    2 p
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  23. 05-20-23 06:07 AM #23
    veriableodds
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    1-1 -0.12 71/300 (+2.96)
    5/20
    tx/-186
    tb/-185
    lad/+103
    atl/-142
    cbs/phi/u-9/-110
    5 p
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  24. 05-21-23 07:38 AM #24
    veriableodds
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    2-3 -1.88 76/300 (+1.08)
    5/21
    nyy/-147
    atl/-107
    tb/-136
    lad/-132
    4 p
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  25. 05-22-23 05:46 AM #25
    veriableodds
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    2-2 -0.39 80/300 (+0.69)
    5/22
    cnn/+175
    az/+186
    lad/+150
    det/+104
    4 p
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  26. 05-23-23 06:54 AM #26
    veriableodds
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    4-0 +6.15 84/300 (+6.84)
    5/23
    tb/-119
    nym/-105
    stl/cnn/u-10/+100
    hou/mlw/u-9.5/-110
    mia/cld/u-11.5/-105
    5 p
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  27. 05-23-23 06:56 AM #27
    ChuckyTheGoat
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    Quote Originally Posted by veriableodds View Post
    2-2 -0.39 80/300 (+0.69)
    5/22
    cnn/+175
    az/+186
    lad/+150
    det/+104
    4 p
    Nice.
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  28. 05-24-23 05:10 AM #28
    veriableodds
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    Quote Originally Posted by ChuckyTheGoat View Post
    Nice.

    thanks
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  29. 05-24-23 05:15 AM #29
    veriableodds
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    2-3 -1.14 89/300 (+5.74)
    5/24
    det/+104
    nym/cbs/o-6.5/-120
    oak/sea/o-8/-110
    3 p
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  30. 05-25-23 08:45 AM #30
    veriableodds
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    1-2 -0.94 92/300 (+4.80)
    5/25
    tb/-146
    atl/-105
    mlw/+112
    3 p
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  31. 05-26-23 06:19 AM #31
    veriableodds
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    2-1 +0.63 95/300 (+5.43)
    sd/nyy/u-9/-105
    nym/cld/u-11/+100
    bst/az/o-8.5/-105
    nyy/+110
    atl/-145
    wsh/+114
    6 p

    so for the last 199 plays
    -totals will be normal if model shows a 1 run adv =play
    -sides using basic model win% vs current line, if it yields over +105 it's a play example below..
    team a has 44% chance to win @ the line is +140 the value is 105.6 so its a play
    Last edited by veriableodds; 05-26-23 at 06:22 AM.
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  32. 05-27-23 01:11 AM #32
    veriableodds
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    4-2 +2.04 101/300 +7.47
    5/27
    will do the math first 3 days as to get the concept, its to time constraining 4 every pick
    phi/atl/u-9/-115
    lad/+107 (52.9% + +107=109.5 which is 4.5 over 105value) its the only pick im not betting the A's even if the line shows value, doubt Houston will have value
    2 p
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  33. 05-27-23 10:51 AM #33
    veriableodds
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    made a mistake betting into overnight lines, data inputs from previous nights stats. Now im seeing more value .. will just post late mornings now it appears to be a better indicator.
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  34. 05-27-23 10:58 AM #34
    veriableodds
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    rewrite 5/27 picks
    phi/atl/u-9/-115
    lad/+107
    sd/+145/ 4.5 over 105
    tor/+106/ 0.5 over 105
    cincy/+159/ 5 over 105
    5 p
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  35. 05-28-23 06:33 AM #35
    veriableodds
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    3-2 +1.53 106/300 +9.00u
    5/28
    wsh/-105/ (54% + -105 = 105.3) there are a few plays, but the math is to close-vs- record/home-adv just sticking to 1 p
    1 p
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