1. #1
    stevenash
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    Prop Bet I Really Like Today

    Isiah Pacheco OVER 46.5 Rushing Yards.


    Since Andy Reid doubled Isiah Pacheco's workload ten weeks ago and making him for all intents and purposes KC's lead back, this is what's he's done.

    In KC's last ten games (that includes last weeks Jax playoff game) Pacheco has ran the ball 138 times for 728 net yards, or 13.8 rush attempts and 72.8 net yards gained per game on the average if you will.

    Nothing in sports wagering is a lock, there's no such thing as free money or a guaranteed winner, but this in my opinion, 46.5 rush yards (DraftKings) total on a back who's been averaging over 72 yards per game is a soft number.

    Two things IMO can sink this prop bet, you still have to factor in McKinnon who by all means hasn't been benched, McKinnon still gets touches, he's just not their lead back any longer, and he's still Mahomes backfield pass option, so if he gets hot early McKinnon could see more of a workload, and providing there isn't an injury to Pacheco the only other thing that can sink this wager is if the Bengals go up big early and KC has to play catch up forcing Mahomes to pass for yardage.

    Go ahead, look at the game logs, or you can take my word on this, nine out of the last ten games Pacheco has ran for 50 yards plus, and the only game he didn't was the Denver game when Reid was playing it safe with his regulars in week 16, and KC won that game regardless.

    I get it, games are played on turf, not on Excel spreadsheets, but all things considered, 46.5 (47.5 now) is a very soft number.

    Isiah Pacheco OVER 46.5 Rushing Yards.
    110/100

    Best of luck all, enjoy the games.
    Your pal Nasher needs to lie down now, I've looked at a million numbers so far this morning and my head hurts.
    lol
    Points Awarded:

    MaltedHopsFrenzy gave stevenash 5 Betpoint(s) for this post.


  2. #2
    lakerboy
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    Good luck Nash.

  3. #3
    Easy-Rider 66
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    Get em Nash. like it as well

  4. #4
    Renegades
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    I think the number is lower because the strength of the cincy defense is against the rush. They’ve been really good vs the run with DJ Reader healthy.

  5. #5
    jackpot269
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    GL today Nash

  6. #6
    KnuckleHeadz
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    GL Nasher!

    Really like this Burrow over. 80513] TOTAL o20-120 (J BURROW RUSH YDS vrs J BURROW RUSH YDS)

    Would consider his rush attempts as well if my book offered it..

    I also got these for the first game.. just need one to hit to turn a profit
    NFL - SF/PHI - PLAYER ANYTIME TD
    SCORER
    [19048] DEEBO SAMUEL (SF) +140
    NFL - SF/PHI - PLAYER ANYTIME TD
    SCORER
    [19050] BRANDON AIYUK (SF) +220

  7. #7
    ChessPlayer1
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    Love that play!

  8. #8
    franz555
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    BOL Nash

  9. #9
    theboss4018
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    Quote Originally Posted by stevenash View Post
    Isiah Pacheco OVER 46.5 Rushing Yards.


    Since Andy Reid doubled Isiah Pacheco's workload ten weeks ago and making him for all intents and purposes KC's lead back, this is what's he's done.

    In KC's last ten games (that includes last weeks Jax playoff game) Pacheco has ran the ball 138 times for 728 net yards, or 13.8 rush attempts and 72.8 net yards gained per game on the average if you will.

    Nothing in sports wagering is a lock, there's no such thing as free money or a guaranteed winner, but this in my opinion, 46.5 rush yards (DraftKings) total on a back who's been averaging over 72 yards per game is a soft number.

    Two things IMO can sink this prop bet, you still have to factor in McKinnon who by all means hasn't been benched, McKinnon still gets touches, he's just not their lead back any longer, and he's still Mahomes backfield pass option, so if he gets hot early McKinnon could see more of a workload, and providing there isn't an injury to Pacheco the only other thing that can sink this wager is if the Bengals go up big early and KC has to play catch up forcing Mahomes to pass for yardage.

    Go ahead, look at the game logs, or you can take my word on this, nine out of the last ten games Pacheco has ran for 50 yards plus, and the only game he didn't was the Denver game when Reid was playing it safe with his regulars in week 16, and KC won that game regardless.

    I get it, games are played on turf, not on Excel spreadsheets, but all things considered, 46.5 (47.5 now) is a very soft number.

    Isiah Pacheco OVER 46.5 Rushing Yards.
    110/100

    Best of luck all, enjoy the games.
    Your pal Nasher needs to lie down now, I've looked at a million numbers so far this morning and my head hurts.
    lol
    Cash it Nasher!

  10. #10
    iwantcougars
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    aj brown o80 rec yds + phi win = +190

  11. #11
    MaltedHopsFrenzy
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    Get it Nasher! I was going to tail, but I’m now seeing the over @ -145, so forget that…..

  12. #12
    stevenash
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    Thanks all.

  13. #13
    Kermit
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    I got him over 69.5 +275

  14. #14
    DiggityDaggityDo
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    Get em, Nasher!

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