[jjgold]

Nobody even close to this team

Blowing out everyone

[agendaman]

yep JJ. they remember losing in the finals last year.

[pologq]

very very solid. freight train that is not stopping.

[stevenash]

Stephen A. said C's will win it all.

[jjgold]

Smart most underrated player NBA year after year

As long as Tatum does not think he is MJ last qtr they should win it all

[theboss4018]

They will even be better soon when the "Time Lord" returns! Robert Williams III

[Brock Landers]

They're wasting energy with regular season games

Ask golden st when they won 70+ games and lost in finals

[goduke]

Let’s see how they play in March and April. It’s a great start but a lot of teams are a mess right now. Starting hot doesn’t always equate to good results. Just ask the 73-9 warriors

[pologq]

agreed there is a lot more season. let's see where they are in march but i think they will be number 1 seed and the favorite by then.

[Greenline]

So much money to be made on the Bruins too.

[KVB]

Nobody even close to this team

Blowing out everyone

We’re just now entering the trudge of the NBA regular season, what will they look like in the spring? It’s possible to be too successful in the regular season, history shows.

[Nate rasta]

There peaking too soon.cant play like this the whole season

[stevenash]

There peaking too soon.cant play like this the whole season

Maybe, but I heard that about the 2016 Dubs too.

[Snowball]

martingale fade ?

[KVB]

martingale fade ?

So dangerous in the NBA.

If the market sees swelling bets riding a "due factor" it could induce a shakeout. We've seen it before.

You will probably limit the level and loss of martingale though, but many won't.

I suppose we can make different levels of responsible gaming, lol, but I don't really like that concept.

[Snowball]

So dangerous in the NBA.

If the market sees swelling bets riding a "due factor" it could induce a shakeout. We've seen it before.

You will probably limit the level and loss of martingale though, but many won't.

I suppose we can make different levels of responsible gaming, lol, but I don't really like that concept.

just talking. cable sports talking them up a lot too.

first question to take the prospect seriously would be SU or ATS.

then, pick a spot on the sched.

[Snowball]

ok so they are on west coast swing

Saturday Warriors
Monday Clippers
Tuesday Lakers

gonna win and cover all 3? see the Tuesday b2b

[KVB]

I'm not against that thinking at all Snowy. I'd of course add all this capping to it, but it's true we have ways of determining where a team is going based on where they are and where they have been.

Some of it's on paper, and some just subjective, which some can do well with.

The market will inflate and help us find those spots too.

[Snowball]

I'm not against that thinking at all Snowy. I'd of course add all this capping to it, but it's true we have ways of determining where a team is going based on where they are and where they have been.

Some of it's on paper, and some just subjective, which some can do well with.

The market will inflate and help us find those spots too.

maybe they cover Saturday, and again on Monday
then overinflate for Tuesday.
let's keep an eye on it.

[jtoler]

remember all the hate they were getting this time last yr. reinforces the fact that the media is about chaos and making a buck from it

[jjgold]

I think their best defensive player coming back soon

[stevenash]

I think their best defensive player coming back soon

Williams, yes.

[jjgold]

If they can stay away from major injuries, I think they’re only competition is Milwaukee

[jrgum3]

Boston should win the East again but their series against Milwaukee will be their toughest test because this time Middleton will play. Him not playing against Boston last year made a big difference in Boston winning that series. C's on a mission this year but the NBA is a long season and health always plays the biggest factor in whether a team wins it all or not.

[stevenash]

Boston should win the East again but their series against Milwaukee will be their toughest test because this time Middleton will play. Him not playing against Boston last year made a big difference in Boston winning that series. C's on a mission this year but the NBA is a long season and health always plays the biggest factor in whether a team wins it all or not.

Can Mazzulla outcoach Coach Bud is the real question to that hypothetical Bucks/C's series.

[KVB]

maybe they cover Saturday, and again on Monday
then overinflate for Tuesday.
let's keep an eye on it.

They're already inflated.

Wrong team is likely favored today as Boston is a -2.5 or -3 favorite on the road against GSW.

Taking Golden state here, win or lose.

[KVB]

ok so they are on west coast swing

Saturday Warriors
Monday Clippers
Tuesday Lakers

gonna win and cover all 3? see the Tuesday b2b

Taking Warriors here in game one, we see this value as inflated and actually can create lines with Golden State favored.

Sharpest forecast I have at this point is a stacking percentages forecast that shows Golden State winning with 116 or 117 points to Boston's 113 or 114 points.

My non predictive public gague shows Boston winning 118-115. Other evidence I did not prepare for this thread shows that Boston is indeed inflated here in the market.

[budwiser]

Yeah i also got golden state +3 for change. Fock the celtics

[KVB]

Yeah i also got golden state +3 for change. Fock the celtics

Let's cash this fukker!!!

[lakerboy]

Taking Warriors here in game one, we see this value as inflated and actually can create lines with Golden State favored.

Sharpest forecast I have at this point is a stacking percentages forecast that shows Golden State winning with 116 or 117 points to Boston's 113 or 114 points.

My non predictive public gague shows Boston winning 118-115. Other evidence I did not prepare for this thread shows that Boston is indeed inflated here in the market.

How is Boston inflated? Warriors have been dogshit.

[KVB]

How is Boston inflated? Warriors have been dogshit.

I suppose it could be considered that the Warriors are deflated, if one wants to look at it that way. They are two different things that lead to the same result.

In this case, we are seeing both at play sticking Boston as the favorite here.

This specific case is tricky, because some might try to "read the line" and perhaps say the Celtics are too low, but this line could easily go to 2, or even lower.

It could have opened a pick em, but that might have gone too far in the face of public pressure. This line inlfated, basically to 4, gathering public action, steam action, etc. before coming back down under what I would consider sharper pressure.

Was buying GSW into that early pressure, and stopped at +2.5.

I was also buying the moneyline and picked up numbers on both sides of +140 today.

I think there was inflation and deflation that led to value.

Win or lose.


Should have just texted all that, lol.

[lakerboy]

I suppose it could be considered that the Warriors are deflated, if one wants to look at it that way. They are two different things that lead to the same result.

In this case, we are seeing both at play sticking Boston as the favorite here.

This specific case is tricky, because some might try to "read the line" and perhaps say the Celtics are too low, but this line could easily go to 2, or even lower.

It could have opoened a pick em, but tha might have gone too far in the face of public pressure. This line inlfated, basically to 4, gathering public action, steam action, etc. before coming back down under what I would consider sharper pressure.

Was buying GSW into that early pressure, and stopped at +2.5.

I was also buying the moneyline and picked up numbers on both sides of +140 today.

I think there was inflation and deflation that led to value.

Win or lose.


Should have just texted all that, lol.

All good bro. I understand your view but in my opinion that line is fair and most sharp thinking types would take the Warriors on the basis they have some value and to keep Boston in check. I'm thinking that game is a stay away.

[stevenash]

All good bro. I understand your view but in my opinion that line is fair and most sharp thinking types would take the Warriors on the basis they have some value and to keep Boston in check. I'm thinking that game is a stay away.

I agree, this game is a 50/50 flip.
I'm watching it as a sports fan.

[KVB]

All good bro. I understand your view but in my opinion that line is fair and most sharp thinking types would take the Warriors on the basis they have some value and to keep Boston in check. I'm thinking that game is a stay away.

Which line was fair?

Was it the +1.5, +2, +2.5, +3, +3.5, +4?

Bettors in at all levels there. I'll assume you mean the closer but that's 2 or 2.5.

Not sure what you mean when you say that the line is fair but the Warriors have some value. Maybe you're cosnidering the potential for different viewpoints there.

I don't agree with that, I think the Warriors have some value and that the wrong team might even be favored.

But in my opinion it was the moneylines that were swayed in all that movement and that's where I believe we picked up the most "value" when it comes to the margins.

[KVB]

Shitty thing is I think Golden State went up 1-0 then 3-0 initially.

I hate leading early in these games, even down to scoring first.



I will be looking for some underdog Boston LIVE to sell back a portion of my position.

Not sure we see a good number though.