1. #1
    jjgold
    jjgold's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 07-20-05
    Posts: 394,888

    Celtics Devastating

    Nobody even close to this team

    Blowing out everyone

  2. #2
    agendaman
    agendaman's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 12-01-11
    Posts: 3,461
    Betpoints: 15709

    yep JJ. they remember losing in the finals last year.

  3. #3
    pologq
    Make SBR Great Again in 2023
    pologq's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 10-07-12
    Posts: 19,412
    Betpoints: 5117

    very very solid. freight train that is not stopping.

  4. #4
    stevenash
    stevenash's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 01-17-11
    Posts: 58,541
    Betpoints: 25313

    Stephen A. said C's will win it all.

  5. #5
    jjgold
    jjgold's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 07-20-05
    Posts: 394,888

    Smart most underrated player NBA year after year

    As long as Tatum does not think he is MJ last qtr they should win it all

  6. #6
    theboss4018
    theboss4018's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 07-24-21
    Posts: 425
    Betpoints: 4919

    They will even be better soon when the "Time Lord" returns! Robert Williams III

  7. #7
    Brock Landers
    Forever in Debt to your Priceless Advice
    Brock Landers's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 06-30-08
    Posts: 45,277
    Betpoints: 8403

    They're wasting energy with regular season games

    Ask golden st when they won 70+ games and lost in finals

  8. #8
    goduke
    goduke's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 02-17-10
    Posts: 10,686
    Betpoints: 690

    Letís see how they play in March and April. Itís a great start but a lot of teams are a mess right now. Starting hot doesnít always equate to good results. Just ask the 73-9 warriors

  9. #9
    pologq
    Make SBR Great Again in 2023
    pologq's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 10-07-12
    Posts: 19,412
    Betpoints: 5117

    agreed there is a lot more season. let's see where they are in march but i think they will be number 1 seed and the favorite by then.

  10. #10
    Greenline
    Greenline's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-05-17
    Posts: 167
    Betpoints: 12

    So much money to be made on the Bruins too.

  11. #11
    KVB
    It's not what they bring...
    KVB's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 05-29-14
    Posts: 82,748
    Betpoints: 9375

    Quote Originally Posted by jjgold View Post
    Nobody even close to this team

    Blowing out everyone
    We’re just now entering the trudge of the NBA regular season, what will they look like in the spring? It’s possible to be too successful in the regular season, history shows.

  12. #12
    Nate rasta
    Nate rasta's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 05-30-22
    Posts: 1,759
    Betpoints: 1668

    There peaking too soon.cant play like this the whole season

  13. #13
    stevenash
    stevenash's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 01-17-11
    Posts: 58,541
    Betpoints: 25313

    Quote Originally Posted by Nate rasta View Post
    There peaking too soon.cant play like this the whole season
    Maybe, but I heard that about the 2016 Dubs too.

  14. #14
    Snowball
    Snowball's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 11-15-09
    Posts: 29,690
    Betpoints: 6140

    martingale fade ?

  15. #15
    KVB
    It's not what they bring...
    KVB's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 05-29-14
    Posts: 82,748
    Betpoints: 9375

    Quote Originally Posted by Snowball View Post
    martingale fade ?
    So dangerous in the NBA.

    If the market sees swelling bets riding a "due factor" it could induce a shakeout. We've seen it before.

    You will probably limit the level and loss of martingale though, but many won't.

    I suppose we can make different levels of responsible gaming, lol, but I don't really like that concept.

  16. #16
    Snowball
    Snowball's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 11-15-09
    Posts: 29,690
    Betpoints: 6140

    Quote Originally Posted by KVB View Post
    So dangerous in the NBA.

    If the market sees swelling bets riding a "due factor" it could induce a shakeout. We've seen it before.

    You will probably limit the level and loss of martingale though, but many won't.

    I suppose we can make different levels of responsible gaming, lol, but I don't really like that concept.
    just talking. cable sports talking them up a lot too.

    first question to take the prospect seriously would be SU or ATS.

    then, pick a spot on the sched.
    Points Awarded:

    KVB gave Snowball 2 Betpoint(s) for this post.


  17. #17
    Snowball
    Snowball's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 11-15-09
    Posts: 29,690
    Betpoints: 6140

    ok so they are on west coast swing

    Saturday Warriors
    Monday Clippers
    Tuesday Lakers

    gonna win and cover all 3? see the Tuesday b2b
    Points Awarded:

    KVB gave Snowball 2 Betpoint(s) for this post.


  18. #18
    KVB
    It's not what they bring...
    KVB's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 05-29-14
    Posts: 82,748
    Betpoints: 9375

    I'm not against that thinking at all Snowy. I'd of course add all this capping to it, but it's true we have ways of determining where a team is going based on where they are and where they have been.

    Some of it's on paper, and some just subjective, which some can do well with.

    The market will inflate and help us find those spots too.

  19. #19
    Snowball
    Snowball's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 11-15-09
    Posts: 29,690
    Betpoints: 6140

    Quote Originally Posted by KVB View Post
    I'm not against that thinking at all Snowy. I'd of course add all this capping to it, but it's true we have ways of determining where a team is going based on where they are and where they have been.

    Some of it's on paper, and some just subjective, which some can do well with.

    The market will inflate and help us find those spots too.
    maybe they cover Saturday, and again on Monday
    then overinflate for Tuesday.
    let's keep an eye on it.

  20. #20
    jtoler
    jtoler's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 12-17-13
    Posts: 30,932
    Betpoints: 1033

    remember all the hate they were getting this time last yr. reinforces the fact that the media is about chaos and making a buck from it

  21. #21
    jjgold
    jjgold's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 07-20-05
    Posts: 394,888

    I think their best defensive player coming back soon

  22. #22
    stevenash
    stevenash's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 01-17-11
    Posts: 58,541
    Betpoints: 25313

    Quote Originally Posted by jjgold View Post
    I think their best defensive player coming back soon
    Williams, yes.

  23. #23
    jjgold
    jjgold's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 07-20-05
    Posts: 394,888

    If they can stay away from major injuries, I think theyíre only competition is Milwaukee

  24. #24
    jrgum3
    jrgum3's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 07-21-17
    Posts: 6,942
    Betpoints: 16315

    Boston should win the East again but their series against Milwaukee will be their toughest test because this time Middleton will play. Him not playing against Boston last year made a big difference in Boston winning that series. C's on a mission this year but the NBA is a long season and health always plays the biggest factor in whether a team wins it all or not.

  25. #25
    stevenash
    stevenash's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 01-17-11
    Posts: 58,541
    Betpoints: 25313

    Quote Originally Posted by jrgum3 View Post
    Boston should win the East again but their series against Milwaukee will be their toughest test because this time Middleton will play. Him not playing against Boston last year made a big difference in Boston winning that series. C's on a mission this year but the NBA is a long season and health always plays the biggest factor in whether a team wins it all or not.
    Can Mazzulla outcoach Coach Bud is the real question to that hypothetical Bucks/C's series.

  26. #26
    KVB
    It's not what they bring...
    KVB's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 05-29-14
    Posts: 82,748
    Betpoints: 9375

    Quote Originally Posted by Snowball View Post
    maybe they cover Saturday, and again on Monday
    then overinflate for Tuesday.
    let's keep an eye on it.
    They're already inflated.

    Wrong team is likely favored today as Boston is a -2.5 or -3 favorite on the road against GSW.

    Taking Golden state here, win or lose.


  27. #27
    KVB
    It's not what they bring...
    KVB's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 05-29-14
    Posts: 82,748
    Betpoints: 9375

    Quote Originally Posted by Snowball View Post
    ok so they are on west coast swing

    Saturday Warriors
    Monday Clippers
    Tuesday Lakers

    gonna win and cover all 3? see the Tuesday b2b
    Taking Warriors here in game one, we see this value as inflated and actually can create lines with Golden State favored.

    Sharpest forecast I have at this point is a stacking percentages forecast that shows Golden State winning with 116 or 117 points to Boston's 113 or 114 points.

    My non predictive public gague shows Boston winning 118-115. Other evidence I did not prepare for this thread shows that Boston is indeed inflated here in the market.


  28. #28
    budwiser
    budwiser's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 11-22-11
    Posts: 1,848
    Betpoints: 278

    Yeah i also got golden state +3 for change. Fock the celtics

  29. #29
    KVB
    It's not what they bring...
    KVB's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 05-29-14
    Posts: 82,748
    Betpoints: 9375

    Quote Originally Posted by budwiser View Post
    Yeah i also got golden state +3 for change. Fock the celtics
    Let's cash this fukker!!!


  30. #30
    lakerboy
    lakerboy's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 04-02-09
    Posts: 92,163
    Betpoints: 3851

    Quote Originally Posted by KVB View Post
    Taking Warriors here in game one, we see this value as inflated and actually can create lines with Golden State favored.

    Sharpest forecast I have at this point is a stacking percentages forecast that shows Golden State winning with 116 or 117 points to Boston's 113 or 114 points.

    My non predictive public gague shows Boston winning 118-115. Other evidence I did not prepare for this thread shows that Boston is indeed inflated here in the market.

    How is Boston inflated? Warriors have been dogshit.

  31. #31
    KVB
    It's not what they bring...
    KVB's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 05-29-14
    Posts: 82,748
    Betpoints: 9375

    Quote Originally Posted by lakerboy View Post
    How is Boston inflated? Warriors have been dogshit.
    I suppose it could be considered that the Warriors are deflated, if one wants to look at it that way. They are two different things that lead to the same result.

    In this case, we are seeing both at play sticking Boston as the favorite here.

    This specific case is tricky, because some might try to "read the line" and perhaps say the Celtics are too low, but this line could easily go to 2, or even lower.

    It could have opened a pick em, but that might have gone too far in the face of public pressure. This line inlfated, basically to 4, gathering public action, steam action, etc. before coming back down under what I would consider sharper pressure.

    Was buying GSW into that early pressure, and stopped at +2.5.

    I was also buying the moneyline and picked up numbers on both sides of +140 today.

    I think there was inflation and deflation that led to value.

    Win or lose.


    Should have just texted all that, lol.
    Points Awarded:

    lakerboy gave KVB 1 SBR Point(s) for this post.


  32. #32
    lakerboy
    lakerboy's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 04-02-09
    Posts: 92,163
    Betpoints: 3851

    Quote Originally Posted by KVB View Post
    I suppose it could be considered that the Warriors are deflated, if one wants to look at it that way. They are two different things that lead to the same result.

    In this case, we are seeing both at play sticking Boston as the favorite here.

    This specific case is tricky, because some might try to "read the line" and perhaps say the Celtics are too low, but this line could easily go to 2, or even lower.

    It could have opoened a pick em, but tha might have gone too far in the face of public pressure. This line inlfated, basically to 4, gathering public action, steam action, etc. before coming back down under what I would consider sharper pressure.

    Was buying GSW into that early pressure, and stopped at +2.5.

    I was also buying the moneyline and picked up numbers on both sides of +140 today.

    I think there was inflation and deflation that led to value.

    Win or lose.


    Should have just texted all that, lol.
    All good bro. I understand your view but in my opinion that line is fair and most sharp thinking types would take the Warriors on the basis they have some value and to keep Boston in check. I'm thinking that game is a stay away.

  33. #33
    stevenash
    stevenash's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 01-17-11
    Posts: 58,541
    Betpoints: 25313

    Quote Originally Posted by lakerboy View Post
    All good bro. I understand your view but in my opinion that line is fair and most sharp thinking types would take the Warriors on the basis they have some value and to keep Boston in check. I'm thinking that game is a stay away.
    I agree, this game is a 50/50 flip.
    I'm watching it as a sports fan.

  34. #34
    KVB
    It's not what they bring...
    KVB's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 05-29-14
    Posts: 82,748
    Betpoints: 9375

    Quote Originally Posted by lakerboy View Post
    All good bro. I understand your view but in my opinion that line is fair and most sharp thinking types would take the Warriors on the basis they have some value and to keep Boston in check. I'm thinking that game is a stay away.
    Which line was fair?

    Was it the +1.5, +2, +2.5, +3, +3.5, +4?

    Bettors in at all levels there. I'll assume you mean the closer but that's 2 or 2.5.

    Not sure what you mean when you say that the line is fair but the Warriors have some value. Maybe you're cosnidering the potential for different viewpoints there.

    I don't agree with that, I think the Warriors have some value and that the wrong team might even be favored.

    But in my opinion it was the moneylines that were swayed in all that movement and that's where I believe we picked up the most "value" when it comes to the margins.

  35. #35
    KVB
    It's not what they bring...
    KVB's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 05-29-14
    Posts: 82,748
    Betpoints: 9375

    Shitty thing is I think Golden State went up 1-0 then 3-0 initially.

    I hate leading early in these games, even down to scoring first.



    I will be looking for some underdog Boston LIVE to sell back a portion of my position.

    Not sure we see a good number though.

1234 ... Last
Top