[EGrecu]

They post all their picks and they're around 53% ATS and about 56% on totals


On plays where their predicted total is way different from the actual line, they win around 60%



I think im just gonna gamble on college football from now on boys

[ChuckyTheGoat]

Grecu, props to you. A few comments/questions:

1) I think you're on to something. In gambling markets, normally the bigger the market...the more accurate the line.
...In Coll FB, there are now 131 FBS teams. When you think about Weather/QB injuries, that's a lot to digest. How does the oddsmaker stay on top of it all?

2) Tell me more about that site.
...When do they post picks?
...I have a hard time navigating that site.

3) Gets back to the BTCL value.
...If you can get down on good #s BEFORE the line moves, then sure. Bet it and expect to be +EV.
...Coll FB totals can move a lot based on Weather. All about getting a good # on your ticket.

[EGrecu]

Grecu, props to you. A few comments/questions:

1) I think you're on to something. In gambling markets, normally the bigger the market...the more accurate the line.
...In Coll FB, there are now 131 FBS teams. When you think about Weather/QB injuries, that's a lot to digest. How does the oddsmaker stay on top of it all?

2) Tell me more about that site.
...When do they post picks?
...I have a hard time navigating that site.

3) Gets back to the BTCL value.
...If you can get down on good #s BEFORE the line moves, then sure. Bet it and expect to be +EV.
...Coll FB totals can move a lot based on Weather. All about getting a good # on your ticket.

https://collegefootballnews.com/2022...nes-tv-week-12


This shows all their predictions for the year with each conference. They're significantly over 500 especially on totals

The only thing I don't like is they go automatically under on very low totals and over on very big totals. I just stay away from big or low totals

Otherwise if you keep track of plays where they say a total is way off, they win at a huge rate. I went 10-4 last Saturday

[daneblazer]

Is that you Pete

[jjgold]

Lol

All random

Next year 45% but they don’t factor that in

[EGrecu]

Lol

All random

Next year 45% but they don’t factor that in

I've been following that website for years. They're always over 500

[EGrecu]

Is that you Pete

Pete is a genius

That guy makes people so much money

[OldBill]

53% is no good because of vig

here lets look at it -110 you win $5300 you lost 47 x 110 $5170 $130 profit net over 100 games dude thats only $1.30 per game

now use certain systems that i have that total average win % in nfl is a whopping 78% combined

you win $7800 you lost 22 X 110 $2420 $5380.00 net = $53.80 per game net profit

[EGrecu]

53% is no good because of vig

here lets look at it -110 you win $5300 you lost 47 x 110 $5170 $130 profit net over 100 games dude thats only $1.30 per game

now use certain systems that i have that total average win % in nfl is a whopping 78% combined

you win $7800 you lost 22 X 110 $2420 $5380.00 net = $53.80 per game net profit

53% is overall though

If you focus on the games where he says the line is way off - for example he predicts 70 pts and the line is 55, he wins close to 60%

[TheMoneyShot]

53% is no good because of vig

here lets look at it -110 you win $5300 you lost 47 x 110 $5170 $130 profit net over 100 games dude thats only $1.30 per game

now use certain systems that i have that total average win % in nfl is a whopping 78% combined

you win $7800 you lost 22 X 110 $2420 $5380.00 net = $53.80 per game net profit

lol 53% is no good because of vig?? 70% of this forum can't even hit 53%

[ChuckyTheGoat]

https://collegefootballnews.com/2022...nes-tv-week-12


This shows all their predictions for the year with each conference. They're significantly over 500 especially on totals

The only thing I don't like is they go automatically under on very low totals and over on very big totals. I just stay away from big or low totals

Otherwise if you keep track of plays where they say a total is way off, they win at a huge rate. I went 10-4 last Saturday

Props, Grecu.

You're right. It's amazing how many Tout videos sound like:
"Texas Tech plays hi-scoring games. Give me OVER 78."
"Iowa plays lo-scoring games. Give me UNDER 34."

[ChuckyTheGoat]

Lol

All random

Next year 45% but they don’t factor that in

\


Says the Court Jester. A guy who could stack up all penny collection and still not have enough to lay $11 to win $10.

[ChuckyTheGoat]

lol 53% is no good because of vig?? 70% of this forum can't even hit 53%

But Shot...we ALL hit 78%. Reminds me of the Shawshank Redemption line:

"Don't you know? EVERYONE at SBR is a winner."

Feel bad for Grecu. Solid thread where he's trying to help. And thread went haywire.

[big joe 1212]

53%?

We got over 200 posters in Beat the Bullseye with a better win %

[Pigpen]

But Shot...we ALL hit 78%. Reminds me of the Shawshank Redemption line:

"Don't you know? EVERYONE at SBR is a winner."

Feel bad for Grecu. Solid thread where he's trying to help. And thread went haywire.

With all due respect. A thread that contains an opening post about a website that provides winners can be looked at with suspicion at best.

[ChuckyTheGoat]

With all due respect. A thread that contains an opening post about a website that provides winners can be looked at with suspicion at best.

I see the Projection link. Still have to get down at the right # and hope for the best.

Very tough game to beat. Except at SBR. Like I said, everyone is clearing 70%...and laughing at the 53% nerds.

[Pigpen]

I see the Projection link. Still have to get down at the right # and hope for the best.

Very tough game to beat. Except at SBR. Like I said, everyone is clearing 70%...and laughing at the 53% nerds.

Who is claiming to clear 70%? I must have missed it.

[jjgold]

53% better than many but no income from it

[ChuckyTheGoat]

Who is claiming to clear 70%? I must have missed it.

Subtle attempt at humor. Pig, you're not hitting 72%? Every goddamn poster here clears 70%.

[mjsuax13]

Ban El Grecu and Chucky. This garbage.

[Pigpen]

Subtle attempt at humor. Pig, you're not hitting 72%? Every goddamn poster here clears 70%.

LOL, just trollin' you Chucky.

[TheMoneyShot]

But Shot...we ALL hit 78%. Reminds me of the Shawshank Redemption line:

"Don't you know? EVERYONE at SBR is a winner."

Feel bad for Grecu. Solid thread where he's trying to help. And thread went haywire.

I was just commenting on oldbill's post because he said with vig and everything 53% isn't going to make you much. In all essence he's right. Then I added... 70% of this forum can't hit 53% year round... so we better give up now.

[jjgold]