1. #1
    lakerboy
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    Would you take the niners ml +475 in Philly for the NFC championship game

    Both rosters healthy as currently constructed.

    That's what you are getting right now.

  2. #2
    Machba
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    Give me 9ers

  3. #3
    johnnyvegas13
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    Explain...

  4. #4
    goduke
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    I’ll take anyone in the nfc championship against Philly. They aren’t making the super bowl

  5. #5
    DiggityDaggityDo
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  6. #6
    Nate rasta
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    Hell ya. Eagles run defense is ranked 29th in the league. 49ers bread and butter is running the ball and now they got McCaffrey. Sprinkle on top of that playoff experience. Are you saying this because the 49ers are +475 to win nfc. I wonder if you can get more value if you just bet 49ers every playoff game and roll it over

  7. #7
    jjgold
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    Yes

    Sf much more mentally tough for playoffs

  8. #8
    Snowball
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    Maybe but just to sell them live.

    Only way I would hold the bet is if they were up 2+ possessions.

  9. #9
    TheMoneyShot
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    interesting thread. I'd take 49ers points for sure though

  10. #10
    DrunkHorseplayer
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    You're assuming way too much given that it's the NFL playoffs.

  11. #11
    lakerboy
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    Not sure why anyone would not take sf +475. You will not get that in gameday.

  12. #12
    DiggityDaggityDo
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    I bet them a while back.

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  13. #13
    lakerboy
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    Quote Originally Posted by Nate rasta View Post
    Hell ya. Eagles run defense is ranked 29th in the league. 49ers bread and butter is running the ball and now they got McCaffrey. Sprinkle on top of that playoff experience. Are you saying this because the 49ers are +475 to win nfc. I wonder if you can get more value if you just bet 49ers every playoff game and roll it over
    Probably on the last part. Then again you might pay juice first gm and be out and behind more.

  14. #14
    Nate rasta
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    Quote Originally Posted by lakerboy View Post
    Probably on the last part. Then again you might pay juice first gm and be out and behind more.
    Yeah a lot of that depends on if they win the division. start on the road or have a home game. They could still not even make the playoffs but I think they will. Kicking myself for not hammering them at 9/1 right when they got mccaffery. McCaffrey is at 100/1 for MVP right now, but probably way too late in the season for that to gain momentum

  15. #15
    Goat Milk
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    I think SF has a good chance to win it all. Crazy roster. Weak on cornerbacks though. Lost their best 2 for the year. Great offense, probably the best on paper in the league. Still a rock solid defense with game changing players.

  16. #16
    Goat Milk
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    Quote Originally Posted by Nate rasta View Post
    Yeah a lot of that depends on if they win the division. start on the road or have a home game. They could still not even make the playoffs but I think they will. Kicking myself for not hammering them at 9/1 right when they got mccaffery. McCaffrey is at 100/1 for MVP right now, but probably way too late in the season for that to gain momentum
    An RB needs to have 2000 yards and 20 tds to be mvp.

  17. #17
    GunShard
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    49ers vs Eagles NFC championship game does sound like it's going to happen.

  18. #18
    Booya711
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    Philly won’t be in the championship game

  19. #19
    gauchojake
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    Of course

  20. #20
    Goat Milk
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    Quote Originally Posted by Booya711 View Post
    Philly won’t be in the championship game
    I see them being in the NFC championship as of now unless they have to go through SF earlier. This Philly team is pretty loaded on both sides of the ball, they aren't a fluke for sure

  21. #21
    unde0087
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    That has "on it" written all over it

  22. #22
    DrunkHorseplayer
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    Quote Originally Posted by lakerboy View Post
    Not sure why anyone would not take sf +475. You will not get that in gameday.
    There may not be a gameday; you're assuming that Philly is No. 1, that SF makes the playoffs, that Philly wins once and that SF wins twice. A lot can happen between now and then.

  23. #23
    d2bets
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    Of course.

  24. #24
    kingdom
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    Quote Originally Posted by DiggityDaggityDo View Post
    niners. jimmy g redemption. shanahan owes the man an apology. wasting a trade and picks on trey lance. jimmy was one pass away from winning the super bowl. kyle never got over it.

  25. #25

  26. #26
    jjgold
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    SF built for playoffs not Phila

  27. #27
    lakerboy
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    Quote Originally Posted by DrunkHorseplayer View Post
    There may not be a gameday; you're assuming that Philly is No. 1, that SF makes the playoffs, that Philly wins once and that SF wins twice. A lot can happen between now and then.
    This is a hypothetical scenario. The reason I posted this is to see if people are doing things the right way. There has been at least one wrong answer so far.

  28. #28
    manny24
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    Quote Originally Posted by lakerboy View Post
    This is a hypothetical scenario. The reason I posted this is to see if people are doing things the right way. There has been at least one wrong answer so far.

  29. #29
    d2bets
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    How are you deriving these odds. Looks like SF to win East is +500 at most spots. So how would that project +475 in the NFC Championship?

  30. #30
    Goat Milk
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    Quote Originally Posted by d2bets View Post
    How are you deriving these odds. Looks like SF to win East is +500 at most spots. So how would that project +475 in the NFC Championship?
    It wouldn't be anywhere near that. If those two teams met in the NFC championship in Philly it would be SF +150. I already took SF to win the superbowl after the mcaffrey trade. That itself was only like +1400 or something.

  31. #31
    d2bets
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    Quote Originally Posted by Goat Milk View Post
    It wouldn't be anywhere near that. If those two teams met in the NFC championship in Philly it would be SF +150. I already took SF to win the superbowl after the mcaffrey trade. That itself was only like +1400 or something.
    +150 would be a +3+100 type line. Of course a lot can change, but I doubt it would be quite that low. I thinking a -4.5/-200 type line.

  32. #32
    lakerboy
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    Quote Originally Posted by d2bets View Post
    +150 would be a +3+100 type line. Of course a lot can change, but I doubt it would be quite that low. I thinking a -4.5/-200 type line.
    No chance that sf would be +4.5 in Philly. ZERO

    The +475 is what you are getting if the game is played today. That's an automatic bet on sf

  33. #33
    d2bets
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    Quote Originally Posted by lakerboy View Post
    No chance that sf would be +4.5 in Philly. ZERO

    The +475 is what you are getting if the game is played today. That's an automatic bet on sf
    Again, how do you figure?

  34. #34
    DiggityDaggityDo
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    This could be a tremendous bump thread for Laker come Championship time.

  35. #35
    Goat Milk
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    Quote Originally Posted by d2bets View Post
    +150 would be a +3+100 type line. Of course a lot can change, but I doubt it would be quite that low. I thinking a -4.5/-200 type line.
    Maybe, always depends on how things shake out in playoffs, if niners are winning close games to get there, or if they are blowing out teams, just depends. I think GB was -5 last year to SF. But you add arguably the best player in the nfl to your team, yeah... -3 seems pretty fair, you'll get plenty of action on both sides. Who knows. Fun to think about tho.

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