1. #36
    KVB
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    Quote Originally Posted by pavyracer View Post
    Do you know what Bill Belichek does to rookie QBs? And I think Colts are missing their #1 RB and they traded #2 RB to Bills. Colts may not even score tomorrow so all Pats have to do is score 2 FGs or a TD to win.
    NFL Redzone's Scott Hanson just said...

    "You're a bone to be chewed if your a young quarterback going against a Belichek defense especially in Foxborough."


  2. #37
    jjgold
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    Falcons underrated

  3. #38
    KRIT
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    I guess Pats were free money, nice call Pats backers.

  4. #39
    ThaTopMoron
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    Pats 13

    Colts 0


    people betting on Colts without taylor and first road start for 6th round QB vs Belichick

  5. #40
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    Quote Originally Posted by KRIT View Post
    I guess Pats were free money, nice call Pats backers.
    It's early and it's a game of halves. But I feel it too.

    That line did pull to 4.5 in some spots but I also mentioned this one could come down to the witching hour in terms of the spread.

    A tough spot against BellyChick here, it's been a solid first half defensively.

    I don't have any bets here, but I am interested in that 2nd half. Will be looking for value on Indy.


  6. #41
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    Quote Originally Posted by jjgold View Post
    Falcons underrated
    Wrong thread, Gold.


  7. #42
    ThaTopMoron
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    Quote Originally Posted by stevenash View Post
    Some of you aren't looking at both sides of the coin here.

    You do realize the Colts defense haven't allowed 400 total yards in any one game this season, they held Mahomes and the Chiefs to 317 total yards in that 20-17 upset. There are only six other teams that have held their opponents to under 400 yards in every game they've played
    Is it any wonder why Indy is top ten or better across the board defensively.

    The real question is where are the Patriots going to get their points?
    Mac Jones is awful, look it up if you haven't seen a Pats game all year.
    Jones and the Pats needed a phantom PI called to erase a pick six last week, or he loses to the Jets.
    The week before he got yanked and booed off the field before halftime against the Bears.
    Week before that, he threw three picks against the Ravens in a blowout loss.
    Jones was terrible against Trubinsky and the Steelers in a ugly 17-14 win.
    Terrible again in the Dolphin loss before that one.

    Davis Mills is having a better season, Jones is next to dead last in pretty much every QB metric, worst QB rating the past five weeks in the NFL, he's averaging under 200 yards passing a game, for a dink and dunk passer he's thrown three TD passes while getting picked seven times.

    That's a horrendous TD to INT ratio, worst than Zack Wilson, Davis Mills, everybody, dead last. and it's not even close.

    And Sunday (today) he's throwing to Jakobi Meyers (his primary WR1) NEP WR2 today is Tyquan Thorton, and the ancillary WR today is Kendrick Bourne.

    Having said all that about Mac Jones, do you trust him in this spot, against an top ten, underrated defense.
    I trust Ehlinger in this game much more than I trust Mac Jones.

    If the Colts put up 17 points, they should win outright, where's Jones with that group of receivers going to find 20 points? Shit, based off of recent performances Jones more than likely will gift the Colts at least 10 points.

    Ask yourself this, what's the better bet here, Jones and the Pats offense laying 5.5 points to the Colts defense, or vice versa.

    I've already put my money where my mouth is, Colts +5.5, best bet of the day.
    Patriots are just not good anymore, they're actually horseshit without a QB in a QB league.
    overthinking things wayyyyy too much

    6th round qb 2nd start, first on road vs belichick D without taylor and crappy LT, RG and RT

  8. #43
    ThaTopMoron
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    Quote Originally Posted by KVB View Post
    It's early and it's a game of halves. But I feel it too.

    That line did pull to 4.5 in some spots but I also mentioned this one could come down to the witching hour in terms of the spread.

    A tough spot against BellyChick here, it's been a solid first half defensively.

    I don't have any bets here, but I am interested in that 2nd half. Will be looking for value on Indy.

    Colts might get a field goal

    in 2nd half they will get to some 4th downs and fail going for it

    30 to 3

  9. #44
    KRIT
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    Quote Originally Posted by KVB View Post
    It's early and it's a game of halves. But I feel it too.

    That line did pull to 4.5 in some spots but I also mentioned this one could come down to the witching hour in terms of the spread.

    A tough spot against BellyChick here, it's been a solid first half defensively.

    I don't have any bets here, but I am interested in that 2nd half. Will be looking for value on Indy.

    The blocked punt didn’t help, basically gave them a TD. I knew Colts QB would struggle but not this much.

  10. #45
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    Quote Originally Posted by ThaTopMoron View Post
    Colts might get a field goal

    in 2nd half they will get to some 4th downs and fail going for it

    30 to 3
    Quote Originally Posted by KRIT View Post

    The blocked punt didn’t help, basically gave them a TD. I knew Colts QB would struggle but not this much.
    Yeah, sometimes you just don't want to be tempted with Value, lol.

    But it's a game of halves and who's to say Indy doesn't win the half 3-0?

    To me, it's going to be about the number.

    Our eyes can be deceiving, and often not a very reliable source of info for us.

    https://www.sportsbookreview.com/for...l#post31033143

  11. #46
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    History shows that a colts score here acutally reduces our chances of getting value on the second half number.

  12. #47
    KVB
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    Missed FG.

    Witching hour could be interesting.

    Let's see what number we get.


  13. #48
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    By the way, that's multiple missed FG's to basically end the half, Buf missed one too.

  14. #49
    stevenash
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    Last time I checked a NFL game is 60 minutes long, not 30 minutes.

    Jones has accounted for no TD's, the Pats have a DST TD and two FG's.

  15. #50
    stevenash
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    Quote Originally Posted by ThaTopMoron View Post
    overthinking things wayyyyy too much

    6th round qb 2nd start, first on road vs belichick D without taylor and crappy LT, RG and RT
    Way to check in at halftime.
    Thanks for the painstaking, in-game analysis.

    Typical from SBR posters.

  16. #51
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    Damn, Indy pickem at better than +115 not a bad look, even if it's margin is tight.

    Instead there's a conversion to +1 and that's not feeling as sweet.

    Trying to squeeze blood out of a turnip.


  17. #52
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    Circa be like we'll just offer the 1/2 point spread and BM holding that price.

    Of course.

    As unpredictable as we all know the NFL can be, some aspects are just too damn predictable.

    Was hoping we could walk through a bet here, but maybe not.

    I still don't count Indy out, yet, but I don't see value. Good Luck if you take the action as is.


  18. #53
    KRIT
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    Quote Originally Posted by stevenash View Post
    Way to check in at halftime.
    Thanks for the painstaking, in-game analysis.

    Typical from SBR posters.
    He did chime in before the game. Think he is colts fan, but he was wrong on them last week.

    It was a bad play Nash, just need to move on to the next one. Still a lot of game left, but we’d need a lot to go our way.

  19. #54
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    Boy that 2nd half line just solidified at the worst possible spot. They want us all to gamble.



    Tells me my numbers may not be so bad.

    But still, we need more to beat the NFL here, both in better numbers and the market gettin swayed.

  20. #55
    stevenash
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    Quote Originally Posted by KRIT View Post
    He did chime in before the game. Think he is colts fan, but he was wrong on them last week.

    It was a bad play Nash, just need to move on to the next one. Still a lot of game left, but we’d need a lot to go our way.
    I do own up to my losses, no excuses, a loss is a loss.
    I like to think I'm stand up that way, and if I make a mistake in a write up, it will never be a blatant lie, usually a decimal point out of place, whatever.

    One of my major points were Jones wasn't going to get them their points, and he hasn't so far.
    Still, if the score holds up, my bad, it's still a loss.

    *aside to TOP MORON*
    If you did make a comment pregame, I missed it, my bad, sorry about that.

  21. #56
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    LMAO, Pats come out and fumble.

    Imagine that. Witching hour here we come.


  22. #57
    KRIT
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    Quote Originally Posted by stevenash View Post
    I do own up to my losses, no excuses, a loss is a loss.
    I like to think I'm stand up that way, and if I make a mistake in a write up, it will never be a blatant lie, usually a decimal point out of place, whatever.

    One of my major points were Jones wasn't going to get them their points, and he hasn't so far.
    Still, if the score holds up, my bad, it's still a loss.

    *aside to TOP MORON*
    If you did make a comment pregame, I missed it, my bad, sorry about that.
    Agreed, game has basically went the way most of us expected who took Colts. NE isn’t moving the ball, but don’t think we expected blocked punt plus a missed FG. If specials doesn’t screw up the game is 6-3 at half.

  23. #58
    KRIT
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    Damn almost.

  24. #59
    ThaTopMoron
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    pats cover -22.5

    sam after getting hit and sacked over and over was blind to anyone getting open after 2 seconds as he was already trying to scramble around regardless of whether there was pressure or not

    hilarious game to watch... it was pretty much the lock of the season

    colts unders are 8-1 this season... pretty sure

  25. #60
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    Quote Originally Posted by KVB View Post
    LMAO, Pats come out and fumble.

    Imagine that. Witching hour here we come.

    nah bro

  26. #61
    edawg
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    Been wrong on the Colts all year the team really is whoreshit!

  27. #62
    KRIT
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    Quote Originally Posted by ThaTopMoron View Post
    pats cover -22.5

    sam after getting hit and sacked over and over was blind to anyone getting open after 2 seconds as he was already trying to scramble around regardless of whether there was pressure or not

    hilarious game to watch... it was pretty much the lock of the season

    colts unders are 8-1 this season... pretty sure
    You think they stick with him or go back to Ryan or Foles?

  28. #63
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    Congrats Pats backers, witching hour not an issue for this game.

    Patriots take both halves. The tight market saved me a buck...lol.


  29. #64
    ThaTopMoron
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    Quote Originally Posted by stevenash View Post
    Way to check in at halftime.
    Thanks for the painstaking, in-game analysis.

    Typical from SBR posters.
    i have 5 posts on page 1 man

    the colts suck. tank job 4th q last week then first start on road for a 6th round qb vs belichick... game was over before it started

    i do get one right once in a while haha

    they can't run it with the 41 million dollar line and can't pass protect every team runs a loop inside against the RG and the LT and RT take turns getting beat they all suck

    you don't need to analyze this team the coach is a dead man walking

  30. #65
    ThaTopMoron
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    Quote Originally Posted by KRIT View Post
    You think they stick with him or go back to Ryan or Foles?
    let him learn by getting blasted rest of season

    don't matter who starts

    eagles come to indy in 2 weeks at 9-0 looking for first ever 10-0 start

    wonder what that line will be... eagles first half

  31. #66
    pavyracer
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    You give the blueprint to win an easy bet and boost bankroll and people try every other angle to bet on a game than the one given in the blueprint. SMH!

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