1. #1
    tmoible
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    Why Charger going for 4 down but not kick a field goal in order to onside kick?

    Regardless the outcome 4 down if they fail,why they donít kick a field goal and then onside kick ?Even though the 4down is touchdown I donít really like this strategy.I guess if this game is playoff game or Super Bowl,I guarantee they wonít go 4down and kick a field goal and then onside kick,can anyone explain why regular game do but not playoff? If they kick 3 first I might keep my parly alive.

  2. #2
    Easy-Rider 66
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    Agreed

  3. #3
    tmoible
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    -3.5 point on Monday I should buy one point

  4. #4
    tmoible
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    Quote Originally Posted by Easy-Rider 66 View Post
    Agreed
    I guess you lose

  5. #5
    Easy-Rider 66
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    Quote Originally Posted by tmoible View Post
    I guess you lose
    Nope I had LAC + the number thought when they missed the 3rd down throw I was basically Done in covering the 4. Pleasant surprise.

  6. #6
    Easy-Rider 66
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    Quote Originally Posted by tmoible View Post
    -3.5 point on Monday I should buy one point
    Yeah better to win less than take the risk on a backdoor cover. IMO.
    Last edited by Easy-Rider 66; 09-16-22 at 02:28 AM.

  7. #7
    d2bets
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    If the spread had been 7.5, they kick.

  8. #8
    Regul8er
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    I dont know why they didnt kick it, but fack am I glad they didnt. Saved my +4 play!!

  9. #9
    mama whoiscrying
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    They never used to do that kind of stuff and maybe they finally realized how stupid it is. Touchdown is the way to go. Again only in the last few years did they start kicking a field goal late and then try it on side kick. History has shown it's always been a touchdown 1st and that is the proper call

  10. #10
    pologq
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    Quote Originally Posted by Regul8er View Post
    I dont know why they didnt kick it, but fack am I glad they didnt. Saved my +4 play!!
    same here. saved my +3.5.

    in a video game i would go for the FG. in real life i am doing what they did.

  11. #11
    Rich Boy
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    Given time on clock and timeout situation also field position, I think TD was the right call.

    Better odds of scoring a FG after an onside kick vs a TD from 45 yards out with <1min and 1 timeout

    If it was 4th down outside the 10 yard line then they kick

  12. #12
    d2bets
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    Let me guesstimate:
    4th and goal from the 6th = 40% (maybe less)
    TD from the 45 in just over a minute = 25%
    FG from the 45 in just over a minute = 50%

    I'd say kicking is very slightly the better call, but it's close. Those are 3 variables to play with.

  13. #13
    DrunkHorseplayer
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    Keep in mind that the Chargers' coach isn't laying the points, he's taking them.

  14. #14
    d2bets
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    Quote Originally Posted by DrunkHorseplayer View Post
    Keep in mind that the Chargers' coach isn't laying the points, he's taking them.
    I really don't think the Chargers coach is betting on the game. But he surely knows plenty of their fans are and he surely know the spread. If it's a close call, why not go for the cover.

  15. #15
    jackpot269
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    Either way you need 2 scores

  16. #16
    biggie12
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    Quote Originally Posted by d2bets View Post
    I really don't think the Chargers coach is betting on the game. But he surely knows plenty of their fans are and he surely know the spread. If it's a close call, why not go for the cover.
    u really think the coach is thinking about this. He's just a moron.

  17. #17
    mjsuax13
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    Quote Originally Posted by d2bets View Post
    Let me guesstimate:
    4th and goal from the 6th = 40% (maybe less)
    TD from the 45 in just over a minute = 25%
    FG from the 45 in just over a minute = 50%

    I'd say kicking is very slightly the better call, but it's close. Those are 3 variables to play with.
    Good stuff. 40%+ probably all I need.

    I take the 4 downs and go for the TD in that situation. Need 2 scores anyway. Even with an onside kick recovery thereís no guarantee you get that close again and most likely need a few shots downfield and a long 50/50 FG to tie. I wonder what this looked like in the Seattle/Denver game. Thanks for sharing.

  18. #18
    thetrinity
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    Actually common sense. They wouldnít have likely gotten that close even if they got an onside kick recovery. They would have been in a terrible position had they kicked a fg got the onside and then needed a td.

  19. #19
    JIBBBY
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    They were to close to the end zone that's why they went for it on 4th down. Would have been to hard to get all the way down the field again with that little amount of time left. It was the right call.

  20. #20
    thetrinity
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    Quote Originally Posted by d2bets View Post
    Let me guesstimate:
    4th and goal from the 6th = 40% (maybe less)
    TD from the 45 in just over a minute = 25%
    FG from the 45 in just over a minute = 50%

    I'd say kicking is very slightly the better call, but it's close. Those are 3 variables to play with.
    The TD after the onside has got to be less and the FG has got to be higher. This is a good analysis otherwise. Off chance they can win before OT once they got the td though as well.

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