Quote Originally Posted by stevenash View Post
Chargers and Eagles are both -6 and -250 on the money line.

If you play a Charger/Eagle six pointer, tease them both down to pick, standard payout would be 10 to 11 or 100 dollar risk to win 91 dollars.

If you bet both at -250 on a two team money line parlay, a 100 dollar risk would payout 96 dollars.

If you don't like five bucks, then play the teaser.
If you value five dollars, avoid the teaser, play the parlay.
Five percent is five percent.

When I first started out in the business back in the day when the T-Rex used to graze my daddy's backyard lawn for food and your pal Nasher had a full head of hair I learned a shitload from "Buzzy the Bookie"

Buzzy said to me this about teasers and parlays, he said "Billy, anytime you need multiple teams to cash one singular ticket, you're asking for trouble"

Buzzy also taught be not to order the halibut from the bus stop lunch counter too, but that's another story for another day.


Teaser Average Probabilities


EXTRA POINTS ALL HOME ALL AWAY ALL SIDES ALL UNDER ALL OVER ALL TOTALS
14 85.85% 85.00% 85.43% 83.70% 87.44% 85.57%
13.5 84.89% 84.05% 84.47% 82.86% 86.69% 84.78%
13 84.16% 83.26% 83.71% 81.94% 85.78% 83.86%
12.5 83.15% 82.49% 82.82% 80.87% 84.85% 82.86%
12 82.43% 81.77% 82.10% 79.92% 83.73% 81.83%
11.5 81.48% 80.91% 81.20% 78.83% 82.81% 80.82%
11 80.74% 80.32% 80.53% 78.10% 82.09% 80.09%
10.5 79.53% 79.31% 79.42% 76.99% 81.01% 79.00%
10 78.32% 77.91% 78.11% 75.94% 79.59% 77.76%
9.5 76.82% 76.61% 76.71% 74.92% 78.39% 76.66%
9 75.88% 75.70% 75.79% 73.73% 77.39% 75.56%
8.5 74.74% 74.87% 74.81% 72.68% 76.12% 74.40%
8 73.65% 73.85% 73.75% 71.60% 74.75% 73.17%
7.5 72.28% 72.64% 72.46% 70.36% 73.14% 71.75%
7 71.06% 71.56% 71.31% 69.03% 71.61% 70.31%
6.5 69.67% 70.03% 69.85% 67.71% 69.88% 68.79%
6 68.09% 68.48% 68.28% 66.24% 68.18% 67.21%
5.5 66.30% 66.61% 66.45% 65.11% 66.73% 65.92%
5 64.97% 65.46% 65.21% 63.91% 65.69% 64.80%
4.5 63.66% 64.19% 63.93% 62.73% 64.54% 63.63%
4 62.15% 62.78% 62.47% 61.50% 63.16% 62.33%
3.5 60.31% 61.16% 60.73% 59.86% 61.53% 60.69%
3 58.95% 59.69% 59.32% 58.53% 59.80% 59.17%
2.5 57.52% 58.33% 57.92% 57.16% 58.25% 57.70%
2 56.08% 57.21% 56.65% 55.69% 56.73% 56.21%
1.5 54.56% 56.13% 55.35% 54.32% 55.13% 54.72%
1 53.11% 54.84% 53.98% 52.91% 53.38% 53.14%
0.5 51.47% 53.17% 52.32% 51.46% 51.71% 51.58%
0 49.13% 50.87% 50.00% 50.03% 49.97% 50.00%
excellent write up and accurate. and a very interesting chart. thanks my friend.

I think two team 7 point teaser in the NFL is a decent play. especially on dogs, but not true in college. which is obvious.