1. #1
    gauchojake
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    NFL Betting - Bet With Your Head

    Boys, it's that time of year again. We've loaded up our accounts, shot off on meaningless pre season games, reloaded, and now we're almost ready to place a real wager on real games.

    Just remember, the first 4-5 weeks of the NFL are full of EASY wins. The bookmakers want you to feel confident because they know this is a long season.

    BE CAREFUL

    Things will turn on a dime. Don't go crazy with your bankroll.

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  2. #2
    Easy-Rider 66
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  3. #3
    Optional
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    Hand out those easy early winners Jake.

  4. #4
    jjgold
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    Books favorite sport

    Lines too sharp

  5. #5
    manny24
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    Bills ML -135 bankroll starter thanks Jaker

  6. #6
    pologq
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    i am like a blind man in an orgy. i have to feel my way around the first couple of weeks.

  7. #7
    gauchojake
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    Quote Originally Posted by manny24 View Post
    Bills ML -135 bankroll starter thanks Jaker
    Whoever loses the game, just hammer the SB future since you'll likely be getting a better price. I think Rams at home but that's just me.
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  8. #8
    gauchojake
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    Quote Originally Posted by Optional View Post
    Hand out those easy early winners Jake.
    Balti laying 7 was one that stood out. There were a couple of other games that were sitting on 7 that I think will move to 7.5 by game time so just lay the number it won't matter.
    Nomination(s):
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  9. #9
    pavyracer
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    Anone knows if that "Consensus" will be available at the new SBR Odds? It was a goldmine in the past seeing what all the squares were playing and playing the other side.
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  10. #10
    pavyracer
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    I see a lot of "easy" public wins already that will get hammered.

    Saints -5.5, 49ers -7, Bengals -6.5, Eagles -4.

    Books are setting public Joe to the slaughterhouse.
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  11. #11
    Jayvegas420
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    toughest lines in sportsbetting.
    staying away this season
    Last edited by Jayvegas420; 08-29-22 at 08:25 AM.

  12. #12
    pologq
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    Quote Originally Posted by gauchojake View Post
    Balti laying 7 was one that stood out. There were a couple of other games that were sitting on 7 that I think will move to 7.5 by game time so just lay the number it won't matter.
    i am assuming flacco plays for the jets. ravens should def win.

  13. #13
    jjgold
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    Just set aside a certain amount that you could afford to lose because it will be all gone

  14. #14
    pologq
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    Quote Originally Posted by jjgold View Post
    Just set aside a certain amount that you could afford to lose because it will be all gone
    the positivity in your posts is overwhelming

  15. #15
    flyingillini
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    Or it starts out as the first 4-5 weeks as a bloodbath, who knows?

  16. #16
    jjgold
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    I canít wait for all the sob stories

  17. #17
    GunShard
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    Bet against the worst teams and you will profit. Fade Seahawks and Bears.

  18. #18
    Al Masters
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    Quote Originally Posted by GunShard View Post
    Bet against the worst teams and you will profit. Fade Seahawks and Bears.

    Doesn’t work that way.. I wish it did, gambling would be so easy.

    The line is the great equalizer.

  19. #19
    jjgold
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    End of thread

    Quote Originally Posted by Al Masters View Post
    Doesn’t work that way.. I wish it did, gambling would be so easy.

    The line is the great equalizer.

  20. #20
    RM Logic
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    Take Miami -2.5 at home vs. the Pats. This line is about Belichick against a rookie coach. But NE has zero offensive playmakers compared to Miami and the game is in the heat and humidity in Miami where even Brady was lousy.

  21. #21
    teacher10
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    Who should I tail?
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  22. #22
    jjgold
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    Nfl season win totals better

  23. #23
    Orbison
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    Quote Originally Posted by gauchojake View Post
    Just remember, the first 4-5 weeks of the NFL are full of EASY wins.
    what are the signs of an easy win?
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  24. #24
    gauchojake
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    Quote Originally Posted by Orbison View Post
    what are the signs of an easy win?
    Rash and burning sensation
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  25. #25
    chargers4222
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    Quote Originally Posted by gauchojake View Post
    Balti laying 7 was one that stood out. There were a couple of other games that were sitting on 7 that I think will move to 7.5 by game time so just lay the number it won't matter.
    Perfect, so Ravens -7 is a lock, correct? Awesome, thanks for this guaranteed winner. Let us know the other easy wins as you see them.

  26. #26
    gauchojake
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    Quote Originally Posted by chargers4222 View Post
    Perfect, so Ravens -7 is a lock, correct? Awesome, thanks for this guaranteed winner. Let us know the other easy wins as you see them.
    Common guy I'm not that clown spewing guaranteed winners. There's no such thing as a lock. Unless I was being ironic you're unlikely to find a post of mine where I mention that word.

    The point is that in the first few weeks of the NFL there are typically some chalk wins that the books will allow.

    For instance, Houston is a terrible team. Their first team nearly lost to the Rams UDFAs. Laying 8 there seems like a play you could make. You don't want to lay 8 then you get a sweet teaser number.

    Good luck.
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  27. #27
    marcoloco
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    If my bankroll isn't done by week 10 did I even gamble?
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  28. #28
    DJK
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    Quote Originally Posted by teacher10 View Post
    Who should I tail?
    No one. At least for now until you see some sort of winning trend by whichever poster(s). That's just my opinion.

    But if you tailed BigBill365 last week, you would have been 3-0. It's too bad his picks were buried into the 2nd page and I'm pretty certain that people don't take him too seriously.

    Or, you could have been 2-0 fading johnnyvegas13, but you knew that already.

    What's with 13 anyway in his user name? 13? Seriously? They don't have a floor button for 13 in any casino elevators.

    Date SBR Poster Away Team Home Team Spread Juice Pick Away Score Home Score Total Diff ATS O/U Win Loss $100.00 Wager Won/Lost Bank Roll URL
    Sat, 08-27-2022 Bigbill365 Charlotte Florida Atlantic -6.5 -110 H 13 43 56 30 23.5 0.0 W 1.00 $100.00 $110.00 $100.00 $100.00 https://www.sportsbookreview.com/forum/players-talk/3707213-bigbills-ncaaf-play.html
    Sat, 08-27-2022 Bigbill365 Charlotte Florida Atlantic 61.5 -110 U 13 43 56 30 0.0 5.5 W 1.00 $100.00 $110.00 $100.00 $100.00 https://www.sportsbookreview.com/forum/players-talk/3707213-bigbills-ncaaf-play.html
    Sat, 08-27-2022 Bigbill365 Nevada New Mexico St -8.5 -110 A 23 12 35 11 2.5 0.0 W 1.00 $100.00 $110.00 $100.00 $100.00 https://www.sportsbookreview.com/forum/players-talk/3707213-bigbills-ncaaf-play.html

  29. #29
    DJK
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    Quote Originally Posted by gauchojake View Post
    Common guy I'm not that clown spewing guaranteed winners. There's no such thing as a lock. Unless I was being ironic you're unlikely to find a post of mine where I mention that word.

    The point is that in the first few weeks of the NFL there are typically some chalk wins that the books will allow.

    For instance, Houston is a terrible team. Their first team nearly lost to the Rams UDFAs. Laying 8 there seems like a play you could make. You don't want to lay 8 then you get a sweet teaser number.

    Good luck.
    Didn't last year's NFL started with a ton of dogs covering? As a matter of fact, wasn't it like that for the 1st half of the season where more dogs covered?

    It doesn't mean it could repeat like that this year, but who the heck knows.

    Hopefully, you are right about some easy chalks in the beginning of the season, so I will avoid taking the dogs if they are on the opposite side of your chalk picks.

  30. #30
    RangeFinder
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    Out of all these posts, not one person mentioned a dog.

    I'm betting dogs.

  31. #31
    DJK
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    Quote Originally Posted by RangeFinder View Post
    Out of all these posts, not one person mentioned a dog.

    I'm betting dogs.
    Please do post your dogs so I can tail.

    Hopefully, they aren't those "On it" dogs. LOL

  32. #32
    gauchojake
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    Ranger we bet chalk here at SBR now
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  33. #33
    manny24
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    Quote Originally Posted by manny24 View Post
    Bills ML -135 bankroll starter thanks Jaker
    we're in the game Jaker

  34. #34
    gauchojake
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    Manny I know what I'm doing.
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  35. #35
    pologq
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    manny good call

    for dogs i think the jags and lions are live for sure

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