1. #1
    LT Profits
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    MLB Picks - Monday, 8/8/22

    1 MLB Play Monday

    Yankees / Mariners UNDER 7.5 +102


    YTD: 225-248-14, -31.62


    All plays are Listed Pitchers unless ACTION is stated

  2. #2
    GreatWallofTrump
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    Baltimore Toronto over 9 today. Risk 31 units. Get back to even.
    Points Awarded:

    matt711 gave GreatWallofTrump 25 Betpoint(s) for this post.


  3. #3
    dirtycash66
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    Quote Originally Posted by LT Profits View Post
    1 MLB Play Monday

    Yankees / Mariners UNDER 7.5 +102


    YTD: 225-248-14, -31.62


    All plays are Listed Pitchers unless ACTION is stated
    Lt I would like to welcome you to the Minus 30 hotel. We were expecting you last week, what took you so long to get here? Hope you enjoy your stay. You forgot to add (season low)

  4. #4
    jjgold
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    Wow over 30 units


    I thought I would never say it

  5. #5
    SlickFazzer
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    We must stay positive in regards to LT's model.

    Paver has documented that historically the model's metrics begin to thrive
    on or around August 15th.

  6. #6
    pavyracer
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    Quote Originally Posted by SlickFazzer View Post
    We must stay positive in regards to LT's model.

    Paver has documented that historically the model's metrics begin to thrive
    on or around August 15th.
    We are on target for the season low on August 14th and then start hammering plays on August 15th. One more week of patience.

  7. #7
    LT Profits
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    Basically matches my Season Low from last season except this time it is MUCH later in the year, so no time for another 64-unit turnaround (-32 to +32).

    Oh well, no choice but to see where this goes.

  8. #8
    LT Profits
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    1 MLB Pick Addition

    2 MLB Plays Monday

    Giants / Padres UNDER 7.5 -108
    Yankees / Mariners UNDER 7.5 +102

  9. #9
    dirtycash66
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    Quote Originally Posted by LT Profits View Post
    Basically matches my Season Low from last season except this time it is MUCH later in the year, so no time for another 64-unit turnaround (-32 to +32).

    Oh well, no choice but to see where this goes.
    Its probably going to -40 in a couple of weeks.

  10. #10
    jjgold
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    If LT can get out -15 units by the end of the year he will consider it winning

  11. #11
    SlickFazzer
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    That would be a great come back.

  12. #12
    Brock Landers
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    Maybe he can be committed for being a serious compulsive gambler

  13. #13
    SlickFazzer
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    imagine if you followed the model from day 1 and are now down 30 units.

    Would be very hard to continue - when do you throw in the towel?

  14. #14
    pavyracer
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    Quote Originally Posted by SlickFazzer View Post
    imagine if you followed the model from day 1 and are now down 30 units.

    Would be very hard to continue - when do you throw in the towel?
    A few people followed LT the first 2 weeks when he was up 18 units. Rich Boy (a big bettor from Canada ..he bets $10,000 on single hockey games and posts tickets). He made good coin with LTs picks. But he stopped after the first two weeks because he detected an anomaly in the model (model was giving unders on every single play and the hitters started getting hot). You got to know when to tail the model. There are a few weeks throughout the year where it does good.
    Last edited by pavyracer; 08-08-22 at 03:57 PM.

  15. #15
    SlickFazzer
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    Being able to determine when a model is developing an anomaly is both a science and an art.

    Bettors with the skillset to do so can often maximize a model's hot streaks while minimizing damage
    when a model is in a downtrend/correction.

  16. #16
    dirtycash66
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    Quote Originally Posted by SlickFazzer View Post
    Being able to determine when a model is developing an anomaly is both a science and an art.

    Bettors with the skillset to do so can often maximize a model's hot streaks while minimizing damage
    when a model is in a downtrend/correction.
    best comment I've come across all week.

  17. #17
    SlickFazzer
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    I wonder if the model ever says - Lets stop this, this fukking aint working anymore.

  18. #18
    matt711
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    Quote Originally Posted by SlickFazzer View Post
    I wonder if the model ever says - Lets stop this, this fukking aint working anymore.
    Can you please post your picks stick, preferably in your own thread, let’s see what you have instead of complaining about Lt’s plays.
    Last edited by matt711; 08-08-22 at 05:36 PM.

  19. #19
    SlickFazzer
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    Matt,

    Sorry to offend.

    Actually, Paver and I have been supporters of LT and his model. Paver has
    documentation that the model, based on previous years should produce nice results
    on or around August 15th.
    Points Awarded:

    matt711 gave SlickFazzer 50 Betpoint(s) for this post.


  20. #20
    LT Profits
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    2 Last MLB Pick Additions

    4 MLB Plays Monday

    WAS/CUB score 1st inning YES +100
    Pirates / Diamondbacks UNDER 8 -103

    Giants / Padres UNDER 7.5 -108
    Yankees / Mariners UNDER 7.5 +102

  21. #21
    matt711
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    Quote Originally Posted by SlickFazzer View Post
    Matt,

    Sorry to offend.

    Actually, Paver and I have been supporters of LT and his model. Paver has
    documentation that the model, based on previous years should produce nice results
    on or around August 15th.
    My fault, all good, I’m probably frustrated, Bol

  22. #22
    SlickFazzer
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    Keep fightin Matt!

  23. #23
    bigbaby1976
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    Picks for the day

    Blue Jays - Mets - Nationals - Diamondbacks - Athletics - Padres - Yankees

  24. #24
    BCaldwell32
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    You should already be in jail already for being a damn stalker!!!!

    Quote Originally Posted by Brock Landers View Post
    Maybe he can be committed for being a serious compulsive gambler

  25. #25
    GreatWallofTrump
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    LT I pray you took my advice and played the over. It would rid your of all these haters. I never post a play unless I’m 80% sure if it’s outcome. LT: down 0.

  26. #26
    jjgold
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    There is gonna come to a point I think he’s going to go to a loan shark

    I’m telling you you read stories about guys like LT, a guy that had it all and in five years later you don’t know what the heck happened to them when you see him

    These are the guys in a fierce rainstorm he’s out on a tractor just riding and riding like he whacked out

  27. #27
    SlickFazzer
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    He has so much faith in the model.

    I hope Paver is right for all involved that the metrics are due to turn on or around Aug 15th.

  28. #28
    pavyracer
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    Quote Originally Posted by SlickFazzer View Post
    He has so much faith in the model.

    I hope Paver is right for all involved that the metrics are due to turn on or around Aug 15th.
    I didn't like yesterday. He made a new season low. I was praying he wouldn't break the -29.52 low until August 15th. Now I'm reassesing the whole situation and I may issue an alert to wait a little bit longer after August 15th. The next 5 days are critical. LT must fight to bring the record under -30 units. If a bottom is not formed we can't start tailing.

  29. #29
    SlickFazzer
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    Thanks for the updates Paver. The next week is critical as we all know, lucky for all of us here
    at SBR you are monitoring the metrics closely.

    Quote Originally Posted by pavyracer View Post
    I didn't like yesterday. He made a new season low. I was praying he wouldn't break the -29.52 low until August 15th. Now I'm reassesing the whole situation and I may issue an alert to wait a little bit longer after August 15th. The next 5 days are critical. LT must fight to bring the record under -30 units. If a bottom is not formed we can't start tailing.

  30. #30
    ChuckyTheGoat
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    Quote Originally Posted by LT Profits View Post
    1 MLB Play Monday

    Yankees / Mariners UNDER 7.5 +102


    YTD: 225-248-14, -31.62


    All plays are Listed Pitchers unless ACTION is stated
    LT...have you been tailing "The Rat"?

  31. #31
    Chiefs83
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    I jumped in on the last 3

  32. #32
    Mike Huntertz
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    Quote Originally Posted by pavyracer View Post
    I didn't like yesterday. He made a new season low. I was praying he wouldn't break the -29.52 low until August 15th. Now I'm reassesing the whole situation and I may issue an alert to wait a little bit longer after August 15th. The next 5 days are critical. LT must fight to bring the record under -30 units. If a bottom is not formed we can't start tailing.
    Posted like a savvy investor, I concur!

  33. #33
    jjgold
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    Is today the day?

  34. #34
    pavyracer
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    Quote Originally Posted by jjgold View Post
    Is today the day?
    He is due for are 5-1 or 6-2 type of day. He has been batting .400 for a couple weeks now and the record has stalled.

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