I'm taking the points because I always do with underdogs, but my gut feeling is Heat show up and show out tonight. The Sixers got a much needed win last game from their renewed energy with Phantom of the Opera Embiid in the house, and with MIA perhaps resting a bit on their laurels, but this is the pivotal moment for the Heat to bag a road win and take a commanding lead in the series. I do think they are the better team and should prove it here.
For what it's worth, no road team has a won a game since May 1st. With the Mavs winning earlier today, that makes 11 straight wins for home teams in the NBA playoffs. Do what you want with that information, you can ride the streak or buck it, I'm rolling the dice with the roadies tonight.
Heat +2