1. 04-15-22 07:01 AM #1
    LT Profits
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    MLB Picks - Friday, 4/15/22

    1 MLB Play Friday

    Phillies / Marlins UNDER 7.5 +101 (ACTION)


    YTD: 21-10, +12.75
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  2. 04-15-22 08:45 AM #2
    pavyracer
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    These NL unders are tricky. Does your model factor in the DH? What would the line be for this game if there was no DH? 6.5?
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  3. 04-15-22 09:14 AM #3
    dirtycash66
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    Quote Originally Posted by pavyracer View Post
    These NL unders are tricky. Does your model factor in the DH? What would the line be for this game if there was no DH? 6.5?
    All these damn acronyms
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  4. 04-15-22 09:17 AM #4
    pimike
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    That seems to low. However Phil’s not hitting, Marlins not hitting.

    Good luck LT
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  5. 04-15-22 09:19 AM #5
    pavyracer
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    Quote Originally Posted by dirtycash66 View Post
    All these damn acronyms
    NL = National League

    DH - Designated Hitter (replaces the pitcher in batting order). Pitchers have a very low percentage on getting on base and are almost automatic outs.
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  6. 04-15-22 10:27 AM #6
    dirtycash66
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    Quote Originally Posted by pavyracer View Post
    NL = National League

    DH - Designated Hitter (replaces the pitcher in batting order). Pitchers have a very low percentage on getting on base and are almost automatic outs.
    Thanks for clearing that up.
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  7. 04-15-22 11:48 AM #7
    LT Profits
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    9 MLB Plays Friday

    9 MLB Plays Friday

    Diamondbacks / Mets UNDER 7.5 +102
    Twins / Red Sox UNDER 10 -103
    Nationals / Pirates UNDER 9 -108
    Phillies / Marlins UNDER 7.5 +101 (ACTION)
    Athletics / Blue Jays UNDER 9
    Giants / Indians UNDER 7.5 -112 (ACTION)
    Tigers +114
    Braves / Padres OVER 8.5 -103
    Mariners +103
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  8. 04-15-22 11:54 AM #8
    jjgold
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    Phils were never a good hitting team
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  9. 04-15-22 12:01 PM #9
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    Quote Originally Posted by pavyracer View Post
    These NL unders are tricky. Does your model factor in the DH? What would the line be for this game if there was no DH? 6.5?
    Yes I model at player level and I have default lineups for every team. I also have park factors and Miami is a -.
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  10. 04-15-22 12:52 PM #10
    Orbison
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    any thoughts on Indians +136?
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  11. 04-15-22 02:06 PM #11
    pavyracer
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    Quote Originally Posted by LT Profits View Post
    Yes I model at player level and I have default lineups for every team. I also have park factors and Miami is a -.
    Thanks LT. Good to know that you are adjusting for the DH in NL. Will be hard to compare data from previous seasons when pitchers were hitting.
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  12. 04-15-22 03:21 PM #12
    jjgold
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    Posters are watching LT pics very closely before they make their plays
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  13. 04-15-22 03:55 PM #13
    Mike Huntertz
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    Quote Originally Posted by jjgold View Post
    Posters are watching LT pics very closely before they make their plays
    In previous years I watch his picks early and when he is down about 25 units I jump in and make a killing.....alas I missed The SS LT this year.
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  14. 04-15-22 03:57 PM #14
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    Quote Originally Posted by Orbison View Post
    any thoughts on Indians +136?
    Don't like it, I have Giants 60% (-150)

    I have Rodon a bit underrated, although not enough variance from real line to play Giants,
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  15. 04-15-22 03:59 PM #15
    LT Profits
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    Now up to 11 Plays

    Like I always say when these days happen, I do not plan them in advance.
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  16. 04-15-22 04:00 PM #16
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    2 MLB Pick Additions

    11 MLB Plays Friday

    Diamondbacks / Mets UNDER 7.5 +102
    Twins / Red Sox UNDER 10 -103
    Nationals / Pirates UNDER 9 -108
    Phillies / Marlins UNDER 7.5 +101 (ACTION)
    Athletics / Blue Jays UNDER 9
    Giants / Indians UNDER 7.5 -112 (ACTION)
    Tigers +114
    Cubs / Rockies UNDER 10 -106 (ACTION)
    Braves / Padres OVER 8.5 -103
    Mariners +103
    Reds / Dodgers UNDER 9 -108
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  17. 04-15-22 04:03 PM #17
    Pikachu
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    Wow big card today sir
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  18. 04-15-22 04:08 PM #18
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  19. 04-15-22 05:12 PM #19
    dirtycash66
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    Unders are not doing too good today, these pitchers are ass
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  20. 04-15-22 05:26 PM #20
    pavyracer
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    Quote Originally Posted by dirtycash66 View Post
    Unders are not doing too good today, these pitchers are ass
    It will be different at night games. Cooler weather and lights will give trouble to hitters. I trust in LT.
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  21. 04-16-22 08:08 AM #21
    pavyracer
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    Night games were good. Waiting for today's card. Maybe we get a dozen games again!
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  22. 04-16-22 08:51 AM #22
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    Quote Originally Posted by pavyracer View Post
    Night games were good. Waiting for today's card. Maybe we get a dozen games again!
    Just 3 to start
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