1. 02-26-22 10:02 AM #1
    johnnyvegas13
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    Oregon state ml +700

    They will beat UCLA w o juzang here
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  2. 02-26-22 10:14 AM #2
    DrunkHorseplayer
    Redskins forever
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    You didn't learn when you took UW at a similar price? No chance here.
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  3. 02-26-22 10:40 AM #3
    johnnyvegas13
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    Quote Originally Posted by DrunkHorseplayer View Post
    You didn't learn when you took UW at a similar price? No chance here.
    I am betting juzang doesn’t play

    prob a gm time d but they just said he has a sprained right ankle
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  4. 02-26-22 10:46 AM #4
    Shutup
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    Quote Originally Posted by DrunkHorseplayer View Post
    You didn't learn when you took UW at a similar price? No chance here.
    UCLA is a bad road team
    Arizona is a great tean and good road team
    Unlikely they lose but will take the 13 with beavers
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  5. 02-26-22 10:49 AM #5
    johnnyvegas13
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    Quote Originally Posted by Shutup View Post
    UCLA is a bad road team
    Arizona is a great tean and good road team
    Unlikely they lose but will take the 13 with beavers
    Ya I got 13.5 as well

    but no reason they can’t win outright
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  6. 02-26-22 12:13 PM #6
    DrunkHorseplayer
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    I have no stake in the game so I'll pull for you but the linesmakers have a way of knowing relevant information. The line is 13 for a reason, he's probably going to play.
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  7. 02-26-22 12:40 PM #7
    johnnyvegas13
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    Quote Originally Posted by DrunkHorseplayer View Post
    I have no stake in the game so I'll pull for you but the linesmakers have a way of knowing relevant information. The line is 13 for a reason, he's probably going to play.
    I watched the Oregon gm and they said he had sprained right ankle

    dont think u bounce back in two days if that is true
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  8. 02-26-22 02:19 PM #8
    johnnyvegas13
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    Juzang out
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  9. 02-26-22 02:37 PM #9
    jjgold
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    UCLA slipped
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  10. 02-26-22 03:25 PM #10
    johnnyvegas13
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    Letssgooo
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  11. 02-26-22 03:28 PM #11
    johnnyvegas13
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    I feel good about this
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  12. 02-26-22 04:03 PM #12
    Wrongside
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    Another horrible pick and logic…
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  13. 02-26-22 04:06 PM #13
    Wrongside
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    OSU has three wins, they gave it their all the other night and were let down big time. How in the heck would a team that crappy come back from that?
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  14. 02-26-22 04:06 PM #14
    johnnyvegas13
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    Quote Originally Posted by Wrongside View Post
    Another horrible pick and logic…
    Not really

    take state 2h
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  15. 02-26-22 04:25 PM #15
    ChuckyTheGoat
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    GL, johnny.

    Can we suit up Gary Payton? Either the 1st OR the 2nd.
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  16. 02-26-22 04:27 PM #16
    stevenash
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    Johnny.
    I hate to rub salt on an open wound, but...
    Dead money.
    "it's target practice for the Bruin

    Shake it off.
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  17. 02-26-22 04:33 PM #17
    ChuckyTheGoat
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    Quote Originally Posted by stevenash View Post
    Johnny.
    I hate to rub salt on an open wound, but...
    Dead money.
    "it's target practice for the Bruin

    Shake it off.
    Johnny has hit some of these, like the Lions vs Cards in NFL.

    In general, it is VERY hard to hit the super longshots. Consider one House risk-theory angle:

    *The Vegas sportsbooks are very much tied to Management results.

    What I mean by that is that...when the Head Oddsmaker reports in on Monday AM, brass won't be too happy if they coughed up a good chunk of $$. Easiest way to do that is to allow a Big M/L come home at long odds. See Soccer, for example, or league Future odds.

    By shortening those odds, Oddsmaker limits their exposure the BIG HIT. It's fun to hit a longshot. Very hard to feel like you have a live longshot going In.
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  18. 02-26-22 05:20 PM #18
    gauchojake
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  19. 02-26-22 05:25 PM #19
    jjgold
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    THis one was nt even close
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  20. 02-26-22 05:26 PM #20
    ChuckyTheGoat
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    Quote Originally Posted by jjgold View Post
    THis one was nt even close
    Get em next time, John.
    Points Awarded:

    johnnyvegas13 gave ChuckyTheGoat 1 Betpoint(s) for this post.

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  21. 02-26-22 06:19 PM #21
    texhooper
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    Quote Originally Posted by ChuckyTheGoat View Post
    In general, it is VERY hard to hit the super longshots
    Which is wild because it’s also VERY hard to make a living out of hitting super faves.

    It’s almost like we have…drumroll…no chance
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  22. 02-26-22 06:21 PM #22
    ChuckyTheGoat
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    Quote Originally Posted by texhooper View Post
    Which is wild because it’s also VERY hard to make a living out of hitting super faves.

    It’s almost like we have…drumroll…no chance
    Look at how fat the straddles are on the Big M/L Dog/Favs.

    Yes, very hard. If well-schemed, might be able to create a +EV plan. Very difficult to do.

    I'm saying that -110/-110 markets are more reasonable. Puncher's chance.
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  23. 02-26-22 06:55 PM #23
    johnnyvegas13
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    Quote Originally Posted by jjgold View Post
    THis one was nt even close
    air ball

    sorry
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  24. 02-26-22 07:10 PM #24
    stevenash
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    Quote Originally Posted by ChuckyTheGoat View Post
    Johnny has hit some of these, like the Lions vs Cards in NFL.

    In general, it is VERY hard to hit the super longshots. Consider one House risk-theory angle:

    *The Vegas sportsbooks are very much tied to Management results.

    What I mean by that is that...when the Head Oddsmaker reports in on Monday AM, brass won't be too happy if they coughed up a good chunk of $$. Easiest way to do that is to allow a Big M/L come home at long odds. See Soccer, for example, or league Future odds.

    By shortening those odds, Oddsmaker limits their exposure the BIG HIT. It's fun to hit a longshot. Very hard to feel like you have a live longshot going In.
    I'm the guy's biggest fan, he just amuses me, in a good natured way.
    I know he's hit several of these, he was on a heater a few months ago.
    I just like to rib him a lot, in a good natured way.
    He's a good guy, good guys are a dying breed around here these days.
    Nomination(s):
    This post was nominated 1 time . To view the nominated thread please click here. People who nominated: ChuckyTheGoat
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  25. 02-27-22 02:34 PM #25
    stake1
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    wayne tinkle goes from the elite 8 and follows that run with a fabulous 3-24/1-16 record. hopefully the pac12 has a conf tourney rule which will prevent tinkle and his dead beave's from being allowed in as the 12 seed
    they do not deserve to play. maybe tinkle will impose a self ban?
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  26. 02-27-22 05:52 PM #26
    johnnyvegas13
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    Top six teams lost yesterday and this is what I come up with
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  27. 02-27-22 07:18 PM #27
    flakeandbake
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    This thread help me follow through with Nebraska tonight. Started thinking about what it takes to hit a big dog. Thanks men
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  28. 02-27-22 07:20 PM #28
    johnnyvegas13
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    Quote Originally Posted by flakeandbake View Post
    This thread help me follow through with Nebraska tonight. Started thinking about what it takes to hit a big dog. Thanks men
    Glad I could help someone
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