1. #1
    Headsterx
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    BIG FIGHT SAT - UFC 270: NGANNOU v. GANE

    Big Saturday is coming! Been waiting for this fight once they announced it. Took Gane at -115 last month. Itís been creeping up now at -150. I would probably take it at that price, too.

    Also, another title fight - trilogy:
    -185 Moreno v. Figueiredo. 1 draw and 1 win for Moreno. Seeing a Tyson Furyís trilogy ending with Moreno getting another win. (Gotta name drop Fury as he may not want to fight a beaten Ngannou after Saturday night HW title fight.)
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  2. #2
    Headsterx
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    Gets some wings while watching the fight, too!

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  3. #3
    jjgold
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    Favs win high rate the big cards?

  4. #4
    Shutup
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    Quote Originally Posted by jjgold View Post
    Favs win high rate the big cards?
    Don't bet it without actually watching and knowing the fighters
    You don't want to get sucked into a favorite who can't grapple

  5. #5
    Headsterx
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    I would say win rate is 70-75% but the odds on some of the favs were too high that I think in the long run you donít get a profit if you just pick favs in the main card.

    Though there have been some huge underdog upsets, I donít think it would be profitable in just picking the underdog.
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  6. #6
    Shutup
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    If you like big favorites you can look to take them ITD ot pick a specific finish if you think they are dominant enough to get a finish
    Either that or you bet it really big
    Waste of time to bet big favorites just to win 1 unit
    My opinion anyway
    Gane is now -150
    I think that is crazy
    Maybe he wins but lots of value on Ngannou

  7. #7
    Headsterx
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    Cool article, kind of what I was thinking that it's not profitable either way...

    https://www.thestatszone.com/archive...c-fights-13614
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  8. #8
    jjgold
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    Good timing after football game

  9. #9
    gauchojake
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    Quote Originally Posted by jjgold View Post
    Good timing after football game
    On a scale of 1-10 how drunk will the average poster be by the start of main event????
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  10. #10
    Art Vandelay
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    Quote Originally Posted by Shutup View Post
    If you like big favorites you can look to take them ITD ot pick a specific finish if you think they are dominant enough to get a finish
    Either that or you bet it really big
    Waste of time to bet big favorites just to win 1 unit
    My opinion anyway
    Gane is now -150
    I think that is crazy
    Maybe he wins but lots of value on Ngannou
    I'm on Ngannou - Hard to turn down plus $ odds with his power!
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  11. #11
    pablo222
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    Quote Originally Posted by gauchojake View Post
    On a scale of 1-10 how drunk will the average poster be by the start of main event????
    East coasters passed out

  12. #12
    Headsterx
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    I'm on the west coast and I might not even make it. Way too much money on Niners not to get f-up before the fight.

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  13. #13
    Darkside Magick
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    UNDER 1.5 +172 Ciryl Gane vs Francis N'Gannou

  14. #14
    MinnesotaFats
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    NGanou ain't winning this bout guys, sorry.

    I hate the line keeps moving here. Homeboy getting all the hype but he's going down in the 1st I think.

  15. #15
    Shutup
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    Quote Originally Posted by MinnesotaFats View Post
    NGanou ain't winning this bout guys, sorry.

    I hate the line keeps moving here. Homeboy getting all the hype but he's going down in the 1st I think.
    And Still

  16. #16
    gshock1
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    Quote Originally Posted by Headsterx View Post
    I'm on the west coast and I might not even make it. Way too much money on Niners not to get f-up before the fight.

    Nice hit on the 9ers! had a few dimes on it myself.

  17. #17
    jjgold
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    Good work

  18. #18
    Ghenghis Kahn
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    I'm not a fan of Gane. All his fights are boring.

    Gotta give credit to Francis. He had knee issues and still pulled it off.
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