1. 01-07-22 10:42 AM #1
    RangeFinder
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    Alright golfers, Hit Berger today.

    Daniel Berger -125 vs Cam Smith is great value .

    Berger was hitting some gross shots yesterday and no reason he can't continue.
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  2. 01-07-22 10:56 AM #2
    jjgold
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    He’s been good for a while now the only problem I have one day matchups are random
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  3. 01-07-22 11:05 AM #3
    RangeFinder
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    Quote Originally Posted by jjgold View Post
    He’s been good for a while now the only problem I have one day matchups are random
    Not really random, these matchups are based on their position in the tourney so you have to look at the player that is playing better and not getting lucky or shot well because of luck. In this case, Berger was sticking shots close and was crisp whereas Smith sunk some long putts that required luck to put him on top. Berger actually shot the best yesterday, Cantlay had a great back 9 but stayed off him because he faces Rahm, who can shoot lights out at any given moment.
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  4. 01-07-22 11:29 AM #4
    Art Vandelay
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    Got it at -120, agree with your analysis - Best of luck to us!
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  5. 01-07-22 11:42 AM #5
    RangeFinder
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    Quote Originally Posted by Art Vandelay View Post
    Got it at -120, agree with your analysis - Best of luck to us!
    Great price!
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  6. 01-07-22 11:49 AM #6
    Bostongambler
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    Glennnnnn , again with the value word. Please don’t go away again. 😂
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  7. 01-07-22 12:01 PM #7
    jjgold
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    anyone can have a bad round golf that is the issue
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  8. 01-07-22 12:29 PM #8
    RangeFinder
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    Quote Originally Posted by Bostongambler View Post
    Glennnnnn , again with the value word. Please don’t go away again. 
    Should I just use "Great number"?
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  9. 01-07-22 04:20 PM #9
    RangeFinder
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    Number moved to -135, still a decent play. Going in less than 30 min.
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  10. 01-07-22 08:10 PM #10
    Art Vandelay
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    Berger with the eagle on 15! All even with 3 to play...
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  11. 01-07-22 08:19 PM #11
    jjgold
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    Never easy
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  12. 01-07-22 09:50 PM #12
    RangeFinder
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    That Aussie putted as well as I've seen anybody. He hit perfect shots. He bogied the first two holes to boot. Scary.
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  13. 01-07-22 10:50 PM #13
    Bostongambler
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    But what happened to the value?
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  14. 01-08-22 05:25 AM #14
    jjgold
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    Ranger 4 day matchups much better

    Give us one today
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  15. 01-08-22 07:15 AM #15
    RangeFinder
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    Quote Originally Posted by Bostongambler View Post
    But what happened to the value?
    Value is not based on one event or even 10 events, it is based on long term EV.
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  16. 01-08-22 07:30 AM #16
    RangeFinder
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    Quote Originally Posted by jjgold View Post
    Ranger 4 day matchups much better

    Give us one today
    Well, there's only two days left so the 4 day is gone. Matsuyama is a good play to make a run to the top who sits at around 15-1 to win it tomorrow. He was playing really well finishing up yesterday and I think he continues to make is way up the leaderboard today to put himself in position tomorrow to make some noise.

    Koepka might also make a run and hitting great irons to the green and just missing putts. If he gets the flat stick going, watch out.

    Rahm is going to contend but don't like his number, I think he's too short of price.

    Cantlay is a decent number at 5-1.

    So I have plays on Matsuyama and Cantlay to make a run. However, if Smith keeps sinking prayer putts the way he has, there isn't anyone going to catch him.

    Also keep in mind the course is drying out so it will not favor the long hitters as the ball rolls out, alot. It's bad because most of the fairways are slanted and roll outs will go to the rough or worse.
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  17. 01-08-22 08:16 AM #17
    jjgold
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    A future is probably a better play like I said day-to-day matchups are the most random thing in any form of gambling garbage is too difficult and to inconsistent


    It’s one of the only sports high level amateur could be the professional for one day But of course four days the pro wins by 20 shots or more
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  18. 01-08-22 08:27 AM #18
    RangeFinder
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    Quote Originally Posted by jjgold View Post
    A future is probably a better play like I said day-to-day matchups are the most random thing in any form of gambling garbage is too difficult and to inconsistent
    It’s one of the only sports high level amateur could be the professional for one day But of course four days the pro wins by 20 shots or more

    All depends on the numbers the books put out. Sometimes books miss although they have been better the last few years at keeping up. I think this tournament they went to sleep on a few guys because it is the beginning of the year and some din't play for a few months.
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  19. 01-08-22 08:41 AM #19
    KnuckleHeadz
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    Glen the sharp on point as usual
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  20. 01-08-22 11:06 AM #20
    jjgold
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    How is juice on matchups?

    20 cent lines up to 180?
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  21. 01-08-22 12:05 PM #21
    RangeFinder
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    Quote Originally Posted by jjgold View Post
    How is juice on matchups?

    20 cent lines up to 180?
    Pretty much. 200 lines are 30+
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  22. 01-08-22 12:47 PM #22
    MOBIL19
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    Quote Originally Posted by RangeFinder View Post
    Well, there's only two days left so the 4 day is gone. Matsuyama is a good play to make a run to the top who sits at around 15-1 to win it tomorrow. He was playing really well finishing up yesterday and I think he continues to make is way up the leaderboard today to put himself in position tomorrow to make some noise.

    Koepka might also make a run and hitting great irons to the green and just missing putts. If he gets the flat stick going, watch out.

    Rahm is going to contend but don't like his number, I think he's too short of price.

    Cantlay is a decent number at 5-1.

    So I have plays on Matsuyama and Cantlay to make a run. However, if Smith keeps sinking prayer putts the way he has, there isn't anyone going to catch him.

    Also keep in mind the course is drying out so it will not favor the long hitters as the ball rolls out, alot. It's bad because most of the fairways are slanted and roll outs will go to the rough or worse.
    Rootin' for 'Deki rest of the way!
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  23. 01-09-22 08:23 AM #23
    BigJay
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    The thing you do with Cam Smith is…

    https://m.youtube.com/watch?reload=9...k=true&noapp=1
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  24. 01-09-22 10:13 AM #24
    RangeFinder
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    Alright, so this tournament is down to two guys, which I see as a toss up.

    I played Cam Smith at +133 against Rahm for the 4th Round for the simple fact that the course does not favor long hitters like Rahm and will come down to the short game which I think Smith has a slight edge.

    One thing to think about for you live traders is grabbing Rahm at -1/2 against Smith 4th round and I think Rahm gets out to a lead, trade it back for profit. That probably will happen at one point to grab you some extra cash.
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  25. 01-09-22 11:39 AM #25
    Bostongambler
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    Glenn, don’t you think that all that info is factored into the +133 price?
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  26. 01-09-22 12:50 PM #26
    jjgold
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    What a pathetic course it’s embarrassing that professionals are playing on this it’s a high school type layout
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  27. 01-09-22 03:45 PM #27
    RangeFinder
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    Quote Originally Posted by Bostongambler View Post
    Glenn, don’t you think that all that info is factored into the +133 price?
    No. It played to long hitters when the course was soft the first few days. The course dried out late yesterday but books never adjusted. Smith has the lead back and Rahm is struggling with his drive early.
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  28. 01-09-22 03:52 PM #28
    JacketFan81
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    Quote Originally Posted by jjgold View Post
    What a pathetic course it’s embarrassing that professionals are playing on this it’s a high school type layout
    Goldie are you shooting 5 under these days on Lancaster National or something?
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  29. 01-09-22 03:54 PM #29
    Bostongambler
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    Quote Originally Posted by RangeFinder View Post
    No. It played to long hitters when the course was soft the first few days. The course dried out late yesterday but books never adjusted. Smith has the lead back and Rahm is struggling with his drive early.
    Ok Glenn ok, I see you.
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  30. 01-09-22 06:59 PM #30
    jjgold
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    I’m 105 type shooter

    Quote Originally Posted by JacketFan81 View Post
    Goldie are you shooting 5 under these days on Lancaster National or something?
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