1. #1
    lakerboy
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    Why are Braves-220 to win the series?

    +115 today.

    I'm guessing roughly the same or more Tomorrow if it goes 7.

    ???

  2. #2
    ChuckyTheGoat
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    Quote Originally Posted by lakerboy View Post
    +115 today.

    I'm guessing roughly the same or more Tomorrow if it goes 7.

    ???

    Cmon, Laker, u know this. Small Fav who has to win TWICE. -130 x2...means -220 is about right. +/- a little.

    You see this often in NHL series. If the Game 1 Home Fav is a SMALL fav...they may well be a Series Dog. Because they'd figure to be +180 in the road games.

    Corollary question: *Any extra value on HOU home in two big games? If you think they ride out the Home value, +200 is the parlay. MIGHT get better rollover on the two games, tho.

  3. #3
    pavyracer
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    Is it a typo? They should be +100.

    Got +100 from my local this morning. Maxed out at +500.

  4. #4
    lakerboy
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    Quote Originally Posted by ChuckyTheGoat View Post
    Cmon, Laker, u know this. Small Fav who has to win TWICE. -130 x2...means -220 is about right. +/- a little.

    You see this often in NHL series. If the Game 1 Home Fav is a SMALL fav...they may well be a Series Dog. Because they'd figure to be +180 in the road games.

    Corollary question: *Any extra value on HOU home in two big games? If you think they ride out the Home value, +200 is the parlay. MIGHT get better rollover on the two games, tho.
    -130?

    They are+115 today.

    Same tomorrow.

  5. #5
    MinnesotaFats
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    Dusty Baker

    Final Answer

  6. #6
    Machba
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    Quote Originally Posted by lakerboy View Post
    +115 today.

    I'm guessing roughly the same or more Tomorrow if it goes 7.

    ???
    It's not going 7!

  7. #7
    lakerboy
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    Lt profit
    Please hop in

  8. #8
    LT Profits
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    Quote Originally Posted by lakerboy View Post
    Lt profit
    Please hop in
    Chucky got this. Braves only need to win once, Astros twice.

    So if we assume Astros -130 both nights:

    -130 = implied 56.52%

    so .5652^2 = .3194

    Round to 32% and that makes Braves 68% = -213

  9. #9
    lakerboy
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    Thank you

  10. #10
    ChuckyTheGoat
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    Quote Originally Posted by LT Profits View Post
    Chucky got this. Braves only need to win once, Astros twice.

    So if we assume Astros -130 both nights:

    -130 = implied 56.52%

    so .5652^2 = .3194

    Round to 32% and that makes Braves 68% = -213
    Yes, LT. That's what I meant. It's like a Hou/Hou parlay vs Braves having two chances to win.

    You sometimes see lines like this in a series. Think about NBA team who is down 3-2 but with TWO home games upcoming. Seems like they just have to hold serve, but they have two chances to lose.

  11. #11
    MinnesotaFats
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    Noone makes money betting on Dusty Baker

  12. #12
    pavyracer
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    There was value with the Astros when they were down 5-0 at +1100 live.

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