1. #1
    thomorino
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    Four 5 NFL Unit Bets for Week 1

    -7.6 units for the regular season last year in the NFL with absurd negative variance early in the year

    Each bet in this thread is to win 5 units

    Tampa Bay -8.5 -105

    Dak got no reps in the preseason and Dallas has multiple injuries along their offensive line, including to Martin, who is the best interior offensive linemen in the league. Dak depends on his running game and short passing game, but Tampa's front 7 is very strong against the run and Dallas's offensive line injuries should hurt the running game.

    Denver -3 -105

    Bridgewater doesn't usually make big mistakes and Denver's defense has been very strong. The Giants offensive line was trash last year pass protection and looked bad in preseason, Denver's front 7 should be strong. Barkley won't be ready for major reps week 1 even if he plays.

    Dolphins-Patriots under 43.5 -115

    Belichick won't let a rookie quarterback lose the game for his team and the Patriots will be conservative unless they get down big. Patriots defense should be much better this year with Judon and other key players back and added. Tua has been inconsistent and he doesn't throw deep. The Dolphins defense has been strong. Patriots should run and slow the game down with a rookie starting.

    Eagles +3.5 -120

    Atlanta has injuries on the offensive line and with Julio Jones gone the offense will likely struggle early in the year. Ryan got almost no reps in preseason despite playing in a new system with new coaches. Eagles receivers look strong and the offensive line is healthy. The Eagles defensive line is strong and Atlanta is weak at receiver, the Eagles secondary should be fine.
    Points Awarded:

    DwightShrute gave thomorino 1 Betpoint(s) for this post.


  2. #2
    jjgold
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    2-2

  3. #3
    sweethook
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    gl... bobby

  4. #4
    stake1
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    Thank you for posting them early "thom terrific"

  5. #5
    KiDBaZkiT
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    Get em Thom

  6. #6
    big joe 1212
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    Is there a subscription fee to access these threads?

  7. #7
    lonegambler23
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    how much are units brother?

  8. #8
    las8
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    what was your NBA record last last season?

  9. #9
    Buckandadime
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    Quote Originally Posted by thomorino View Post
    -7.6 units for the regular season last year in the NFL with absurd negative variance early in the year
    .
    Every thread starts the same..
    With a "negative variance" excuse..

  10. #10
    thomorino
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    Quote Originally Posted by stake1 View Post
    Thank you for posting them early "thom terrific"
    Quote Originally Posted by lonegambler23 View Post
    how much are units brother?
    Quote Originally Posted by las8 View Post
    what was your NBA record last last season?
    Quote Originally Posted by Buckandadime View Post

    Every thread starts the same..
    With a "negative variance" excuse..
    Dumb shits

  11. #11
    Str8Mush4Life
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    Thank you for this. I've been getting cleaned in my PLO8 games.

    Beware fellow faders, I am fading Morino for the year. Which usually turns the tides.

    You're welcome Thom.........

  12. #12
    Str8Mush4Life
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    As a lifelong Eagles fan be warned that our receivers are far from 'strong' and our secondary hasn't been fine in almost a decade, even in 2017........

  13. #13
    johnnyvegas13
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    Do u really hav to b on the Bucs ???

  14. #14
    stake1
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    Quote Originally Posted by johnnyvegas13 View Post
    Do u really hav to b on the Bucs ???
    Cowboys will cover the 8’

  15. #15
    thomorino
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    Quote Originally Posted by johnnyvegas13 View Post
    Do u really hav to b on the Bucs ???
    You are a dumb shit.

  16. #16
    thomorino
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    Quote Originally Posted by Str8Mush4Life View Post
    As a lifelong Eagles fan be warned that our receivers are far from 'strong' and our secondary hasn't been fine in almost a decade, even in 2017........
    Watkins.looks very good and sets has looked strong too. Smith will be ready, Atlanta is very weak at receiver you dumb shit.

  17. #17
    Booya711
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    All losers as usual

  18. #18
    vitterd
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    When he posted this I envisioned the scene in casino when Ace made his picks and everybody ran to the phone to get their bets in.
    Nomination(s):
    This post was nominated 1 time . To view the nominated thread please click here. People who nominated: hubie69

  19. #19
    thomorino
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    Quote Originally Posted by Booya711 View Post
    All losers as usual
    Quote Originally Posted by vitterd View Post
    When he posted this I envisioned the scene in casino when Ace made his picks and everybody ran to the phone to get their bets in.
    Dumb shits

  20. #20
    unde0087
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    Guys, it was bad variance last year, did no one read that. They need to make a new star wars series on the variance. It isn't about the force anymore guys, it is the variance. If you don't feel the variance inside you, you have no chance. You will turn to the dark side = winning.

  21. #21
    unde0087
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    Morino, when you talk stats and variance. Do you understand what that means? Asking for a friend because your variance isn't really a variance in math terms.

  22. #22
    pimike
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    Good luck this year.



  23. #23
    thomorino
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    Quote Originally Posted by unde0087 View Post
    Guys, it was bad variance last year, did no one read that. They need to make a new star wars series on the variance. It isn't about the force anymore guys, it is the variance. If you don't feel the variance inside you, you have no chance. You will turn to the dark side = winning.
    Quote Originally Posted by unde0087 View Post
    Morino, when you talk stats and variance. Do you understand what that means? Asking for a friend because your variance isn't really a variance in math terms.
    The term is variance, not a variance. Just stop dumb shit.

  24. #24
    thomorino
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    Quote Originally Posted by pimike View Post
    Good luck this year.


    If not for the absurd bad luck I had at the beginning of last year I would have had a very strong record.

  25. #25
    unde0087
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    Quote Originally Posted by thomorino View Post
    The term is variance, not a variance. Just stop dumb shit.
    well my drunk spelling of the term is way more on point then how you use it. That term is used when things change in statistical terms. Not when they are always the same.

  26. #26
    lonegambler23
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    Quote Originally Posted by thomorino View Post
    If not for the absurd bad luck I had at the beginning of last year I would have had a very strong record.
    thats gambling u fuking moron

  27. #27
    thomorino
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    Quote Originally Posted by unde0087 View Post

    well my drunk spelling of the term is way more on point then how you use it. That term is used when things change in statistical terms. Not when they are always the same.
    Quote Originally Posted by lonegambler23 View Post

    thats gambling u fuking moron
    Wrong, dumb shits

  28. #28
    JayDr3am
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    gl this season morino

  29. #29
    thomorino
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    Quote Originally Posted by JayDr3am View Post
    gl this season morino
    It seems like last season ended years ago, should be interesting this year as usual.

  30. #30
    stake1
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    Quote Originally Posted by vitterd View Post
    When he posted this I envisioned the scene in casino when Ace made his picks and everybody ran to the phone to get their bets in.

  31. #31
    johnnyvegas13
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    I am on bucs tonight

    bot worried about the mush here

  32. #32
    johnnyvegas13
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    I hate to say it but I like Moroni week 1 card

    maybe not Denver but the other 3

  33. #33
    hubie69
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    Quote Originally Posted by vitterd View Post
    When he posted this I envisioned the scene in casino when Ace made his picks and everybody ran to the phone to get their bets in.

  34. #34
    comet52
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    Tampa -6.5 was good value 3 weeks ago. Value is gone.

  35. #35
    johnnyvegas13
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    Quote Originally Posted by comet52 View Post
    Tampa -6.5 was good value 3 weeks ago. Value is gone.
    If they roll they roll

    any number under 10 wins

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