[The Kraken]

2040

NCAA is dying

Most of their revenue came from not having to pay "amateur" athletes, and football.

Well, now the rabbit has the gun and the SEC is gonna call all the shots

NCAA will be down on bended knee begging the SEC not to SECede

[19th Hole]

Spot on Kracken.

[Roger T. Bannon]

2021.

[Roger T. Bannon]

The only reason for the NCAA is to keep schools down and protect the big conferences. They will keep the SEC in charge so they will stay around.

[DrunkHorseplayer]

Sounds logical but no one knows how this will play out. What's going to happen when less visible players start complaining about the QB getting millions while they get nothing? Will some teams or conferences pool the cash and split it evenly? Will the big money earners sue at the risk of alienating teammates? Will there be a union to bargain an agreement? If so, will that agreement allow or restrict players fron going to play elsewhere? So many unknowns.

[Roger T. Bannon]

If players do not complain about the coaches making millions, why would you expect them to complain about the QB? What players are going to do is transfer at incredibly high rates.

An agreement is with the player. There is nothing for them to split evenly.

Are players going to try to get paid? Probably pretty soon. Will there be a union? Yes, if they get the chance to get paid.

Players are going to transfer where they have the best chance to play and make the most money. So SEC is not likely to be able to hold as much talent as they have in the past but they will get the better talent through recruiting and transfers. So SEC schools will probably get slightly better but lower level schools will be getting a lot better in some cases.

The SEC and Big 10 and Pac 12 are AAA. The other conferences are AA. The MAC and Sunbelt are A ball. Players are going to move around to try to develop their skills at each level. The most important thing for any player is going to be to play and get seen and get paid.

[Roger T. Bannon]

The future of the NCAA is Michigan State. They needed a lot of help so they went out and got people. Transferred in the Temple QB because they were not happy with the starter. The starter decides he will transfer to Northern Illinois. They needed a little help at RB so they transferred in a Wake Forest running back. Big trouble in the secondary so they transfer in an Arizona, Florida, Alabama and Louisville guy.

In the past, maybe one of these guys would have transferred and he would have sat out a year. Now you just go get a free agent and money is obviously changing hands. This is how it is going to be everywhere.

[Roger T. Bannon]

The interesting thing about the NCAA now is that there has never been a professional sport with unlimited free agency. That is what you have now in the NCAA. So Texas Tech will recruit and develop a really good QB and then USC will just grab him. So these teams are not going to like this much and are going to want to start having rights to players. That will mean they have to pay them and sign them to contracts.

[DrunkHorseplayer]

As I said, you don't know how this will play out. There is going to be resentment among lessr paid players, there will be talk of pooling the money and their will be some resistance to that. Beyond that, no one knows although I wouldn't be surprised if some schools drop conferences and negotiate their own schedules.

[Roger T. Bannon]

I don't think it is hard to know how it is going to play out. They are going to want their own NIL contracts and are going to try to get the highest paying ones. They are not going to try to get their teammates'. That is not how it works.

Teams are not going to drop out of conferences because they are making millions of dollars. Are they going to take less money? If they can get more money, they will go to another conference. We have the whole Big 12 trying desperately to get more money. They can't find it. They will take it from anyone.

Teams are going to go independent? They need to be able to make their own schedules outside of conferences. That works for BYU and Notre Dame because they have TV helping them organize games.

The thing for the Big 12 to do is break away from the NCAA and pay the players. Is anybody going to do that? Where is the money going to go? It will go to the players. No school is going to do that because they will lower their own salaries. They want to go to the higher paying schools. It is a big club.

The NCAA has lifted transfer restrictions because they are concerned about the plantation comparison of their rules. They could try to go back on that but the way forward here is for players to make more money. There is no going back. There is too much money being made and the players are going to get more of it.

[DrunkHorseplayer]

I can also see schools demanding a percentage of players' NIL money in return for letting them play for the team; the schools might even collude which will lead to serious litigation.

[Roger T. Bannon]

I can also see schools demanding a percentage of players' NIL money in return for letting them play for the team; the schools might even collude which will lead to serious litigation.

LOL. Forget it man. They are making all that TV money and paying their coaches millions. Assistants get paid millions. They are not demanding anything. They are just hoping they don't have to pay them.

[seaborneq]

NIL is NOT going anywhere. NCAA should should tuck their tails and get out of the way. Take away the NCAA and no one has been vocal and standing on moral high ground that players shouldn’t be paid. One thing that should happen immediately is no more reporting on how much a player makes on NIL. It should be just as private as injuries under HIPPA. It’s nobody’s business how much a player makes through NIL. Reporting on how much a player makes through NIL is slimy business. It benefits nobody.

[seaborneq]

NCAA is already dead.