1. #1
    topgame85
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    This is the type of play we live for. Italy beats Turkey 3-0. Negative recency bias.

    Wales plays Swiss tight. Shocker, everyone does. Positive recency bias.

    Stick to money management if this isn't a hobby. If it is a hobby, go in with that bankroll!

    Turkey will bury the proud, yet unprepared Welsh.

  2. #2
    Thrilla
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    Turkey sucked ass against Italy. Worst game probably in 30 years. The only thing going for them tomorrow is that the match is played in Azerbayjan, a brother nation close to home. Crowd support will be huge.

  3. #3
    topgame85
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    Quote Originally Posted by Thrilla View Post
    Turkey sucked ass against Italy. Worst game probably in 30 years. The only thing going for them tomorrow is that the match is played in Azerbayjan, a brother nation close to home. Crowd support will be huge.
    Fair. So a bounce back spot, on friendly turf? Do you have reservations about them after the last match? Not being a smart ass, respect your opinion.

  4. #4
    Allure
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    Turkey wins. Easily.

    If the only thing going for them is playing in Azerbaijan than you'd be stupid not to play Wales.

  5. #5
    lakerboy
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    Turkey points in group stage over 2.5-147 under +110 at pinnacle.
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  6. #6
    Thrilla
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    Quote Originally Posted by Allure View Post
    Turkey wins. Easily.

    If the only thing going for them is playing in Azerbaijan than you'd be stupid not to play Wales.
    Why did you call them scared v Italy then? lol so you just gonna gamble that they wont this time? OK. To me it's a repeat of the 2016 euros thus far.

    Gamer it's a bounce back spot if they show initiative with the ball. That's what was lacking v Italy. Not even an attempt to respond after the 2-0, against Italy of all nations. Italians have little use with the ball after taking the lead and the Turks stayed passive.

  7. #7
    topgame85
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    Quote Originally Posted by Thrilla View Post
    Why did you call them scared v Italy then? lol so you just gonna gamble that they wont this time? OK. To me it's a repeat of the 2016 euros thus far.

    Gamer it's a bounce back spot if they show initiative with the ball. That's what was lacking v Italy. Not even an attempt to respond after the 2-0, against Italy of all nations. Italians have little use with the ball after taking the lead and the Turks stayed passive.
    Well, one thing we know, Wales isn't afraid. They are used to being the little guy and underdog.

    Not trying to put you on the spot, but it sounds like you feel Wales is attractive at the odds?

  8. #8
    Thrilla
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    Quote Originally Posted by topgame85 View Post
    Well, one thing we know, Wales isn't afraid. They are used to being the little guy and underdog.

    Not trying to put you on the spot, but it sounds like you feel Wales is attractive at the odds?
    Don't find value either way. Odds are correct where they stand right now. Maybe I'll bet live.

    Approx an hour before kick-off I expect money coming in on Turkey based on that crowd support advantage. Bet now if you like Turkey. Wait if you like Wales.

  9. #9
    cincinnatikid513
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    draw 1-1
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  10. #10
    Allure
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    Quote Originally Posted by Thrilla View Post
    Why did you call them scared v Italy then? lol so you just gonna gamble that they wont this time? OK. To me it's a repeat of the 2016 euros thus far.

    Gamer it's a bounce back spot if they show initiative with the ball. That's what was lacking v Italy. Not even an attempt to respond after the 2-0, against Italy of all nations. Italians have little use with the ball after taking the lead and the Turks stayed passive.
    So you are comparing Italy with Wales? Losing to Italy means you'll also lose to Wales?

    What exactly makes you think Turkey won't beat Wales. What's the analysis?

  11. #11
    Allure
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    One thing is true however: if you like Turkey take them now, if you like Wales take them before kick-off.

  12. #12
    Thrilla
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    Quote Originally Posted by Allure View Post
    So you are comparing Italy with Wales? Losing to Italy means you'll also lose to Wales?

    What exactly makes you think Turkey won't beat Wales. What's the analysis?
    That's not what my post says and I didnt say Turkey wont beat Wales.

  13. #13
    Goat Milk
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    I've never watched Turkey play. Wales was good 4 years ago, very good. No opinion on this match. If Bale is anything like he was in 2016, it will be lights out for Turkey. If not, Wales will struggle. Someone the other day told me that Griezman was no longer an elite player. Knee jerk reactions. Many athletes don't care about club play. It's the international stage where they make a name. Griezman was flying all over the pitch today. He was clearly one of the best players on it, if not the best.

  14. #14
    cincinnatikid513
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    russia
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  15. #15
    lakerboy
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    Line flipped
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  16. #16
    Goat Milk
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    Value is gone on Wales.

    Maybe Turkey -1.5 is the play?
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  17. #17
    midnighthour91
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    Might live bet Turkey ML at +180

  18. #18
    JayLA
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    Quote Originally Posted by midnighthour91 View Post
    Might live bet Turkey ML at +180
    why?

  19. #19
    lakerboy
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    Quote Originally Posted by JayLA View Post
    why?
    Because +850 right now is no good.
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  20. #20
    JayLA
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    Quote Originally Posted by lakerboy View Post
    Because +850 right now is no good.
    even turkey DNB is +700

  21. #21
    lakerboy
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    Quote Originally Posted by JayLA View Post
    even turkey DNB is +700
    Our over is dead man. Goddamn seaweed jinxed turkey
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  22. #22
    JayLA
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    Maybe he meant turkey +.05 +190?

    Turkey's getting dominated at both ends

  23. #23
    Thrilla
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    Deserved lead for Wales. If Turkey doesn't make this a 60/40 game in the 2nd half they officially overrated.

  24. #24
    JayLA
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    Quote Originally Posted by lakerboy View Post
    Our over is dead man. Goddamn seaweed jinxed turkey
    i dunno lb, i'm liking our chances here for over 2.5 at least

  25. #25
    Thrilla
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    Thought it would be a more hostile atmosphere. 30k pro Turkey fans don't seem much in a 70k max stadium. Must add Olympic stadium. Those running tracks around the pitch is a barrier between the fans' angry faces and Welsh players.

    Hungary at home leads the fan intensity so far.

  26. #26
    Allure
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    People have been talking on how to start and who to start after the Italy game yet that fukking cunnt "coach" is letting the team play the exact shit. Costing me 7 units. A fukking chair would coach this team better. Useless cunnt.

    And the fans, ridiculous. Could have played in Ghana would have made a difference.

  27. #27
    lakerboy
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    Piece of shit bale
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  28. #28
    JayLA
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    Quote Originally Posted by lakerboy View Post
    Piece of shit bale
    twice

  29. #29
    JayLA
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    turkey simply doesn't have definition in the box, too inexperienced and scared
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  30. #30
    lonegambler23
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    anything with turkey and a bet for the ages in the same sentence, never goes well..
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  31. #31
    Allure
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    Well at least we now know to take Switzerland -1.5 vs these fukktards. I hope that coach dies today. And painfully please, thanks.

  32. #32
    KVB
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    Quote Originally Posted by Allure View Post
    Well at least we now know to take Switzerland -1.5 vs these fukktards. I hope that coach dies today. And painfully please, thanks.
    Well, I was going to jokingly ask "did he win?" but I think this post says it all.

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  33. #33
    Goat Milk
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    If I never saw this thread I was taking Wales all day. Made me overthink it and ended up taking Turkey. Dumb bet. You take the team with the better players, not hard.
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  34. #34
    smarotta09
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    Quote Originally Posted by topgame85 View Post
    This is the type of play we live for. Italy beats Turkey 3-0. Negative recency bias.

    Wales plays Swiss tight. Shocker, everyone does. Positive recency bias.

    Stick to money management if this isn't a hobby. If it is a hobby, go in with that bankroll!

    Turkey will bury the proud, yet unprepared Welsh.
    yikes....

  35. #35
    Thrilla
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    Quote Originally Posted by lonegambler23 View Post
    anything with turkey and a bet for the ages in the same sentence, never goes well..
    Which is why I felt obligated to question the play. Where were you? Oh yeah that's right you only show up after the fact. Got any tennis bombers for us?

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