1. #1
    degennn
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    I have an eye test for you sharp friends

    Alijaz Bedene +102 ranked 54
    Marco checcinato -114 ranked 104

    Bedene holds h2h record of 7-0. 6 of which is on clay.

    Match is being played in italian clay. Marco is italian.

    Most shops opened marco in the -130 to -140 range.

    Bedene opened in the +110 to +118 range with 2 shops opening him as a short fave -108.
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  2. #2
    Chiefs83
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    Marco Checcinato the play...to hood to be true...I donít know but someone does

  3. #3
    rm18
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    I don't follow tennis but would say Marco is going to win.

  4. #4
    jtoler
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    lean chec

  5. #5
    KiDBaZkiT
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    I was hoping to open the thread and see some women bent over in thongs.....

  6. #6
    degennn
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    Marco gotta be the play right? That's what I'm thinking...how is bedene a dog.

  7. #7
    Doug tushyterror
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    Quote Originally Posted by degennn View Post
    Alijaz Bedene +102 ranked 54
    Marco checcinato -114 ranked 104

    Bedene holds h2h record of 7-0. 6 of which is on clay.

    Match is being played in italian clay. Marco is italian.

    Most shops opened marco in the -130 to -140 range.

    Bedene opened in the +110 to +118 range with 2 shops opening him as a short fave -108.
    Noticed that H2H yesterday afternoon as well but if you look deeper it's slightly deceptive. 5 of those wins were before 2018 when Cecc had his FO SF run & one in 2019 came 2 days after Cecc won Buenos Aires. I also lean Cecc but it could just be a matchup problem for him like Kevin Anderson (0-12) vs Berdych which made no sense on paper.

  8. #8
    degennn
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    Quote Originally Posted by Doug tushyterror View Post
    Noticed that H2H yesterday afternoon as well but if you look deeper it's slightly deceptive. 5 of those wins were before 2018 when Cecc had his FO SF run & one in 2019 came 2 days after Cecc won Buenos Aires. I also lean Cecc but it could just be a matchup problem for him like Kevin Anderson (0-12) vs Berdych which made no sense on paper.
    This is a high quality response. Thank you!

  9. #9
    Doug tushyterror
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    Quote Originally Posted by degennn View Post
    This is a high quality response. Thank you!
    Anytime!

  10. #10
    Unrivaled
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    Marco sucks donkey balls this year.

    There is no way you can play him against someone who always beats him.

  11. #11
    degennn
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    Quote Originally Posted by Unrivaled View Post
    Marco sucks donkey balls this year.

    There is no way you can play him against someone who always beats him.
    It's tough to put money on him for sure. But I probably will. Ceccin tommorow to tell me you told me so.

  12. #12
    jtoler
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    Quote Originally Posted by Unrivaled View Post
    Marco sucks donkey balls this year.

    There is no way you can play him against someone who always beats him.
    I hear ya but none of that matters if its not as organic this time around

  13. #13
    Doug tushyterror
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    Quote Originally Posted by degennn View Post
    It's tough to put money on him for sure. But I probably will. Ceccin tommorow to tell me you told me so.
    If you're looking for a solid dog today why not batshit Benoit? (+246). Besides the Bunde exho. he smoked Munar in the other 2 meetings. He really should've beat Koepfer last wk. where he actually seemed motivated to win.

  14. #14
    degennn
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    Quote Originally Posted by Doug tushyterror View Post
    If you're looking for a solid dog today why not batshit Benoit? (+246). Besides the Bunde exho. he smoked Munar in the other 2 meetings. He really should've beat Koepfer last wk. where he actually seemed motivated to win.
    Illl playyy deeesseee

  15. #15
    degennn
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    Cecc -106 now...still plenty of time to monitor. I love when a line flips.

  16. #16
    degennn
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    Cecc -102
    Puntinseva +167
    Andrej martin +197
    Paire +248
    Harmony tan +136

    Lessgooo

  17. #17
    nuxx??
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    Quote Originally Posted by Doug tushyterror View Post
    If you're looking for a solid dog today why not batshit Benoit? (+246). Besides the Bunde exho. he smoked Munar in the other 2 meetings. He really should've beat Koepfer last wk. where he actually seemed motivated to win.
    I doubt Benoit gives a shit about 250 in Parma.

  18. #18
    jjgold
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    All players care about 250's for points, rankings which lead to seedings

    Winning and losing is contagious on any level

    Nadal numerous times last few years after loses say he doubts himself a lot

    Joker does not want to lose another 250 this week because 1000000000% will then lose in French

    A lot has to do with confidence and thinking you can win or might lose based off previous results

  19. #19
    SamsNCharge99
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    Dougiee

  20. #20
    Doug tushyterror
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    Quote Originally Posted by SamsNCharge99 View Post
    Dougiee
    Sammy.. dope whip!

  21. #21
    nuxx??
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    Quote Originally Posted by jjgold View Post
    All players care about 250's for points, rankings which lead to seedings

    Winning and losing is contagious on any level

    Nadal numerous times last few years after loses say he doubts himself a lot

    Joker does not want to lose another 250 this week because 1000000000% will then lose in French

    A lot has to do with confidence and thinking you can win or might lose based off previous results
    That's not how tennis works jj. Alot of tennis players use 250's for warmup if a big tournament is coming up. Betting on 250 makes no sense unless you bet late rounds and see who is taking it seriously.

    Also, we're talking about psycho Paire who made it clear that quarantine had bad effects on him mentally and said he doesn't feel like playing. I'd skip this because you don't know which Paire shows up.

  22. #22
    Doug tushyterror
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    Quote Originally Posted by nuxx?? View Post
    I doubt Benoit gives a shit about 250 in Parma.
    Impossible to predict his motivation level but I actually disagree. Being the #2 seed he legit has a chance to do something this tourny & the 3 titles he won were all 250s. Line already dropped to +199 from +246 so that should tell you something.
    Last edited by Doug tushyterror; 05-26-21 at 07:17 AM.

  23. #23
    jjgold
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    Quote Originally Posted by nuxx?? View Post
    That's not how tennis works jj. Alot of tennis players use 250's for warmup if a big tournament is coming up. Betting on 250 makes no sense unless you bet late rounds and see who is taking it seriously.

    Also, we're talking about psycho Paire who made it clear that quarantine had bad effects on him mentally and said he doesn't feel like playing. I'd skip this because you don't know which Paire shows up.
    Yes but losing kills their confidence , winning non majors equates to doing well in majors 90% of the time

    SEEDINGS are very important in 1000's and Majors

  24. #24
    Chiefs83
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    Checcinato with the romp over Bedene... thanks

  25. #25
    RudyRuetigger
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    Quote Originally Posted by degennn View Post
    Alijaz Bedene +102 ranked 54
    Marco checcinato -114 ranked 104

    Bedene holds h2h record of 7-0. 6 of which is on clay.

    Match is being played in italian clay. Marco is italian.

    Most shops opened marco in the -130 to -140 range.

    Bedene opened in the +110 to +118 range with 2 shops opening him as a short fave -108.
    great post


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  26. #26
    Auto Donk
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    I thought the test would utilize this, and tell you that, if you can spot the tiny marble, you have well-above average vision:


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  27. #27
    SamsNCharge99
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    7-5 6-2 cecchinato

  28. #28
    degennn
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    Quote Originally Posted by RudyRuetigger View Post
    great post


    Thank you!

  29. #29
    degennn
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    Quote Originally Posted by Unrivaled View Post
    Marco sucks donkey balls this year.

    There is no way you can play him against someone who always beats him.
    Gombos...+190

  30. #30
    nuxx??
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    Gombos played almost 6h od tennis over 2 days, i'd say Cecchinator wins this easily.
    Last edited by nuxx??; 05-27-21 at 04:53 AM.

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