Originally Posted by
Waterstpub87
Give it a year or so, and if you are still interested I'd be happy to make that bet unless I see something change. Also, odds tend to favor democrats slightly, but it's an infrequent event, so it maybe have just been recently.
Respect the opinion, but I disagree. I don't think trump will be that big a deal now with the Republicans in a year, let alone 2. Most of the party wants to be over this at this point. And if the biggest topic of politics in two years is an ex-president, then we are in good spot that nothing else is a problem.
The part of the party that does still care, either won't vote or will get over it and vote republican. We can see which way, or how it goes with trump. Possibly Trump tries to salvage something and becomes a benefit, or just walks away.
Trump was a negative effect on the suburban swing type voters. I live in a district that was country club Republicans for 30 years, but have recently elected moderate democrats to congress. Are those voters all democrats now, or will they come back to the GOP with Trump gone? Even in this election, the congressional seats were close, with one time election rules that substantially benefit democrats.
If the democrats attempt to touch healthcare or anything that effects people lives, it will be 2010 again. If they do anything regard energy or climate change, which will raise energy costs, they will lose other districts. There are many voters who are democrats for now, but if you touch anything of their's, they will pull that red lever without a second thought.
See how Biden does as president. The best thing they could do is as little as possible with the exception of Covid. Biden, to his credit, it doing that now, refusing to commit to things. The problem is that the Republicans can waive anything crazy that the squad says. Americans like gridlock.