[hubie69]

Injuries aside for a moment (we'll come back to this), Loving Richmond -6.5@-110.

Richmond has significantly better efficiency margins (on both side of the ball) vs significantly better SOS.

Richmond also turns the ball over less (Despite having 16 TO's vs a very good WV team). The shooting metrics are very very close between these two teams, despite Richmond playing a much tougher schedule, and WV had an efg% of .645 and a TS% of .638, inflating Richmonds numbers a bit. Vandy will NOT shoot that well vs Richmond.

Vandy plays deep into their bench but has a significant number of injuries, most of which contribute:




My only concern in this game is Richmond just came off of West Virginia two days ago so the legs might be tired, and Vandy has only played 2 games on the season (12/13 vs Miss Valley St and 11/27 vs Valpo). I do however feel that Vandy's depth issues could be a concern here. Also Vandy shoots FT's at a much better clip, It's plausible Vandy catches the backdoor here but I doubt it.

The line looks like it opened -5.5 and is at -6.5, I think it'll keep climbing.

You have a chance to start the day of right here with Richmond as the short favorite, you'll likely also beat the closing line (no guarantees).

This isn't a lock (there are no locks). This isn't a guarantee. I don't provide your money back. This is what I'm riding tomorrow. If you like the other side I'll for sure listen, lay some logic on me and tell my why I'm wrong.

Buckle up boys for early basketball.

[carolinakid]

gl with the hump day action (ck)

[hubie69]

Thanks ck

[jjgold]

It’s only a numbers game Hubie
On paper it sure does look good

I might tail though

[hubie69]

It’s only a numbers game Hubie
On paper it sure does look good

I might tail though

This might be the first intelligent thing I've heard you say in over a decade. Bet numbers, not teams

[Orbison]

good info, mostly -7 out there now. i'll be curious to see what the line movement does tmrw morning. sounds like a medium to large sized play for you? any thoughts on the UMass/LaSalle tip that goes at the same time?

[hubie69]

good info, mostly -7 out there now. i'll be curious to see what the line movement does tmrw morning. sounds like a medium to large sized play for you? any thoughts on the UMass/LaSalle tip that goes at the same time?

This will be just a normal sized play for me. It's a game I like a lot, maybe 1.2 units. I don't stray much from my normal bet sizing. It's 1 game in a season filled with lots.

As to umass/La Salle, In taking a brief 30 second glance, they look pretty even and nothing specifically points me in one direction or the other. UMass has a slight shooting edge vs slightly lesser competition. La Salle does turn the ball over at a fairly decent clipp higher than UMass, and UMASS does force a few more turnovers on D, but not a lot. I would likely lean La Salle just due to SOS metrics, but absolutely a game I will not play.

[Easy-Rider 66]

Gl hubie

[Hot Jerry]

DUKE tomorrow !!

[hubie69]

Gl hubie

Thanks!

[jjgold]

I love guys looking at stats to bet a game, if that worked many people would win just like horses or stock charts

None of it works it is why people go to work daily

[hubie69]

I love guys looking at stats to bet a game, if that worked many people would win just like horses or stock charts

None of it works it is why people go to work daily

Anytime, anywhere, any Stakes JJ. Put up or Shut up

[Zlaniner]

WagerType:	Date:	Team:	Risking / To Win	Ticket#:
STRAIGHT BET	Dec 16	CBB [655] MASSACHUSETTS -5-110	100.00 SBR / 90.91 SBR	4607405

[mtneer1212]

West Virginia played their best half of basketball in 20 years against Richmond. I like this play a lot.

[Orbison]

hubie, are you playing the 1H as well or just FG?

[krk1030]

Beatdown early

[hubie69]

hubie, are you playing the 1H as well or just FG?

Just FG. I don't play a ton of 1H's. I might if the team I like happens to be a single digit favorite and isn't great at FT's. It's kind of a play it by ear thing, but not very often.

I'm certainly not opposed to playing first halves but I feel like my numbers and data are good enough for a full 40 minutes

[Twisted_One]

Thought u guys might wanna listen just click audio tried to post but wqasnt wrkin thru phone they said pre game how much of a mess vandy is with all the vid etc SO far so good Spiders do look/sound crisp I will say that.

https://richmondspiders.com/watch/?Live=326&type=Live

[hubie69]

It'd be nice if they could get the clocks figured out. Kind of messing with the flow of the game here.

[Twisted_One]

Ive been tryin to browse school pages for audio pre game with all the shit goin on you sumtimes catch an angle but its always so last minute.

[Otters27]

Great call

[hubie69]

Great call

We're not home yet Otters. Got a whole nother half to go.

[stackz125]

No lead is safe in hoops!

[Twisted_One]

No lead is safe in hoops!

Aint that the truth!! Vandy is def more awake. Pippen 1 man show

[Twisted_One]

Spiders better slow this shit down

[jjgold]

right on number basically

[Twisted_One]

[RudyRuetigger]

hubie you are still nonpro?


embarrassing

[hotcross]

hubie you are still nonpro?


embarrassing

I am in Iowa today combing the mean streets of Des Moines to address this with him

It's 24 degrees, snow and ice everywhere, so the dogs are having difficulty tracing the scent

[RudyRuetigger]

I am in Iowa today combing the mean streets of Des Moines to address this with him

It's 24 degrees, snow and ice everywhere, so the dogs are having difficulty tracing the scent

show them a picture of AL BORLAND from Home Improvement


maybe a flannel shirt?


Should get them on the right track

[Zlaniner]

WagerType:	Date:	Team:	Risking / To Win	Ticket#:
STRAIGHT BET	Dec 16	CBB [703] TOTAL o146-108 (NORTHEASTERN vrs SYRACUSE)	50.00 SBR / 46.30 SBR	4607652

[WalkingLuckCharm]

great work

[hubie69]

A little sweat at the end, but we got home.

DATA DOESN'T LIE

[RudyRuetigger]

hubie will you be using this money to go pro?

[Twisted_One]