1. #1
    jjgold
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    Monday Plays?? Vikings And Auto ML Play

    Yes

    Easily can be 6-2

  2. #2
    Snowball
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    Yes -2.5, -3.

  3. #3
    Da Manster!
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    I'm laying off...Arizona (+3.5) on Thursday night...

  4. #4
    pologq
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    love minny. means nothing cause i loved the eagles and took it up the ass.

  5. #5
    mikmik
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    Yea agree on minny, going with the better qb.
    Points Awarded:

    MinnesotaFats gave mikmik 1 SBR Point(s) for this post.


  6. #6
    The General
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    lopsided on Bears here mainly because of Horseshoe up in NW Indiana

  7. #7
    JIBBBY
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    Vikings the hotter team going in. Bears are in a free fall right now. Always go with the hotter team.

    Vikings it is!!!

  8. #8
    KVB
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    Quote Originally Posted by JIBBBY View Post
    ...Always go with the hotter team...
    Prove it.

    Can you?


  9. #9
    veriableodds
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    no edge as far as computer goes. Betting on emotional factors, due factors, trends, all lead down the gutter

  10. #10
    JIBBBY
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    Quote Originally Posted by KVB View Post
    Prove it.

    Can you?

    Prove what? It's just how I cap and bet sports, I go with what's trending. It usually works out for me on the grind over time.

  11. #11
    KVB
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    Quote Originally Posted by JIBBBY View Post
    Prove what? It's just how I cap and bet sports, I go with what's trending. It usually works out for me on the grind over time.
    If it's how you cap and bet sports then you can prove it easily without revealing anything.

    So prove it.


  12. #12
    KVB
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    Jibbs, do you get what I'm asking?

    Do you get why I'm asking?

    It's acutally an excellent teaching point for sports betting. That's what I'm aiming at here.

    We all know you are a streak rider and like the hot teams, I was just asking you to show it's success or why.

    Can you?


  13. #13
    JIBBBY
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    Quote Originally Posted by KVB View Post
    If it's how you cap and bet sports then you can prove it easily without revealing anything.

    So prove it.

    Relax KVB and just sit back and watch the Vikings win the game tonight..


  14. #14
    SamsNCharge99
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    Cousins 0-9 on MNF

    bears 5-4 could be 2-7

    line seems right. ON vikings

  15. #15
    KVB
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    Quote Originally Posted by JIBBBY View Post
    Relax KVB and just sit back and watch the Vikings win the game tonight...
    lol.

    Jiibs, let's pretend you had nothing in front of you, how would you go about showing it? I'm going to help you, like I said, there's a broader teaching point here.

    What do you define as "a hot team"?

    What if two hot teams face each other? Do you pass?


  16. #16
    KVB
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    Quote Originally Posted by SamsNCharge99 View Post
    Cousins 0-9 on MNF...
    That is just brutal.

  17. #17
    BIGDAY
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    Skol should cash.

  18. #18
    JIBBBY
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    Quote Originally Posted by KVB View Post
    lol.

    Jiibs, let's pretend you had nothing in front of you, how would you go about showing it? I'm going to help you, like I said, there's a broader teaching point here.

    What do you define as "a hot team"?

    What if two hot teams face each other? Do you pass?

    Ok KVB you're gonna make me work in this post. Who's hot and who's not? Bears have lost 3 games in a row, Vikings have won 2 straight now coming off the bye. Vikings the hotter team going into tonight's game. Neither team faced garbage teams either in both streaks.

    With empty stadiums I see no real home field advantage either in these games.


    Bears last 3 games.

    10/26 @ LA Rams L 24 - 10
    11/1 vs New Orleans L 26 - 23
    11/8 @ Tennessee L 24 - 17
    Date Home/Away Opponent Time
    11/16 vs Minnesota
    5:15 PM PST
    ESPN


    Vikings last 3 games -

    10/18 vs Atlanta L 40 - 23
    Bye Week
    11/1 @ Green Bay W 28 - 22
    11/8 vs Detroit W 34 - 20
    Date Home/Away Opponent Time
    11/16 @ Chicago
    5:15 PM PST
    ESPN
    Nomination(s):
    This post was nominated 1 time . To view the nominated thread please click here. People who nominated: KVB

  19. #19
    JIBBBY
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    Quote Originally Posted by SamsNCharge99 View Post
    Cousins 0-9 on MNF

    bears 5-4 could be 2-7

    line seems right. ON vikings
    Vikings have been running the ball lately, Cousins probably won't have to do much tonight. Vikings have been a run heavy team in their last 2 wins.

  20. #20
    asiagambler
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    Nagy is finally handing off playcalling duties to Bill Lazer. I don't know if that's good or bad for Bears

  21. #21
    KVB
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    Right on Jibbs.

    You are win/loss to define hot. Sounds good. You are even considering SOS in the mix to a degree.

    Are you going moneyline or did factor (even if just a subjective look, doesn't have to be numbers and math) a spread bet in there?

  22. #22
    KVB
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    I can tell you this much, I see Vikes -3.5 all over and I have every reason to believe that line will move to 4.

    Doesn't mean it won't go back down, but I think we see 4 in most places soon, I think.


  23. #23
    asiagambler
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    Quote Originally Posted by JIBBBY View Post
    Vikings have been running the ball lately, Cousins probably won't have to do much tonight. Vikings have been a run heavy team in their last 2 wins.
    Bears have one of the best run defenses in the NFL

  24. #24
    KVB
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    Jibbs?

    Curiously, have you been buying pittsburgh steelers in recent weeks? How about against JAX this week?

  25. #25
    JIBBBY
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    Quote Originally Posted by KVB View Post
    Jibbs?

    Curiously, have you been buying pittsburgh steelers in recent weeks? How about against JAX this week?
    I've been riding the Steelers in every game since week 2 if I remember correctly. Steelers have been an auto play for me now.

  26. #26
    KVB
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    Quote Originally Posted by JIBBBY View Post
    I've been riding the Steelers in every game since week 2 if I remember correctly. Steelers have been an auto play for me now.
    You've been winning too, they're like 6-1 ATS since week 2 I think.

  27. #27
    BigdaddyQH
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    Quote Originally Posted by KVB View Post
    That is just brutal.
    Almost as brutal as the butt kicking you are going to receive, Mr. Chickens**t. F**king coward.

  28. #28
    Orbison
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    Quote Originally Posted by asiagambler View Post
    Nagy is finally handing off playcalling duties to Bill Lazer. I don't know if that's good or bad for Bears
    yeah i'm not sure what to make of that either, i do know the Bears typically own the Vikes in Chicago though

  29. #29
    jjgold
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    Pound Minnesota into your rooster falls off

  30. #30
    veriableodds
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    Quote Originally Posted by jjgold View Post
    Pound Minnesota into your rooster falls off

    promoting no value betting

  31. #31
    CanuckG
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    Bears look like the trap of the day

    Cousins 0-9 MNF, 3-5 record, money is coming in on Bears at every book (home dogs killing it this year) and yet line moving the other way. Identical to Colts/Titans game.

  32. #32
    HockeyRocks
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    bears

  33. #33
    pinnacle420
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    The bears at home have looked pretty damn good this season!!! And cousins is maybe the worst quarterback to ever play on a Monday night game!! The bears at home + cousins being an awful MNF leader I think it’s a no brainer on this one!!! And I like the bears +3.5 and ML +160 and with the same numbers and theory’s you would have to snag the under 44 here too being a cold windy night in the chi-town!!

    leggggggooooo bears!!!

  34. #34
    johnnyvegas13
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    Quote Originally Posted by pinnacle420 View Post
    The bears at home have looked pretty damn good this season!!! And cousins is maybe the worst quarterback to ever play on a Monday night game!! The bears at home + cousins being an awful MNF leader I think it’s a no brainer on this one!!! And I like the bears +3.5 and ML +160 and with the same numbers and theory’s you would have to snag the under 44 here too being a cold windy night in the chi-town!!

    leggggggooooo bears!!!
    Nice write up

  35. #35
    KVB
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    Quote Originally Posted by CanuckG View Post
    Bears look like the trap of the day

    Cousins 0-9 MNF, 3-5 record, money is coming in on Bears at every book (home dogs killing it this year) and yet line moving the other way. Identical to Colts/Titans game.
    Home Dogs at the close are 29-24 this year against the spread and hitting 30% at 16-37 on the moneyline.

    Buying every home dog on the spread this season with the same unit would yield about +2.5 units while doing the same on the home dog moneyline would yield about -10 units.


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