Originally Posted by
stevenash
I'll keep this one short tonight fellas, I promise.
I really like the under 49 here,
Colts statistically speaking are the best defensive team in the NFL.
#! in least total yards allowed per game.
#3 across the board in rush defense, pass defense, and scoring defense.
Personally I think Henry will be a big part of the Titan offense tonight, rushes eat up clock which is conducive to a low scoring game.
I really don't see Tannehill and AJ Brown doing much damage either (Corey Davis as well)
Titans defense is at best ordinary, and my guy has always been Phillip Rivers, I've loved him now going on two decades I don't think the Colts have enough deep threat to score 28 points.
I don't need to go into 10 paragraphs tonight as to why I really like the under in this one.
Too much Colt defense, and not enough Colt deep threat to push this game into the 50's and I'm counting on RB Henry to chew up chunks of clock for me.
The props:
Rivers 261.5 yards, that's a tough one, a tad high but I can't bet under.
Tannehill 241.5, that's about right, I don't see an edge and can't bet it.
Henry 80.5 total rushing yards, you can't run on the Colts, however Henry is a top 3 RB in the NFL, he should get 22 touches and all it takes is 2 of them to go for 18 yards and screw your under, so can't play that either.
Game line (-1) is tight, no play.
Under 49 to me looks solid.