BOL today Mike !!!!
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11-29-20 11:26 AM #176
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11-29-20 11:32 AM #177
Mike you are Golden I tailed the over and the AZ play chargers down to 4 too late on that train Good Luck to one of the Best on Here
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11-29-20 11:33 AM #178
Thanks Mag and Harry.
Originally Posted by 44 Mag
BOL today Mike !!!!
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11-29-20 11:37 AM #179
On all this with you Mike. Gonna ride Denver down the tubes. Bet it when you posted the plays.
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11-29-20 11:46 AM #180
Been a tough week. Key injuries in game on Thanksgiving now this. Originally Posted by RonT73
What can I do. Lol
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11-29-20 12:17 PM #181
Seriously. And I think it's only going to get worse as we move forward. Originally Posted by pimike
I can't believe the changes COVID forces on us weekly.
It's almost unworkable.
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11-29-20 12:32 PM #182
Agree Originally Posted by KVB
Wouldn’t be surprised the cancel sports agin.
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11-29-20 12:40 PM #183
I'm losing half my triggers by Saturday in the cylcical Funds. There's no sturcture to the markets. Originally Posted by pimike
I don't see how Hoops is going to be much better.
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11-29-20 12:41 PM #184
Can the Chargers please just go for 2 every time they score a TD
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11-29-20 12:42 PM #185
Are games going to be played at SoFi? It's outside of Santa Clara county correct? So the 49ers could use it, in theory? Originally Posted by pimike
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11-29-20 01:07 PM #186
Cleveland is just so bad. How do they have a winning record ffs?
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11-29-20 03:14 PM #187
Tough day today pimike. Most of the games were flip coins to cover or not cover the spread.
Get them back next week.
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11-29-20 03:17 PM #188
I dont know what makes me wanna puke more that chargers loss or the cardinals loss
All three early games should of hit
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11-29-20 03:29 PM #189
- they going to playoff !! Originally Posted by Allure
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11-29-20 03:46 PM #190
Yep Originally Posted by kmarinouofm
Chargers have the worse coach in NFL. This guy actually had the field goal team coming out with 3 seconds left.
Arizona missing winning field goal
1-2 early games.
Looking at a potential 2nd half play with Tampa vs Chiefs.
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11-29-20 05:00 PM #191
Passing on 2nd half.
Points Awarded:
ARCHIVADO98 gave pimike 2 Betpoint(s) for this post.
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11-29-20 09:26 PM #192
up a lot why push it
GOOD DECISION SIR
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11-29-20 10:37 PM #193
We got Zaned
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11-29-20 11:02 PM #194
What are u talking about - winning ???? When and where ?? Wouldnt be for bad luck wouldnt have luck at all . Winning , whats that ??
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11-30-20 02:47 PM #195
Looking back at this thread and the posted teams it is amazing how many brutally close calls and bad breaks there are and yet overall the thread has a positive ROI. I know, I know...everyone can say the same thing regarding their gambling choices being so close but I don't remember a time seeing so many plays that were on the "right side" that ended up losing. For example, Chubbs stepping out of bounds.
Glad I found this thread. Keep up the awesome work PIMIKE and thanks for sharing your thoughts/picks. It is very much appreciated.
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11-30-20 03:26 PM #196
It's all noise aveeno, mike, like a few of us, knows what he's doing, that's why he's overcoming the noise, even if it's just positive variance. Originally Posted by aveeno
You can not judge whether or not a play was the "right side" once the game has started. That input isn't relevant anymore. It's like when posters say the line was "sharp" after the final score is in because it pushed or had the margin exactly. That's not the purpose of the line.
I hope that makes sense.
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11-30-20 04:03 PM #197
The "right side" is winning, and nobody knows more about that than Mike. He is one of the best, if not the best on here. You've been here what??? 3 days now??? We all appreciate the input. BOL on future endeavors. Originally Posted by aveeno
Glad to have you with us. PS; never go by me. Just a scrub on here.
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11-30-20 04:31 PM #198
Deciding the "right side" of a bet based on outcome is poor strategy.
Mainly because it's the wrong way to approach probability based decision making with a comparison to offered odds, all of which has variance.
That's the best I can put it.
Here's an example.
If two bettors bet a coin flip head to head, multipole times, and one puts up $1 while the other puts up $1.01 on each flip, the bettor who stands to win the $1.01 is on the right side, every time, assuming profit is the goal.
No matter where an individual flip lands, the right side is the one that pays the extra penny in the 50-50 odds.
He could put up his $1 against the other guy's $1.01 and lose 10 times in a row, he is still betting the right side, every time.
Don't let variance, which is a calculable mathematical fact, change that.
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11-30-20 04:52 PM #199
Appreciate you noticing.. 5 straight weeks of profit right here in this thread. Yet we get those that like to dwell on the one bad week. Originally Posted by aveeno
Lol
Again thanks for the kind write up!
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11-30-20 05:09 PM #200 Monday Night Football
Ok let’s try to start another 5 + weeks of profits.
Tonight Monday night we have the Seahawks vs Eagles.
Eagles have so much talent and had many injuries. However they are
healthy now more than they have been. Problem is they cant seem to get out of their own way. Lol
Now as for Seattle they don’t have a good defense plus they are traveling across country on the road. Seattle is clearly the better team.no question. However Philly remembers them beating them last year in the playoffs and this is a revenge factor here.
Seriously, the book is giving me a td here tonight with a home team healthy?
I’ll take that!
EAGLES + 7 -133 BAS. Yes I bought 6.5 to 7
Good luck whatever you decide.
I will tell you, it looks like I might have one of my biggest plays coming this next week. We shall see, Covid -19 aka the China Virus could change everything, so I have to be careful and not post so early.
Nomination(s):This post was nominated 1 time . To view the nominated thread please click here. People who nominated: KVB
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11-30-20 05:10 PM #201
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11-30-20 05:15 PM #202
Good Luck Mike!! Originally Posted by pimike
I'm on Philly +5, bought on the 25th.
Hopefully we both hit.
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11-30-20 05:15 PM #203
Yes!! Adding another 2 units. Originally Posted by pimike
Ok let’s try to start another 5 + weeks of profits.
Tonight Monday night we have the Seahawks vs Eagles.
Eagles have so much talent and had many injuries. However they are
healthy now more than they have been. Problem is they cant seem to get out of their own way. Lol
Now as for Seattle they don’t have a good defense plus they are traveling across country on the road. Seattle is clearly the better team.no question. However Philly remembers them beating them last year in the playoffs and this is a revenge factor here.
Seriously, the book is giving me a td here tonight with a home team healthy?
I’ll take that!
EAGLES + 7 -133 BAS. Yes I bought 6.5 to 7
Good luck whatever you decide.
I will tell you, it looks like I might have one of my biggest plays coming this next week. We shall see, Covid -19 aka the China Virus could change everything, so I have to be careful and not post so early.
Thanks Mike!
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11-30-20 05:17 PM #204
Mike you getting your plays from Walters??
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11-30-20 05:19 PM #205
Let’s cash!
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11-30-20 05:21 PM #206
Chichens**t. We all knoe that you do not wager real money, so it really does not madder, does it? Do your wife a favor. Increase your life insurance policy, if you can even get one with your mental history. Originally Posted by KVB
I'm losing half my triggers by Saturday in the cylcical Funds. There's no sturcture to the markets.
I don't see how Hoops is going to be much better.
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11-30-20 05:26 PM #207
”I got heat for niggas’ like you” ~ Jody Originally Posted by BigdaddyQH
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11-30-20 05:26 PM #208
Originally Posted by KVB
So, I guess losing can be calculated?? Who would want to????
Deciding the "right side" of a bet based on outcome is poor strategy.
I wish I knew the outcome before wagering
So losing is ok, based on your strategy. Good Lord.....
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11-30-20 05:36 PM #209
Of course it's ok. Originally Posted by 44 Mag
It's unrealistic to think you will win every bet you make.
I make 100's of +EV bets a year, I would not expect to win them all.
That would be a ridiculous expectation and mathematically impossible.
Read my example again, you have to account for price.
The subject is the right and wrong side of the bet, not whether or not you win or lose the bet. Read my example again.Last edited by KVB; 11-30-20 at 05:40 PM.
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11-30-20 05:39 PM #210
I will admit, I posted my example because I read this wrong. Originally Posted by 44 Mag
I read this as you saying the right side is the winning side, like the poster before you.
But that's not what you said, you said what I said, that Mike knows what he's doing.
Regardless, my example with a coin flip paying + odds is every bit the explanation necessary for those who don't understand this very essence of sports betting.
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