[hubie69]

My numbers have this spread right about in line with the -7.5 tonight.

Injuries:Coastal appears to be pretty healthy.
ULL on the other hand:
10/13/20 DB Asjlin Washington Quarantine is upgraded to probable Wednesday vs Coastal Carolina (DB #1)
10/13/20 LB Chauncey Manac COVID-19 is "?" Wednesday vs Coastal Carolina (2nd string LB)
10/13/20 RB Chris Smith Ankle is "?" Wednesday vs Coastal Carolina (3rd string RB, still a contributor)
10/13/20 RB Elijah Mitchell COVID-19 is upgraded to probable Wednesday vs Coastal Carolina (2nd string RB, still a contributor)
10/13/20 OL Max Mitchell COVID-19 is upgraded to probable Wednesday vs Coastal Carolina (starting Left Tackle)
10/13/20 WR Dontae Fleming Lower Body is upgraded to probable Wednesday vs Coastal Carolina (3rd best receiver)
10/13/20 DL Sonny Hazard Quarantine is upgraded to probable Wednesday vs Coastal Carolina (Backup)
10/13/20 DB Brandon Bishop Lower Body is downgraded to doubtful Wednesday vs Coastal Carolina
10/13/20 LB Joe Dillon COVID-19 is upgraded to probable Wednesday vs Coastal Carolina (Starting OLB)
10/13/20 DL Tayland Humphrey Quarantine is upgraded to probable Wednesday vs Coastal Carolina (Starting D-Line)
10/13/20 WR Peter LeBlanc Undisclosed is upgraded to probable Wednesday vs Coastal Carolina (Leading Receiver)
10/13/20 QB Jai'ave Magalei Quarantine is upgraded to probable Wednesday vs Coastal Carolina
10/13/20 DE Malcolm Rollins Upper Body is downgraded to doubtful Wednesday vs Coastal Carolina
10/13/20 TE Christian Sabatini Lower Body is downgraded to doubtful Wednesday vs Coastal Carolina
10/13/20 WR Cassius Allen Lower Body is downgraded to doubtful Wednesday vs Coastal Carolina
10/13/20 DL Dalvin Hutchinson Lower Body is downgraded to doubtful Wednesday vs Coastal Carolina
10/13/20 TE Neal Johnson Disciplinary is downgraded to doubtful Wednesday vs Coastal Carolina
10/13/20 LB Kyle Pierre Lower Body is downgraded to doubtful Wednesday vs Coastal Carolina
10/13/20 DL Kendall Wilkerson Upper Body is downgraded to doubtful Wednesday vs Coastal Carolina

This game will be played at Cajun Field (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cajun_Field). Weather Looks clear with little wind, so we shouldn't be impacted here. Should be clear.ULL has played a tougher schedule thanks to 1 game At Iowa State, which they won outright.
ULL won their next two games by 3points and 2 points, respectively.


Coastal does a great job on 3rd downs, ranking 4th in the Nation in 3rd down conversations. This Coastal Offense is also potent when it gets into the redzone, going 14-14 on RZ trips, including 13 TDs. Coastal also plays a very good clock control game, holding the ball for over 30 minutes in the win over Kansas and for 41 minutes vs. Arkansas State. UL offense is averaging 27:26 so far this season. Their QB is a dual threat QB, having 728 yards passing with nine TDs and one interception, as well as 139 yards rushing with two scores. The downside here is that he's a redshirt Freshman, so I expect him to make a few mistakes vs a ULL Defense allowing 21 points a game – No. 17 nationally.

On the FlipSide of this, The cajuns have one of the top O-Lines in the group of 5, and like to run the ball. They have 3 capable backs (1 of which is questionable, 1 of which is probable). They're pretty good in the air as well despite having a few injury concerns at WR, although they look to be probable.

I like ULL here under 7 if you can get it, despite the injuries. I think this game likely lands on 7. I tend to skew under (58.5 ish, depending where you bet at) as well. I think Coastal will eat some clock as best they can. I think the injuries will slow down ULL's offense enough to push this under. Again these are leans, not a solid feeling, just leans on both.

Keep an eye on the injury status of these players, ULL Football twitter may be helpful (https://twitter.com/RaginCajunsFB)

[hubie69]

Sorry for the edit, had to unpenetrate the SBR post formatting

[KVB]

I'm on the UPSET here Hubie...

The KVB NCAAF Visiting Dog ML Fund has picked up...

169

14-Oct

COASTAL CAR +245

Good Luck whatever you end up playing.

[jjgold]

Hubie is just a numbers game
Know how to read lines not players

[hubie69]

100% it's a numbers game. All day Long.

Every Player, Every Person, Every THING, can be boiled down to a number

If you're not doing this, you're a hamburger. What's up with your spreadsheet JJ?

[hubie69]

I'm on the UPSET here Hubie...


Good Luck whatever you end up playing.

+7.5 is a great number here KVB. Good Luck KVB. I'm not playing ULL at -7.5. Under a sharper number, imho.

[lakerboy]

Not a bad midweek game

[hubie69]

100% it's a numbers game. All day Long.

Every Player, Every Person, Every THING, can be boiled down to a number

If you're not doing this, you're a hamburger. What's up with your spreadsheet JJ?

JJ The Mods and I have your Hadicapping skills down to a singular number as well. It's not good. Might need to make a Video

[KVB]

Hubie is just a numbers game
Know how to read lines not players

Hey JJ, when you wash your face, how high do you go? How do you know when to stop?

Me? I get to the top of my forehead and run into a bunch of hair.

You?

[stackz125]

I wasvable to get ULL -7 last night at pinny.

[johnnyvegas13]

Did not know we had a decent gm tonight

what’s the play

csnt see ragers losing here

[Fred The Hammer]

I've been destroying college football, but the weeknight games are a little tougher imo

I'm on Coastal Carolina +7.5 fairly big. LaLaf loves to pound the ball, but their QB has 4 tds/3 picks so the passing game isn't consistent.

La Lafayette > Iowa State
Coastal > Arkansas State > KState > Oklahoma & TCU

I know thats kind of convoluted, but the bottom line is that I don't see LaL's strength of schedule as any big advantage. Coastal is underrated imo and wins outright in a good game

[clockwise1965]

+8 at my book.

[hubie69]

Did not know we had a decent gm tonight

FunBelt ALWAYS provides decent games.

La Lafayette > Iowa State
Coastal > Arkansas State > KState > Oklahoma & TCU

I'm not a huge fan of transitive property wagering but GL (I think that's what you're doing here....I've been wrong before though). GL on whatever you're wagering. CC is underrated and +7.5/8 is a good number. It'll largely depend on if ULL can get off the field on 3rd down IMO

[johnnyvegas13]

Starting to lean costal

I see some sharps on coast +7.5

[Fred The Hammer]

ULL's 2 games since Iowa State:

11.5 point fav over Ga Southern and won 20-18
17 point fav over Ga State and won 34-31

I thought Ga State was a poor program so I looked it up. They're 26-48 in the last 6 seasons coming into 2020. I just see this one as CC is underrated and ULL is overrated, but we shall see

[Fred The Hammer]

FunBelt ALWAYS provides decent games.



I'm not a huge fan of transitive property wagering but GL (I think that's what you're doing here....I've been wrong before though). GL on whatever you're wagering. CC is underrated and +7.5/8 is a good number. It'll largely depend on if ULL can get off the field on 3rd down IMO

No, I'm not either. That will bust you out fast. A>B B>C does not equal A>C, but I was just trying to make the point that hammering a decent Arkansas State team was pretty impressive. I almost bet Arkansas State last week.

[stackz125]

Big money and sharp money coming in on ULL
Line up to 8 now.

[hubie69]

Big money and sharp money coming in on ULL
Line up to 8 now.

Pinny at 9. Some 7.5's still out there

[hubie69]

Pinny at 9. Some 7.5's still out there

7.5;s appears to have dried up, looks like everything 8 or higher right now.

[johnnyvegas13]

Y the line move

money really coming in on ragers

[hubie69]

9's in a lot of places now. If you like ULL get it now. If you like CC wait and this *might* get up to 10

[BeatTheJerk]

I have ULL ML -275 in an open parlay.

[johnnyvegas13]

9's in a lot of places now. If you like ULL get it now. If you like CC wait and this *might* get up to 10

Agree

i prob won’t take anything pre gm now

gonna watch some first

[stackz125]

9's in a lot of places now. If you like ULL get it now. If you like CC wait and this *might* get up to 10

If it hits 10/10.5
I have -7
Ill stab at +10+
Nice 3pt middle

[Otters27]

Like Coastal.

Why the Line Movement?

[hubie69]

Why the Line Movement?

Otter Cmon homie, you know why the line is moving.

That being said I haven't seen it move to 10 anywhere, appears to be topping out at 9/9.5, depending on the book

[jjgold]

Hubie call me

[jtoler]

coastal looks darn good this year they have a really good niche offense and should have no problem moving the ball and scoring pts

[hubie69]

Hubie call me

Dial into the conference call, SammyOdom and I already discussing, SammyNCharge should be on shortly too

[dark star]

Like Coastal.

Why the Line Movement?

Was thinking the same thing,,,,Been on these guys first couple games

[unde0087]

Good luck tonight hubie, I fell in love with the over in this game so over 58 for me.

[Darkside Magick]

Coastal Carolina +270 vs UL Lafayette

[hubie69]

Coastal Carolina +270 vs UL Lafayette

Good luck tonight hubie, I fell in love with the over in this game so over 58 for me.

GL boys.

[bosstown27]

Why is line going North CC good team