1. #1
    Hman
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    NFL Super Bowl Odds After Week 1 🏈

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    NFL Super Bowl LV
    Thu 9/17 8:20PM
    Super Bowl LV - Raymond James Stadium - Tampa, Florida - February 7, 2021- ...*
    Kansas City Chiefs +525
    Baltimore Ravens +550
    New Orleans Saints +1000
    San Francisco 49ers +1400
    Seattle Seahawks +1500
    Tampa Bay Buccaneers +1500
    Dallas Cowboys +2000
    New England Patriots +2200
    Green Bay Packers +2500
    Pittsburgh Steelers +2500
    Buffalo Bills +2800
    Indianapolis Colts +3300
    Los Angeles Rams +3500
    Philadelphia Eagles +3500
    Tennessee Titans +3500
    Arizona Cardinals +4000
    Chicago Bears +5000
    Houston Texans +5000
    Los Angeles Chargers +5000
    Minnesota Vikings +5000
    Cleveland Browns +6000
    Las Vegas Raiders +6000
    Atlanta Falcons +7500
    Denver Broncos +8000
    Detroit Lions +10000
    New York Giants +15000
    Washington Football Team +15000
    Carolina Panthers +20000
    Jacksonville Jaguars +20000
    Miami Dolphins +20000
    New York Jets +20000
    Cincinnati Bengals +25000

  2. #2
    KVB
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    Looking at those Cowboys as an adjustment. Potentially the Steelers as well.

    Already have the Saints.


  3. #3
    seaborneq
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    Green Bay is a steal at 25-1. Niners won't be there to punk them in the playoffs this year.
    Last edited by seaborneq; 09-16-20 at 07:26 PM.

  4. #4
    TheMetsSuck
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    Seahawks

  5. #5
    ChiLLx
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    Lions interesting at 100-1. That division isn't very strong

  6. #6
    KVB
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    Quote Originally Posted by TheMetsSuck View Post
    Seahawks
    Tempting, but I don't want to react too much to week one.

    But yeah, not a bad look at all.

  7. #7
    MinnesotaFats
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    Still don't get all the love for Tampa

    Brady isn't the best QB in his division or even Florida for that matter.

    Minschew mania 2020

  8. #8
    Hman
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    Quote Originally Posted by seaborneq View Post
    Green Bay is a steal at 25-1. Niners won't be there to punk them in the playoffs this year.


    Good value

  9. #9
    johnnyvegas13
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    Steelers

  10. #10
    Wrongside
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    What book has the next best future odds? Bookmaker?

  11. #11
    johnnyvegas13
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    Quote Originally Posted by MinnesotaFats View Post
    Still don't get all the love for Tampa

    Brady isn't the best QB in his division or even Florida for that matter.

    Minschew mania 2020
    they will b in the mix but I no longer think they r a Super Bowl contender

  12. #12
    gauchojake
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    Quote Originally Posted by Wrongside View Post
    What book has the next best future odds? Bookmaker?
    Depends. You need to shop. If you like a team you will likely get a different price at every shop you go to.

    Heritage usually has good prices
    BOL usually good
    BM - hit or miss
    GT - can find a few deals
    Bovada - if you like a dog you might get a better price here

  13. #13
    Wrongside
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    Quote Originally Posted by gauchojake View Post
    Depends. You need to shop. If you like a team you will likely get a different price at every shop you go to.

    Heritage usually has good prices
    BOL usually good
    BM - hit or miss
    GT - can find a few deals
    Bovada - if you like a dog you might get a better price here
    Thanks!

    I figured. I was wondering if there was another book, across the board, that was generally lower.

    In my experience, that was the most attractive thing about 5D by far - their futures, but in the end, the most heart-breaking as well.
    #Free-rollingSOB's

  14. #14
    Buckandadime
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    At 28-1 Buffalo looks good for a small amount..
    Never know..

  15. #15
    Wrongside
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    Quote Originally Posted by Buckandadime View Post
    At 28-1 Buffalo looks good for a small amount..
    Never know..
    Ya, I like it. Diggs = Jimmy Butler? lol

    I like the rookie D End.

    Maybe there will be fans in Jan. Could be a good vibe in Buffalo...

  16. #16
    JAKEPEAVY21
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    I like the seahawks as well.

  17. #17
    thomorino
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    The best value is the Steelers at 25-1, elite quarterback and top 5 defense, yet they are 25-1, their only weakness is receiver but they have some young players who should get better during the year and the trade market is an option as well.

  18. #18
    thomorino
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    Russell Wilson is the best quarterback in the NFL, but Seattle offensive line and defense are not good, Carson gets hurt every year too.

  19. #19
    KVB
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    When it comes to some kind of NFL value against the number we have to ask ourselves what would happen if Lamar Jackson or Patrick Mahomes and Auto get hurt?

    It makes those Steelers and Seahawks look a liitle more valuable.

    If you're thinking "what if Wison or Big Ben get hurt" then you missed the point of this post, the point of value at the current levels.


  20. #20
    Buckandadime
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    Quote Originally Posted by Wrongside View Post
    Ya, I like it. Diggs = Jimmy Butler? lol

    I like the rookie D End.

    Maybe there will be fans in Jan. Could be a good vibe in Buffalo...
    Diggs was solid Sunday, albeit vs NYJ..
    Concern after Week 1 is if they can get a solid running game going forward..

  21. #21
    gauchojake
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    When I am picking futures, I look for value ie I have to be able to hedge against it for max $$. I don't see any value in an AFC team unless there are two major injuries. Since there is no clear cut NFC team, I would pick a team that could end up in the Superbowl that has a nice long number. Philly/Rams/Packers/Cowboys/Vikings is where I would start and then cap from there. Not saying this is the right way to do it, but I have had success this way.

  22. #22
    johnnyvegas13
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    Quote Originally Posted by Buckandadime View Post
    At 28-1 Buffalo looks good for a small amount..
    Never know..
    Not w Allen

    he is like the white Lamar Jackson

  23. #23
    gauchojake
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    Quote Originally Posted by johnnyvegas13 View Post
    Not w Allen

    he is like the white Lamar Jackson
    he is terrible

  24. #24
    thomorino
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    Quote Originally Posted by gauchojake View Post
    When I am picking futures, I look for value ie I have to be able to hedge against it for max $$. I don't see any value in an AFC team unless there are two major injuries. Since there is no clear cut NFC team, I would pick a team that could end up in the Superbowl that has a nice long number. Philly/Rams/Packers/Cowboys/Vikings is where I would start and then cap from there. Not saying this is the right way to do it, but I have had success this way.
    That’s not how you make money in the NFL futures market, the best way to make money is to take the top team when their a clear cut top team, the best example would be if you took the patriots at +250 to win the add every year with Brady at quarterback. The books will never give your air value on most long shots, with minor exceptions.

    I bet the patriots to win the afc every year with Brady at around +200, it was an easy and very profitable bet. If a team doesn’t have a hall of fame quarterback their odds of winning anything in the playoffs if they don’t win the division are close to 1%.

  25. #25
    thomorino
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    Quote Originally Posted by Buckandadime View Post
    Diggs was solid Sunday, albeit vs NYJ..
    Concern after Week 1 is if they can get a solid running game going forward..
    The Bills have zero chance to win the super bowl you moron, Josh Allen isn’t even a top 10 win, and Diggs is a whiny little shit who won’t stay happy for long. The idea that someone would be dumb enough to think Josh Allen is going to outfielder Mahomes is a sign of massive stupidity.Allen is a decent improving young qb, he’s nowhere near where you need to be to win a super bowl and the bills offensive line is nothing special.

  26. #26
    johnnyvegas13
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    Quote Originally Posted by gauchojake View Post
    he is terrible
    I know

    I meant it in a bad way like he won’t win in playoffs

  27. #27
    Buckandadime
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    Quote Originally Posted by thomorino View Post
    The Bills have zero chance to win the super bowl you moron, Josh Allen isn’t even a top 10 win, and Diggs is a whiny little shit who won’t stay happy for long. The idea that someone would be dumb enough to think Josh Allen is going to outfielder Mahomes is a sign of massive stupidity.Allen is a decent improving young qb, he’s nowhere near where you need to be to win a super bowl and the bills offensive line is nothing special.
    What's 1+1 super genius?

  28. #28
    thomorino
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    Quote Originally Posted by Buckandadime View Post
    What's 1+1 super genius?
    This what happened when parasites try to do something other than attack other posters. Get lost dumb shit, Josh Allen has zero chance to win a super bowl this year, zero.

  29. #29
    Buckandadime
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    Quote Originally Posted by Buckandadime View Post
    At 28-1 Buffalo looks good for a small amount..
    Never know..
    Quote Originally Posted by thomorino View Post
    This what happened when parasites try to do something other than attack other posters. Get lost dumb shit, Josh Allen has zero chance to win a super bowl this year, zero.
    You are such an idiot..
    I said Buffalo was good for a small amount at 28-1, you never know..
    You decided to put your big boy pants on and attack me..
    Good for you, it's about time you grow out of your onesie but if you think for a minute that you can attack me for something totally unrelated to you and then think that you are smarter than I am, well short stuff...
    You are wrong..
    I'm going to put a little on Buffalo for shits and grins..
    You go ahead and make believe that you do this for a living...
    Until you can add and subtract correctly, figure out your own vig, know who is on what team and where each team is located, keep your mouth shut..

  30. #30
    gauchojake
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    Quote Originally Posted by thomorino View Post
    That’s not how you make money in the NFL futures market, the best way to make money is to take the top team when their a clear cut top team, the best example would be if you took the patriots at +250 to win the add every year with Brady at quarterback. The books will never give your air value on most long shots, with minor exceptions.

    I bet the patriots to win the afc every year with Brady at around +200, it was an easy and very profitable bet. If a team doesn’t have a hall of fame quarterback their odds of winning anything in the playoffs if they don’t win the division are close to 1%.
    The past 4 years here are the opening odds for the NFC team that made it to the SB

    2017 ATL - 60-1
    2018 PHI 40-1
    2019 LAR 20-1
    2020 SF 20-1

  31. #31
    thomorino
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    Quote Originally Posted by Buckandadime View Post
    You are such an idiot..
    I said Buffalo was good for a small amount at 28-1, you never know..
    You decided to put your big boy pants on and attack me..
    Good for you, it's about time you grow out of your onesie but if you think for a minute that you can attack me for something totally unrelated to you and then think that you are smarter than I am, well short stuff...
    You are wrong..
    I'm going to put a little on Buffalo for shits and grins..
    You go ahead and make believe that you do this for a living...
    Until you can add and subtract correctly, figure out your own vig, know who is on what team and where each team is located, keep your mouth shut..
    The Steelers are 22-1 and they have a top five defense and hall of fame qb, only a total dumb shit would think the Bills have any shit at the super bowl.

  32. #32
    KVB
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    Quote Originally Posted by Buckandadime View Post
    You are such an idiot..
    I said Buffalo was good for a small amount at 28-1, you never know..
    You decided to put your big boy pants on and attack me..
    Good for you, it's about time you grow out of your onesie but if you think for a minute that you can attack me for something totally unrelated to you and then think that you are smarter than I am, well short stuff...
    I am told he has been reported for this rude unwarranted name calling attack.

    I suggest you add to the reports.

  33. #33
    thomorino
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    Quote Originally Posted by gauchojake View Post
    The past 4 years here are the opening odds for the NFC team that made it to the SB

    2017 ATL - 60-1
    2018 PHI 40-1
    2019 LAR 20-1
    2020 SF 20-1
    Each of those teams have one the nfc once in nearly a decade. The far better way to make money in the futures market is to take elite teams at prices such as +200. The overwhelming majority of long shots are not offered at a far price by the books.

    The rams were very lucky to win the nfc, they needed the fuk up on the pass interference call. The eagles were one yard from losing to Atlanta in the wild card.

  34. #34
    thomorino
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    Quote Originally Posted by KVB View Post
    I am told he has been reported for this rude unwarranted name calling attack.

    I suggest you add to the reports.
    Looks like the coward kvb is also a whiny baby. What a dumb shit, reporting posts for name calling is pathetic.

  35. #35
    Buckandadime
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    Quote Originally Posted by KVB View Post
    I am told he has been reported for this rude unwarranted name calling attack.

    I suggest you add to the reports.
    Nah..
    I've never reported anyone here..
    I just find it amusing he tries to attack me and then uses the reasoning that all I do is attack other posters..
    Macaronio is in a league all his own..

    Still going to put a little on Buffalo..
    The fact that macaronio doesn't like it tells me I'm on the right side..

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