We have another long course here at East Lake in Atlanta.
It's another Par 70 and it stretches about 7,350 yards and is similar to last week as far as average fairway widths, much more narrow than TPC Boston.
Here's what I know...The fairway is Meyer Zoysiagrass and the rough is only 2.5" but am told it's a bitch with the Tifway Bermudagrass.
Greens are also a bermudagrass known as MiniVerde UltraDwarf and I see the stimp as 12.5.
They set this thing up so that the 18th hole can provide drama as a par 5 590 yarder.
Not so sure this course is all about the long hitters though, there needs to be accuracy off the tee. I count 6 par 4's at more than 450 yards and after the 6th hole par 5 you don't see another par 5 until that 18th hole. That means there needs to be tight play in between and hitting out of the Tifway Bermuda rough is not ideal, not to mention the trees.
That par 3 15th looks cool with the green and trap nearly surrounded by water. I think water comes into play on at least 4 of the holes.
These greens should be pretty fast with the 12.5 stimp and they have a back to front slant or pitch. Placement on the green will be important here as golfers don't want to be putting downhill with the expected speeds of the greens.
We need a ball striker here that has been accurate off the fairways, has been a scrambler, and controls his putter in recent performance metrics.
Speaking of needs, we also need a golfer that is stong in recent performance in a few of my strokes gained metrics. I'm looking around the green, at putting, and overall rankings in particular.
Speaking of speaking of the needs we need we have to consider the odds when measured against these metrics.
Brendon Todd is as accurate off the tee as any golfer out there as far as my recent performance skill stats are concerned. An argument can be made for Morikawa being #1 on my list, but Todd is right there. Todd is top 15 on my scrambling and putting average per greens in regulation.
When it comes my recent strokes gained metrics I have Todd top 5 around the green, top 10 in putting, and overall top 15 relative to the field.
He's accurate off the tee and skillful with the short game but the best thing is that he pays pretty well considering his current skill level on a course where even the best golfers of today and their long wild hitting can be equalized.
I've avoided the staggered start and BM has the best odds for both bets when I went ahead and picked up...
Brendon Todd +5250 lowest 72 hole score.
Brendon Todd +2628 lowest first round score (excluding handicap).
Good Luck.