[jjgold]

It eases the pain when you lose and might actually help you somewhat be a better bettor

We do have confident guys here although with some have led to their downfall


"JJ where do you get all this great info?"
Mickey from Cris

[RudyRuetigger]

confidence is the worst thing you can have bro

[KVB]

Confidence is very important to maintain patience and discipline.

But a false confidence can be the death of your bankroll, especially if you are staking based on confidence, like Kelly betting.

”KVB where do you get all this great info?”
KVB at SBR

[Snowball]

Rudy is right

[KVB]

No, confidence is important, it is essential, or the markets will toss a bettor around like a rag doll.

I show this, by real time example, in practical application, in the Contrarian Report thread.

You can see where a simple broad market shift falsely erodes the confidence of bettors like JJGold and others.

[ChuckyTheGoat]

What a stupid comment.

Confidence in what? You don't have +EV, so you shouldn't be betting.

[RudyRuetigger]

you should never feel confident


unless you bet flipping a coin or closing your eyes and picking....you use math to justify to plays regardless if its kindergarten math or statistics


thats it




not your confidence, not your ego, not your motivation




many people go broke being confident




you have no control on the outcome so how you feel doesnt matter...you are just adding another variable



its math only

[KVB]

Yes Chucky, the +EV is assumed and the issue is how confident the better is in how he reached that conclusion.

Confidence is mathematical here, and can even be calculated.

But false confidence, or being wrong in the EV can be deadly, especially if there is varied staking.

[flyingillini]

Only winning is defined by character- Ghandi

Winning is not everything, being kind to your fellow man is more important- Aristotle

[biggie12]

KVB I feel like your wasting so much talent. You would be killing it in the BSC space

[stake1]

Jj: blame it on variance. Bad, bad variance. So bad? That it is Absurd variance

[JIBBBY]

Keep emotions out of betting is your best bet if you can. Work the numbers and don't bet on a feeling.

[jjgold]

Jibby yes

I came back tonight and snuck in a few Milwaukee money line bets in


I’m confident now

[JIBBBY]

Jibby yes

I came back tonight and snuck in a few Milwaukee money line bets in


I’m confident now

Bucks were easy money tonight. I hit on the ML also. Smart bettors played that.


As I said in other posts leading up Suns weren't winning another game..