Two early games on this slate today.
Chicago White Sox at Cleveland (game 1 of a back to back double header)
3:40 pm start
Chicago starts Dylan Cease
Cleveland starts Aaron Civale
Two young starters that are getting a lot of hype, the difference is Civale looks like he's legit while Dylan Cease could be legit but still hasn't proven it.
Cease made 14 starts last season, his across the board numbers were awful and the one thing that sticks out is he gives up a startling amount of home runs, especially to lefties.
Take a look at Civale's numbers last season.
Rock solid in everything.
Aaron Civale YEAR AGE LG TM G GS SH IP H ER HR K BB ERA WHIP 2019 24 MAJ CLE 10 10 0 57.7 44 15 4 46 16 2.34 1.04
I can see that Indian lineup teeing off on Cease.
Indians are -133, I don't like laying -140 or better (usually) but I might lay 4 to win 3 here
I'm leaning towards Indians here maybe 40 dollars to win 30, or 26 and change to win 20
If I bet them it would be small but Cleveland does look like the play here.
Chicago White Sox at Cleveland Indians - Game 1 Tue 7/28 981 Chicago White Sox +1½ -165+2½ -245-1½ +175-2½ +253+1 -122 +123 o9 -120o9½ +105o8½ -145o10 +125o8 -175 o4½ +115 u4½ -135 3:40PM 982 Cleveland Indians -1½ +145-2½ +205+1½ -210+2½ -305-1 +102 -133 u9 +100u9½ -125u8½ +125u10 -145u8 +155 o4½ -130 u4½ +110
Toronto Blue Jays at Washington Nationals.
6:05 pm start
Toronto starts Tanner Roarke
Washington starts Austin Voth
Blue Jays Roarke is a Nationals reject (oh the irony)
Another pitcher that was over hyped five years ago who pretty much turned out to be a pedestrian like run of the mill starter.
Roark started the year last season with the Reds, was so awful the Reds traded him to Oakland with cash (I said with cash, not receive cash in return lol) and then proceed to stink up Oakland as well,
All in all he made all 31 starts between the two teams had a ERA of 4.35 and a WH/IP ratio of 1.40 all above league norms for pitchers and gave up way to many HR's (Home runs allowed is a stat I pay more attention to these days when handicapping, you can't defense a HR for instance, but I digress)
Austin Voth is a name most aren't familiar with
Voth gets the start for Washington, he's 27 years old but he's still just a kid in the MLB
He's entering his third big league season and by the looks of what he did in his eight starts last year (I saw two of them) Voth looks like he could be a young gun stud.
Eight starts is not a big sample size but I can work with it.
Voth is a six inning starter (but aren't they all these days)
Had a 3.30 ERA and a hit/walk ratio of 1.05
Those are rock solid numbers.
Voth throws a pretty good four seamer and curve ball.
Here you go.
http://www.brooksbaseball.net/tabs.p.../2020&s_type=2
Lunch time I got to cut to chase now.
Nationls with Voth is the way I would go here over Roarke and the soft hitting Blue Jays.
-134 is affordable.
Right now it's a lean for me but I can see myself laying 4 to win 3
MLB Baseball Run Line Money Line Total Runs Team Total Runs Toronto Blue Jays at Washington Nationals Tue 7/28 951 Toronto Blue Jays +1½ -150+2½ -215-1½ +185-2½ +280+1 -113 +124 o10 -105o9½ -120o10½ +110o9 -155o11 +145 o4½ -105 u4½ -115 6:05PM 952 Washington Nationals -1½ +130-2½ +178+1½ -225+2½ -340-1 -107 -134 u10 -115u9½ +100u10½ -130u9 +135u11 -165 o5½ +115 u5½ -135
I'm not a chalk player, but the affordable chalk in the first two games looks like the plays.
Like I said I don't like laying juice but I can't make a case for the two dog teams.
I'll post my thoughts on some of the night games later, your pal Nasher needs a sandwich and coffee right now.