1. #1
    Chi_archie
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    Brewer's +140 today, watch this Corbin Burnes kid!

    Love getting + money on this coinflip of a game with so many unknown quantities.

    First off, Burnes was spit out high on my spreadsheet for value pitchers based on the quantitative metrics I ran in my programming through this off season. But the qualitative, eye test, and spin rate, spin axis changes I saw on this kid In summer camp is crazy good. He's obviously made some big changes from last year.

    Let's talk about results last year and his potential.

    In his first big league start against the Cardinals, he proceeded to strike out 9 batters in first 3 innings! All 9 outs were strike outs.

    In the 4th inning he allowed his first run, via a HR that opened the floodgates for HRs for him. Allowed two more in the game and left after 5 innings, 12ks, 3hrs and 4ER. Over the next 3 starts he allowed 8 more home runs and got sent to the pen where he was mediocre.

    What is lost is that his slider had the highest swing and miss rate in the league. His fastball was straight as an arrow though despite a crazy high spin rate. So without movement all that spin and velocity was wasted. Throughout spring and then summer the anecdotes and vids I saw, showed great movement on the FB, he's clearly changed slot to improve his spin axis. The spring)summer camp stats bear this out

    If he does finally harness that elite spin rate, coupled with his slider this could be a breakout year. My other question is still "is he a head case?" He never recovered from his early season bomb fest last year, so who knows if early struggles could detail him again. I'll be watching close


    Speaking of head cases Yu Darvish, all that talent and his head often throws it all in the garbage. The guy has talked retirement, constantly coming up with phantom injuries, this year he had to be talked out of not staying away due to Covid.

    He recently got absolutely rocked and mercy ruled by the White Sox

    In a battle of head cases, give me the + money on a kid that is hungry to succeed, get paid, and has shown positive signs in spring.

  2. #2
    lakerboy
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    Get em

  3. #3
    johnnyvegas13
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    I was leaning brewer and under but gonna pass

    gl

  4. #4
    19th Hole
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    Nail It Archie.
    Gotta tail this.
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  5. #5
    JAKEPEAVY21
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    milwaukee mike chime in
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  6. #6
    jillmark
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    Milwaukee sounds like a live dog today. I will be on them as well.

  7. #7
    Brock Landers
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    Archie

    Get a burger from KUMA'S CORNER pal

  8. #8
    Chi_archie
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    Quote Originally Posted by Brock Landers View Post
    Archie

    Get a burger from KUMA'S CORNER pal
    I live walking distance from their newest location. I’m not really a fan anymore
    its fine, but not worth the hype.

  9. #9
    Brock Landers
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    Quote Originally Posted by Chi_archie View Post
    I live walking distance from their newest location. I’m not really a fan anymore
    its fine, but not worth the hype.
    Have you been to AU CHEVAL??

  10. #10
    Gmen30
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    Quote Originally Posted by Brock Landers View Post
    Have you been to AU CHEVAL??
    Post your fades midge
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  11. #11
    manny24
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    Quote Originally Posted by Gmen30 View Post
    Post your fades midge


    good write up Archles fukkin hammer em !!
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  12. #12
    JAKEPEAVY21
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    Quote Originally Posted by Brock Landers View Post
    Have you been to AU CHEVAL??
    The food you eat is slop...glorified dog food
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  13. #13
    Chi_archie
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    Went relatively small on game and FF since it’s early season and I feel most data and edges we have went out window with all the unknowns out there due to pressing shut down and who knows who did what during quantartine and how that will show up in results and performance over the next few months



    but I crave action got a bunch of over strikeout props on Burnes. Too many reallly

    mostly centered on over 6 -130

  14. #14
    Chi_archie
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    1K!

  15. #15
    stake1
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    Javy wants a piece of Burnes

  16. #16
    stake1
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    Cubs going for early “kill shot”

  17. #17
    Chi_archie
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    Quote Originally Posted by stake1 View Post
    Javy wants a piece of Burnes

    Yes his fastball seems to have too much run, he can't control it

    This is not good for his 10 cent brain right now

  18. #18
    stake1
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    Willy pissed now

  19. #19
    stake1
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    Quote Originally Posted by Chi_archie View Post
    Yes his fastball seems to have too much run, he can't control it

    This is not good for his 10 cent brain right now
    There will be a fight in this game with Burnes lack of command

  20. #20
    stake1
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    Gamel awful throw and Javy takes the extra base

  21. #21
    stake1
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    Contreras a hot head not good to piss him off as we see there and Gamel? Nice throw again missing your cut

  22. #22
    stake1
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    Burnes is bleeding, visions of a future fist shot from Javy or Willy

  23. #23
    mackave
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    bullshit ass call
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  24. #24
    Chi_archie
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    Quote Originally Posted by stake1 View Post
    Willy pissed now
    Yeah I saw, pretty rediculous, like he wanted to load them up instead of striking him out.

    On cue the ump misses a clear third strike non checked swing and the next pitch drives in a run

  25. #25
    Chi_archie
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    6 feet distance on the mound fellas?

    Don't be hurt and ruin my K props you fuk

  26. #26
    stake1
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    Burnes could be done

  27. #27
    SBR_Guest_Pro
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    i went with the cubs

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  28. #28
    stake1
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    Can’t pitch in pandemic with cotton nose

  29. #29
    Chi_archie
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    Hmmmm


    Corbin snorting coke or some upper?

    Who gets a bloody nose on a humid day?

  30. #30
    Ryermkd
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    Quote Originally Posted by Chi_archie View Post
    Hmmmm


    Corbin snorting coke or some upper?

    Who gets a bloody nose on a humid day?
    Those pitches have been wild.

  31. #31
    2daBank
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    Quote Originally Posted by Chi_archie View Post
    Hmmmm


    Corbin snorting coke or some upper?

    Who gets a bloody nose on a humid day?
    The always tell tail nose bleed! Lol

  32. #32
    stake1
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    What a sloppy play by Cubs. That is not how you do that Javy boy

  33. #33
    stake1
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    Mark that play on the “blooper real”, I’ve seen grade school ball players execute that better

  34. #34
    stake1
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    Quote Originally Posted by 2daBank View Post
    The always tell tail nose bleed! Lol
    Hahahahaha Hahahaha!

  35. #35
    stake1
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    Up to Sogard now or it’s a “lob fest”

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