1. 02-10-20 03:15 PM #1
    thomorino
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    Bernie Sanders to win Nevada at -180

    Risking 3.6 units to win 2.

    The bump mayor Pete got from Iowa looks like it is slowing down since Biden supporters have gone to Klobechar as much as him and the 2 most recent New Hampshire polls show Sanders with a clear lead and Klobechar beating Biden for third.

    The polls in Nevada show Biden and Sanders nearly tied, but Sanders should win New Hampshire by a solid margin and it looks like Klobechar will beat Biden for third. With Biden likely finishing 4th or worse in New Hampshire I expect voter and unions to back Sanders. The caucas system favors younger voters and strong organizations, Sanders has the far younger voters and better organization than Biden, and the Sanders campaign has far more money than Biden. Sanders voters remember getting screwed in Nevada in 2016, they will be better organized this time.
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  2. 02-10-20 04:58 PM #2
    jjgold
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    Sanders will get nod to run
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  3. 02-12-20 08:38 AM #3
    thomorino
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    Bernie to win Nevada up to -220!after Biden looks like he's collapsing
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  4. 02-12-20 08:40 AM #4
    jjgold
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    Good work
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  5. 02-12-20 09:07 AM #5
    unde0087
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    Polls don't mean shit
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  6. 02-12-20 09:10 AM #6
    Sam Odom
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    Quote Originally Posted by unde0087 View Post


    Polls don't mean shit


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  7. 02-12-20 09:30 AM #7
    jjgold
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    He’s basically a shoe in to get the nomination


    Could steamroll and Trump would be in for a battle like last time
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  8. 02-12-20 09:36 AM #8
    stevek173
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    interesting
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  9. 02-12-20 09:52 AM #9
    thomorino
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    Quote Originally Posted by unde0087 View Post
    Polls don't mean shit
    The polls in Iowa and new Hampshire were accurate, Sanders only lost Iowa because of realignment.
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  10. 02-12-20 10:43 AM #10
    Headsterx
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    Polls... lol
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  11. 02-12-20 11:24 AM #11
    MinnesotaFats
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    LOL how the fukk could a socialist win in a State w no income tax?
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  12. 02-12-20 11:48 AM #12
    Buckandadime
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    Quote Originally Posted by MinnesotaFats View Post
    LOL how the fukk could a socialist win in a State w no income tax?
    It's good "value"... Lol
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  13. 02-12-20 01:25 PM #13
    thomorino
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    Quote Originally Posted by MinnesotaFats View Post
    LOL how the fukk could a socialist win in a State w no income tax?
    Quote Originally Posted by Buckandadime View Post

    It's good "value"... Lol
    Bernie got nearly 50 percent of the vote in the Nevada primary in 2016, he does very well with unions and blue collar workers.
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  14. 02-12-20 02:24 PM #14
    DrunkHorseplayer
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    Quote Originally Posted by MinnesotaFats View Post
    LOL how the fukk could a socialist win in a State w no income tax?
    Because Nevada is becoming infested with socialists who love big government.
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  15. 02-12-20 02:30 PM #15
    Heltah Skeltah
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    Quote Originally Posted by thomorino View Post
    Bernie got nearly 50 percent of the vote in the Nevada primary in 2016, he does very well with unions and blue collar workers.
    The culinary union is handing out flyers warning their people not to vote for Sanders in Nevada as of yesterday. Could be some concern
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  16. 02-12-20 02:46 PM #16
    Buckandadime
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    Quote Originally Posted by thomorino View Post
    Bernie got nearly 50 percent of the vote in the Nevada primary in 2016, he does very well with unions and blue collar workers.
    2016 was 4 years ago..
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  17. 02-12-20 03:08 PM #17
    jjgold
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    I wonder what odds would be Sanders vs Trump
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  18. 02-12-20 03:16 PM #18
    RoyBacon
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    Quote Originally Posted by jjgold View Post
    I wonder what odds would be Sanders vs Trump
    Trump odds are pricing that in as we go here. By the time it looks like Sanders will win I think you see -250ish numbers and a couple of weeks from the election I think we see -400 to -500.
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  19. 02-12-20 03:26 PM #19
    Buckandadime
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    Quote Originally Posted by RoyBacon View Post
    Trump odds are pricing that in as we go here. By the time it looks like Sanders will win I think you see -250ish numbers and a couple of weeks from the election I think we see -400 to -500.
    Wonder how much the odds would be effected by his choice of running mate (if he miraculously gets the Democratic nod)...
    Have to believe the stresses of Presidency would send old Bernie to his grave..
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  20. 02-12-20 04:11 PM #20
    thomorino
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    Quote Originally Posted by Buckandadime View Post
    2016 was 4 years ago..
    And Bernie has a far better organization in Nevada than 4 years ago. Biden, Sanders main compeition in Nevada is weakening too.
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  21. 02-12-20 04:12 PM #21
    thomorino
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    Quote Originally Posted by Heltah Skeltah View Post

    The culinary union is handing out flyers warning their people not to vote for Sanders in Nevada as of yesterday. Could be some concern
    That story is old, the candidate unions wanted to endorse was Biden and he has weakened significantly in the last 2 months.
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  22. 02-12-20 05:13 PM #22
    RoyBacon
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    Quote Originally Posted by thomorino View Post
    And Bernie has a far better organization in Nevada than 4 years ago. Biden, Sanders main compeition in Nevada is weakening too.
    The whole thing is too fluid for me to lay -200 on Bernie.
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  23. 02-12-20 05:31 PM #23
    Mr KLC
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    Bernie would have had a much better chance of beating Trump in 2016. With the economy the way it is, more independents are not going to want to change course.
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  24. 02-12-20 05:44 PM #24
    thomorino
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    Quote Originally Posted by Mr KLC View Post
    Bernie would have had a much better chance of beating Trump in 2016. With the economy the way it is, more independents are not going to want to change course.
    Agree, Bernie's message about the banks and wall street was much stronger in 2016.
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  25. 02-12-20 06:25 PM #25
    Grits n' Gravy
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    Quote Originally Posted by thomorino View Post
    That story is old, the candidate unions wanted to endorse was Biden and he has weakened significantly in the last 2 months.
    Actually it is still a big story in NV. Culinary going after Sanders full blast right now.
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  26. 02-12-20 08:16 PM #26
    Art Vandelay
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    Quote Originally Posted by jjgold View Post
    I wonder what odds would be Sanders vs Trump
    Trump will boat race Sanders, won't be close. That's why Dems are doing everything in their power to prop up the rest of the field. But the Donald/Bernie debates will be must-see TV!
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  27. 02-12-20 08:18 PM #27
    Booya711
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    Morino a bigger loser than the Dems
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  28. 02-12-20 08:37 PM #28
    lakerboy
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    Quote Originally Posted by Art Vandelay View Post
    Trump will boat race Sanders, won't be close. That's why Dems are doing everything in their power to prop up the rest of the field. But the Donald/Bernie debates will be must-see TV!
    Hopefully Bernie won't croak on the stage with all these billionaires he has to face. Being a poor millionaire only himself.
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  29. 02-12-20 08:44 PM #29
    gummo
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    Dems know that Bernie can't win the general election which is why they rigged it for Hillary last time. Watch them push Booty-judge through.
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  30. 02-12-20 09:18 PM #30
    jjgold
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    They might not be able to push Sanders out this time he is more now
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  31. 02-12-20 09:24 PM #31
    Art Vandelay
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    Quote Originally Posted by jjgold View Post
    They might not be able to push Sanders out this time he is more now
    His "Bernie Bros" are already threatening to burn down cities & set news people on fire if Sanders gets screwed again. Should be a very interesting summer...
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  32. 02-12-20 09:34 PM #32
    thomorino
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    Quote Originally Posted by Booya711 View Post
    Morino a bigger loser than the Dems
    Oh look it's my stalker the parasite.
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  33. 02-12-20 09:35 PM #33
    thomorino
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    Quote Originally Posted by Grits n' Gravy View Post

    Actually it is still a big story in NV. Culinary going after Sanders full blast right now.
    The leaders of the Union and the Union itself are not the same.
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  34. 02-12-20 09:40 PM #34
    thomorino
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    The Sanders campaign claims to have significant support with culinary members despite leadership's efforts to hurt their campaign. Sanders has been very strong with the Latino community as well which is nearly a third of Nevada.
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  35. 02-12-20 09:42 PM #35
    thomorino
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    It looks like Bernie's biggest threat will be buttigieg but klo echar should continue to attack and take some of his support.
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