1. 02-12-20 09:48 PM #36
    trytrytry
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    Quote Originally Posted by thomorino View Post
    The Sanders campaign claims to have significant support with culinary members despite leadership's efforts to hurt their campaign. Sanders has been very strong with the Latino community as well which is nearly a third of Nevada.
    yes and AOC in his pocket to help. guarantee to win NEvada

    s Carolina I think no however. I think biden gets one there as a small dog
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  2. 02-12-20 10:35 PM #37
    thomorino
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    Quote Originally Posted by trytrytry View Post

    yes and AOC in his pocket to help. guarantee to win NEvada

    s Carolina I think no however. I think biden gets one there as a small dog
    Yeah South Carolina will be interesting I already bet Sanders at +140 which is ahead of where the market is, if Biden fails badly in Nevada as I expect he will I think his support in South Carolina falls too.
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  3. 02-12-20 11:08 PM #38
    15805
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    Quote Originally Posted by thomorino View Post
    Risking 3.6 units to win 2.

    The bump mayor Pete got from Iowa looks like it is slowing down since Biden supporters have gone to Klobechar as much as him and the 2 most recent New Hampshire polls show Sanders with a clear lead and Klobechar beating Biden for third.

    The polls in Nevada show Biden and Sanders nearly tied, but Sanders should win New Hampshire by a solid margin and it looks like Klobechar will beat Biden for third. With Biden likely finishing 4th or worse in New Hampshire I expect voter and unions to back Sanders. The caucas system favors younger voters and strong organizations, Sanders has the far younger voters and better organization than Biden, and the Sanders campaign has far more money than Biden. Sanders voters remember getting screwed in Nevada in 2016, they will be better organized this time.
    Sanders heavy favorite in Nevada & now even slight favorite in S Carolina
    Bookmaker.eu
    DEMOCRATIC NEVADA PRESIDENTIAL CAUCUS WINNER

    Bernie Sanders -305
    Joe Biden +300
    Pete Buttigieg +630

    DEMOCRATIC S. CAROLINA PRESIDENTIAL PRIMARY WINNER

    Bernie Sanders -168
    Joe Biden +131
    Tom Steyer +1134
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  4. 02-12-20 11:57 PM #39
    mrpapageorgio
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    Bernie better win this nomination out right before it gets to the convention. If it becomes brokered, he has no chance with the party establishment. They're not going to give it to a guy who refused to wear the proverbial Democrat uniform (and had the "I" next to his name instead) all these years. They'd rather give Trump another 4 years than give Bernie the nomination.

    Part of me wonders if Bernie would run as a 3rd party candidate should he get the shaft at the convention to give the dems the middle finger.
    Last edited by mrpapageorgio; 02-13-20 at 12:52 AM. Reason: clarity
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  5. 02-13-20 12:20 AM #40
    15805
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    Quote Originally Posted by mrpapageorgio View Post
    Bernie better win this nomination out right before it gets to the convention. If it becomes brokered, he has no chance with the party establishment. They're not going to give it to a guy refused to wear the uniform (and had the "I" next to his name instead) all these years. They'd rather give Trump another 4 years than give Bernie the nomination.

    Part of me wonders if Bernie would run as a 3rd party candidate should he get the shaft at the convention to give the dems the middle finger.
    A huge swath of Bernie supporters would stay home rather than vote for a multi Billionaire
    like Bloomberg. IMO Bernie will lead but not have the 50% of delegates to lock things up on the
    first ballot & on the 2nd ballot super delegates will enter the fray & try to take the nomination
    away from Bernie, presumably Bloomberg would be the beneficiary of that scenario.

    Of the 65 million likely Democrat voters Bernie's support 30% will be 20 million. 1/2 of them
    10 million will be so pissed that they'll either not vote or vote for Trump. Bloomberg getting
    the nomination on the 2nd ballot will be the catastrophe the dems were hoping tp avoid.
    ​A huge swath of Bernie supporters would stay home rather than vote for a multi Billionaire
    like Bloomberg.

    Trump wins 35 states a attain a victory in landslide territory
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  6. 02-13-20 12:53 AM #41
    thomorino
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    Quote Originally Posted by 15805 View Post

    Sanders heavy favorite in Nevada & now even slight favorite in S Carolina
    Bookmaker.eu
    DEMOCRATIC NEVADA PRESIDENTIAL CAUCUS WINNER

    Bernie Sanders -305
    Joe Biden +300
    Pete Buttigieg +630

    DEMOCRATIC S. CAROLINA PRESIDENTIAL PRIMARY WINNER

    Bernie Sanders -168
    Joe Biden +131
    Tom Steyer +1134
    Bookmakers political lines are horrible like many of their lines lots of juice.
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  7. 02-13-20 01:59 AM #42
    ChessPlayer1
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    Amy will win NV.
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  8. 02-13-20 11:39 AM #43
    thomorino
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    Bernie's outreach to the Hispanic community has been great , that should be key in Nevada where a third of the residents are Hispanic.
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  9. 02-13-20 11:53 AM #44
    thomorino
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    Quote Originally Posted by ChessPlayer1 View Post
    Amy will win NV.
    She has no support in the black or Hispanic community and no organization, she will not win.

    It will be interesting to see if the establishment tries to intervene like Harry Reid did in 2016 for buttigieg.
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  10. 02-13-20 12:10 PM #45
    15805
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    Quote Originally Posted by thomorino View Post
    Bookmakers political lines are horrible like many of their lines lots of juice.
    Alright how about 5dimes.eu. You have to remember these are prop bets & all prop bets are higher than the 10
    or 20 cent lines given for the major sports, baseball, basketball, football & hockey!

    Politics Other Sports Money Line
    Nevada Caucus - Democratic Winner
    graded based on the number of delegates received by each candidate, in case of a tie in delegates received, the next criteria for grading will be popular vote
    Sat 2/22 651 B.Sanders wins Nevada Caucus -475
    8:00PM 652 Field wins Nevada Caucus +325
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  11. 02-13-20 12:11 PM #46
    15805
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    Quote Originally Posted by thomorino View Post
    She has no support in the black or Hispanic community and no organization, she will not win.

    It will be interesting to see if the establishment tries to intervene like Harry Reid did in 2016 for buttigieg.
    Amy won't even beat Biden or Warren in Nevada, 4th place at best!
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  12. 02-13-20 12:35 PM #47
    jjgold
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    Party cannot let Bernie win
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  13. 02-13-20 12:56 PM #48
    lakerboy
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    Why is Bernie in the Democratic nomination field? He is an independent and he is a communist
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  14. 02-13-20 12:57 PM #49
    thomorino
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    Quote Originally Posted by 15805 View Post

    Alright how about 5dimes.eu. You have to remember these are prop bets & all prop bets are higher than the 10
    or 20 cent lines given for the major sports, baseball, basketball, football & hockey!

    Politics Other Sports Money Line
    Nevada Caucus - Democratic Winner
    graded based on the number of delegates received by each candidate, in case of a tie in delegates received, the next criteria for grading will be popular vote
    Sat 2/22 651 B.Sanders wins Nevada Caucus -475
    8:00PM 652 Field wins Nevada Caucus +325
    Heritage and wagerweb are at -205, learn to look around.
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  15. 02-13-20 01:52 PM #50
    Grits n' Gravy
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    Quote Originally Posted by thomorino View Post
    The leaders of the Union and the Union itself are not the same.
    A dumbass and you are the same though.

    Go choke on your mom’s dick.
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  16. 02-13-20 01:53 PM #51
    thomorino
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    Quote Originally Posted by Grits n' Gravy View Post

    A dumbass and you are the same though.

    Go choke on your mom’s dick.
    You are a moron, many Union members have had direct co tact with th Sanders campaign for months.
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  17. 02-13-20 02:02 PM #52
    Grits n' Gravy
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    Quote Originally Posted by thomorino View Post
    You are a moron, many Union members have had direct co tact with th Sanders campaign for months.
    Oh my god a union with thousands of members had some individuals talking to Sanders campaign? The heck you say.

    I’m guessing you know this because you are a card carrying culinary member. Shouldn’t you be mopping a floor instead of posting 24/7?
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  18. 02-13-20 02:12 PM #53
    thomorino
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    Quote Originally Posted by Grits n' Gravy View Post

    Oh my god a union with thousands of members had some individuals talking to Sanders campaign? The heck you say.

    I’m guessing you know this because you are a card carrying culinary member. Shouldn’t you be mopping a floor instead of posting 24/7?
    I can read unlike you and it has been widely reported that many Union members have been in constant contact with the Sanders campaign. Get lost moron.
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  19. 02-13-20 02:30 PM #54
    15805
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    Quote Originally Posted by thomorino View Post
    Heritage and wagerweb are at -205, learn to look around.
    I wish I knew about that earlier I could have had a nice scalp. Someone beat me to it, as 5dimes
    odds are now downgraded to:
    Politics Other Sports Money Line
    Nevada Caucus - Democratic Winner
    graded based on the number of delegates received by each candidate, in case of a tie in delegates received, the next criteria for grading will be popular vote
    Sat 2/22 651 B.Sanders wins Nevada Caucus -260
    8:00PM 652 Field wins Nevada Caucus +180

    Odds are all over the place, Betonline still has bernie at -400

    Odds to Win the Nevada Caucus
    09:00 AM 23601 Bernie Sanders -400
    23604 Pete Buttigieg +450
    23602 Joe Biden +700
    Last edited by 15805; 02-13-20 at 02:47 PM.
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  20. 02-13-20 02:50 PM #55
    vivaporto
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    Quote Originally Posted by trytrytry View Post
    yes and AOC in his pocket to help. guarantee to win NEvada

    s Carolina I think no however. I think biden gets one there as a small dog
    I don't think Biden wins anything. I think he will lose SC and drop out. His image is completely damaged. I say this as an european who doesn't follow american corporate media.
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  21. 02-13-20 02:56 PM #56
    JIBBBY
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    I like Bernie but his damn policies are to far left and completely unsustainable and or realistic. Everyone wants freebies and free healthcare but how are you gonna pay for that Bernie? Dems and Obama tried it already with Obamacare and we all know how that worked out.

    Kids will run out to vote for Bernie though so he probably wins Nevada cause they believe his BS and what he promises. Odds are about right. I wouldn't be surprised if he wins the Dem nomination at this point either..

    301 Bernie Sanders is Democratic Nominee +135
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  22. 02-13-20 02:57 PM #57
    vivaporto
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    Quote Originally Posted by mrpapageorgio View Post
    Bernie better win this nomination out right before it gets to the convention. If it becomes brokered, he has no chance with the party establishment. They're not going to give it to a guy who refused to wear the proverbial Democrat uniform (and had the "I" next to his name instead) all these years. They'd rather give Trump another 4 years than give Bernie the nomination.

    Part of me wonders if Bernie would run as a 3rd party candidate should he get the shaft at the convention to give the dems the middle finger.
    Sanders is the only guy in DEM who can come close to beating trump, trump will still be the favorite though but Bernie has potential to rally edge trump. But you are right about DNC establishment wanting Trump over Bernie. The thing is that every other DEM candidate will get destroyed by trump. And if Sanders loses nomination and goes independent, Trump will win in even bigger margin.

    I don't follow corporate media in usa but whenever i peak the headlines its always negative news about TRUMP and people lost respect. Trump is destroying the media. The thing is that corporate media now is so laughable that trump can do bad things and when the media reports it won't be taken seriously. Trump's tweets in the recent month after the impeachment handle has reached a new level in terms of immaturity but its actually working in favor of him thanks to the media. If the wants dems, they should be talking positive things about dem leaders in most of their news instead of trying to throw crap at Trump which is only backfiring. Can't believe they still haven't learned since the 2016 gop primaries then the election.
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  23. 02-13-20 03:02 PM #58
    15805
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    Quote Originally Posted by ChessPlayer1 View Post
    Amy will win NV.
    Amy did well in New Hampshire but isn't even the favorite son in her own state
    of Minnesota: abcislands.ag
    Sanders -115
    Klobucher +125
    Buttigieg +425
    Biden + 2500
    Warren +3500
    MINNESOTA DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY (MAR 3RD)
    Last edited by 15805; 02-13-20 at 03:12 PM.
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  24. 02-13-20 06:49 PM #59
    Headsterx
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    Another worthless thread that belongs in the junkyard... lol
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  25. 02-13-20 06:57 PM #60
    Booya711
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    Fukk you Morino
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  26. 02-13-20 07:23 PM #61
    RoyBacon
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    Quote Originally Posted by 15805 View Post
    Amy did well in New Hampshire but isn't even the favorite son in her own state
    of Minnesota: abcislands.ag
    Sanders -115
    Klobucher +125
    Buttigieg +425
    Biden + 2500
    Warren +3500
    MINNESOTA DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY (MAR 3RD)
    She might not even be in the race by then?
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  27. 02-13-20 07:58 PM #62
    khicks26
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  28. 02-13-20 08:04 PM #63
    wikkidinsane
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    Nice bet bro. Latinos and Latinas will go big for sanders and his ground game in a caucus is amazing
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  29. 02-13-20 08:04 PM #64
    wikkidinsane
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    WHat site has tHE MOST POLITICAL ODDS?
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  30. 02-13-20 08:06 PM #65
    wikkidinsane
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    Quote Originally Posted by lakerboy View Post
    Why is Bernie in the Democratic nomination field? He is an independent and he is a communist
    Hes a Democratic socialist. He had to run as a Democrat because if he doesn't, his chances of winning are significantly lower because the voting public only see red and blue.
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  31. 02-13-20 08:08 PM #66
    Booya711
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    Dems all losers anyway.....clowns
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  32. 02-13-20 08:13 PM #67
    JIBBBY
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    Quote Originally Posted by Booya711 View Post
    Dems all losers anyway.....clowns
    Booya you on the war path lately on SBR!! lol.. Get em Booya!!!
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  33. 02-13-20 08:13 PM #68
    wikkidinsane
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    Quote Originally Posted by thomorino View Post
    She has no support in the black or Hispanic community and no organization, she will not win.

    It will be interesting to see if the establishment tries to intervene like Harry Reid did in 2016 for buttigieg.
    You are right morino.

    Biden- Already focusing on South Carolina
    Buttigeg- cant get minority votes. he is like 4% nationally
    Warren- Fading faster than my skinny jeans
    Klobachar - Same problems as Buttigeg about the minority vote but she has the support of the media and a majority of women but no ground game at all.


    I think the final results for the caucus will be along the lines of

    Bernie : 34%
    Buttigeg: 17%
    Klob: 16%
    Biden:12%
    The field///
    Last edited by wikkidinsane; 02-13-20 at 08:51 PM.
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  34. 02-13-20 08:14 PM #69
    wikkidinsane
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    Quote Originally Posted by vivaporto View Post
    I don't think Biden wins anything. I think he will lose SC and drop out. His image is completely damaged. I say this as an european who doesn't follow american corporate media.
    Biden never won a dem. primary, so i agree
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  35. 02-13-20 08:16 PM #70
    Booya711
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    Quote Originally Posted by JIBBBY View Post
    Booya you on the war path lately on SBR!! lol.. Get em Booya!!!
    I only speak the truth jibby....fukk the dems
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