[stevenash]

I'm trying out a theory here, so tail at your own risk.

There's just four games tonight in the NBA.
The Grand Salami is 922.5

Of the four games one is a monster total.

Milwaukee at New Orleans which sit currently at 246.

The other three games have totals in the mid 220's.

Charlotte at Houston is 222.5
Portland at Denver is 226
San Antonio at Los Angeles is 226.5


This is my thinking as to why I think the four games will fall under the 922.5 total points posted,

The key, or trigger game if you will to me is the monster total 246 in that Bucks contest.
The chances of that game going to 260 are not as great as it is winding up say at 232.
If my thinking is correct that means the other three games needs to average four or more points to cover that 922.5

Now the Houston game has the potential of being a colossal blowout as the Rockets are -13.5
If that game holds true to form both teams will empty their benches in eight minutes of fourth quarter garbage time. Garbage time is conducive for low scoring and slower tempo. I don't see that game going over if it holds true to form.

Portland at Denver and San Antonio don't figure to be a slug fest.

Now before you ask why not just bet the under of the Bucks game and the Rockets game.
Because both games could eke out a two point over.

So instead of placing a couple of under bets and they go 1 and 1 the thinking here the combined scores of all four games is a better option.

Just a theory feel free to poke holes in this theory it's just something I'm trying out.

Under 922.5 for a very small 1/2 unit wager.

[johnnyvegas13]

U love these NBA totals

I see nothing in these

[thetrinity]

Interesting

[stevenash]

U love these NBA totals

I see nothing in these

Yeah I’m an analyst by trade I like dissecting lineups and such.

[stevenash]

120-108 final in the Milwaukee game.
Three games pending.

[stevenash]

125-110 Rockets

That’s 463 so far.
I need the last two games to go under 460 for the win.

[jjgold]

What an action bet

[stevenash]

What an action bet

They’re good bets on smaller cards.
The larger the slate the more variables.
Not only that you get migraines breaking down 14 games.

Takes me minimum 2 hours to breakdown 10 baseball games.
Like I said they’re good bets on say a four to six game slate.

[stevenash]

127-99 Portland

That’s 689 points.

I need the Laker game to go under 233 for the win.

[Buckandadime]

Nice...
That's cutting it close..lol

[stevenash]

^
Yeah, go figure on that 1000 point second half.
lol

Got it by 2.5 points.

Holy cow my analytical theory paid off.