1. 02-03-20 08:25 AM #1
    jjgold
    jjgold's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 07-20-05
    Posts: 388,190
    Betpoints: 10

    Monday Plays?? Anyone Betting???

    Crickets I think this week
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  2. 02-03-20 08:27 AM #2
    johnnyvegas13
    johnnyvegas13's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 05-21-15
    Posts: 26,183
    Betpoints: 162

    No

    Kinda sad football is over

    And no xfl doesn't count
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  3. 02-03-20 08:29 AM #3
    pologq
    When you are SBR you are SBR 4 Life
    pologq's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-07-12
    Posts: 19,849
    Betpoints: 5971

    taking the rangers +1.5 and maple leafs ML

    taking the wizards at home -5 and pacers -5
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  4. 02-03-20 08:37 AM #4
    Sam Odom
    Sam Odom's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-30-05
    Posts: 58,063
    Betpoints: 37

    No bets...

    Moving $$$ around today -- taking already $mall offshore balances down lower
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  5. 02-03-20 08:42 AM #5
    BIGDAY
    angelman.org
    BIGDAY's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 02-17-10
    Posts: 48,241
    Betpoints: 24866

    UNC & KState plus the numbahs
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  6. 02-03-20 08:55 AM #6
    stevenash
    stevenash's Avatar Moderator
    Join Date: 01-17-11
    Posts: 62,661
    Betpoints: 32303

    Full slate of NBA games today.
    I’ve been killing the totals lately.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  7. 02-03-20 12:03 PM #7
    JIBBBY
    JIBBBY's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 12-10-09
    Posts: 83,076
    Betpoints: 11874

    I'm in and betting. Capping now.. Still a little stung and bit with SF losing Hit a few props though so not a total disaster yesterday..

    Back on that horse today!!! Just wondering if most NBA players are gonna be hung over and or tired today and lay eggs in the games?

    Thinking upset Monday perhaps?
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  8. 02-03-20 12:22 PM #8
    KVB
    It's not what they bring...
    KVB's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 05-29-14
    Posts: 74,849
    Betpoints: 7576

    About to buy a car, but I bought Texas first...

    Quote Originally Posted by KVB View Post
    The KVB NCAAB Technical Value Fund has picked up...

    867 TEXAS +14 (+100)

    On mobile, forgot to post this when I first bought at 15, forgot. There are 14.5s out there as well...
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  9. 02-03-20 12:24 PM #9
    stevek173
    stevek173's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 03-29-08
    Posts: 27,589
    Betpoints: 5964

    NHL Dallas -130

    Rumor has it poster Opie will be working the zamboni at the game
    Points Awarded:

    cecil127 gave stevek173 2 Betpoint(s) for this post.

    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  10. 02-03-20 12:32 PM #10
    CanuckG
    CanuckG's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-23-10
    Posts: 21,951
    Betpoints: 584

    Quote Originally Posted by KVB View Post
    About to buy a car, but I bought Texas first...



    Texas line seems like a trap. Why so high?
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  11. 02-03-20 01:08 PM #11
    KVB
    It's not what they bring...
    KVB's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 05-29-14
    Posts: 74,849
    Betpoints: 7576

    Quote Originally Posted by CanuckG View Post
    Texas line seems like a trap. Why so high?
    Good observation here, but I'm torn.

    My raw stacking percentages forecast has Kansas winning by 20 points. I've been working on the Hoops non-predictive public gauge and that gives Kansas a 16 point win.

    But Canuck you're on to something because there is pressure big time on Texas. The contrarian in me and the contrarian radar has Kansas lighting up. Imagine that, Kansas a Contrarian play in conference play...lol.

    But with this play, this strategy, the market analysis and contrarian looks don't quite apply.

    I know it's general, but here's the idea behind the Technical Value strategy...

    Quote Originally Posted by KVB View Post
    The KVB NCAAB Technical Value Fund will track NCAAB plays derived from a stacking percentages forecast that is enhanced by a few technical, statistical tweaks. The forecast with these adjustments, when compared to the market, give us another decent spread opportunity throughout the seasons.

    This Fund will also be comprised of underdogs, exploiting some of the public thirst for favorites, but gets its plays mainly from focusing more on the weightings of a few specific areas. These areas include defensive stats like field goal %, forced turnovers per game, opponents free throws, etc, and combine them with things like pace to find those teams that are just better than the number indicates and control the game more than the betting market realizes...
    I posted 14 at even money but I have 14.5 and 15. I forgot to post it at the open, where it triggered.

    It's tough to bring that raw forecast off of a 20 point victory and get the +15 or +14 but when those Technical value factors are applied we get a play. I'm purposely not posting the revised forecast, but it's market beating even if this is one of it's worst years.

    It looks like it might close under the 15 opener, but we'll see.

    When we think of traps, Kansas could actually be the trap here. Often times, the contrarian bettor who sees the public on a large dog but thinks it's not all that large envisions the blowout, and he gets trapped, along with other bettors there for their own reasons.

    Then again, staring at such a fat line with Texas seems to be trapping most bettors, early on here, including some technical strategies.

    It's my inclination that maybe the Texas line isn't as fat as it seems, but it's true it was fat enough, barely, to draw me in.

    I guess the laugh is on me when Kansas becomes a contrarian Fund trigger and I end up on both sides of the game.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  12. 02-03-20 01:48 PM #12
    jjgold
    jjgold's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 07-20-05
    Posts: 388,190
    Betpoints: 10

    KVB never stops
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  13. 02-03-20 01:53 PM #13
    SamsNCharge99
    5x POTM. 2x Video maker of the year
    SamsNCharge99's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-22-08
    Posts: 41,242
    Betpoints: 6404

    of course we are betting, there's always action JJ
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  14. 02-03-20 03:22 PM #14
    jjgold
    jjgold's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 07-20-05
    Posts: 388,190
    Betpoints: 10

    Sammy a pathological gambler
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  15. 02-03-20 03:43 PM #15
    stevenash
    stevenash's Avatar Moderator
    Join Date: 01-17-11
    Posts: 62,661
    Betpoints: 32303

    A lot of parity in the NBA games tonight.
    Im looking at Boston.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  16. 02-03-20 03:49 PM #16
    Mackballs
    Mackballs's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 12-01-16
    Posts: 5,807
    Betpoints: 12393

    Great night to bet the board
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  17. 02-03-20 04:28 PM #17
    BigOrange
    BigOrange's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 08-13-09
    Posts: 6,702
    Betpoints: 5441

    Played these last night. 2 are moving against me and one moving in my favor:

    Laf +1
    N AZ -1
    Bay -7
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  18. 02-03-20 04:31 PM #18
    trillz
    trillz's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 03-02-16
    Posts: 1,668
    Betpoints: 4470

    Parlay Indy ML/Baylor 1h ML +120
    Under 212 76ers heat
    Celtics -5

    GL
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  19. 02-03-20 04:33 PM #19
    flyingillini
    flyingillini's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 12-06-06
    Posts: 41,218
    Betpoints: 2187

    JJ, I’m on an airplane coming back from China and gambling the whole trip
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  20. 02-03-20 04:48 PM #20
    asiagambler
    asiagambler's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 07-23-17
    Posts: 6,374
    Betpoints: 30436

    Quote Originally Posted by jjgold View Post
    Crickets I think this week
    Yep, some ODIs tomorrow South Africa vs England and New Zealand vs India

    Also U19 World Cup going on
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  21. 02-03-20 04:49 PM #21
    veriableodds
    validation not required
    veriableodds's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-22-17
    Posts: 4,333
    Betpoints: 1967

    Quote Originally Posted by KVB View Post
    About to buy a car, but I bought Texas first...



    best places to buy is hertz, and enterprise phoenix locations seems to be cheapest for some reason. Save yourself thousands just by slightly used. Can pick up a Nissan versa, or rougue(or like car) for way way less than any dealer. They are maintained and looked after pretty well. So it has less than 50k mi on it who cares(less than 9k). Takes a while for negotiations on phone but they will bid war each other down, they will haggle a no haggle price.We are talking cars not trucks that's a diff story
    Nomination(s):
    This post was nominated 1 time . To view the nominated thread please click here. People who nominated: KVB
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote 1
  22. 02-03-20 05:07 PM #22
    JIBBBY
    JIBBBY's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 12-10-09
    Posts: 83,076
    Betpoints: 11874

    Sexton over 20.5 prop looks like a winner again to me.. He's been cashing like clock work for the Cavs with his Over points prop totals lately, I've been riding it.. He's been in a good scoring groove bottom line.

    At home again tonight against the Nets I don't see him slowing down unless he's extremely hung over from the Super bowl weekend..

    Sexton covered the last 4 games.. https://sports.yahoo.com/nba/players/6019/

    Pending2/3/20 7:05pm NBA Props Basketball 4117 C.Sexton points/. Over 20½ -125*
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  23. 02-03-20 05:10 PM #23
    krk1030
    krk1030's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 08-13-08
    Posts: 17,605
    Betpoints: 4884

    UNC +5 1st half
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  24. 02-03-20 05:38 PM #24
    stevenash
    stevenash's Avatar Moderator
    Join Date: 01-17-11
    Posts: 62,661
    Betpoints: 32303

    Quote Originally Posted by JIBBBY View Post
    Sexton over 20.5 prop looks like a winner again to me.. He's been cashing like clock work for the Cavs with his Over points prop totals lately, I've been riding it.. He's been in a good scoring groove bottom line.

    At home again tonight against the Nets I don't see him slowing down unless he's extremely hung over from the Super bowl weekend..

    Sexton covered the last 4 games.. https://sports.yahoo.com/nba/players/6019/

    Pending2/3/20 7:05pm NBA Props Basketball 4117 C.Sexton points/. Over 20½ -125*
    Cavs got the Knicks tonight.
    Suns got the Nets.
    Easy mistake to make.
    Still a good prop.

    I love the over in the Nets game.
    Booker should go off.

    Best of luck amigo.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  25. 02-03-20 05:42 PM #25
    KVB
    It's not what they bring...
    KVB's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 05-29-14
    Posts: 74,849
    Betpoints: 7576

    The Contrarian Fund is in action tonight...

    Quote Originally Posted by KVB View Post
    The KVB NBA Contrarian Fund has picked up...

    556 ATL+5 (-105)
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  26. 02-03-20 05:43 PM #26
    KVB
    It's not what they bring...
    KVB's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 05-29-14
    Posts: 74,849
    Betpoints: 7576

    Also picked up some spreads...

    Quote Originally Posted by KVB View Post
    KVB NBA ATS/ML FFund...

    546 WAS -6.5 (-105)

    549 ORL -5.5 (+100)

    554 MIA -2.5 (-105)

    Buying a Passat, stopped process to bet...lol...
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  27. 02-03-20 05:44 PM #27
    KVB
    It's not what they bring...
    KVB's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 05-29-14
    Posts: 74,849
    Betpoints: 7576

    Also bought a NBA UNDER, I’ve been terrible at these this season...

    Quote Originally Posted by KVB View Post
    The KVB NBA Totals Fund...

    554 PHI/MIA UNDER 212 (-105)

    Seriously, I literally said, “hold on, I need to place some bets” while she’s trying to process the transaction.

    She’s like “Oh, uh, of course, take your time.”



    Just waiting for final DMV processing now.


    ...
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  28. 02-03-20 05:48 PM #28
    JIBBBY
    JIBBBY's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 12-10-09
    Posts: 83,076
    Betpoints: 11874

    Quote Originally Posted by stevenash View Post
    Cavs got the Knicks tonight.
    Suns got the Nets.
    Easy mistake to make.
    Still a good prop.

    I love the over in the Nets game.
    Booker should go off.

    Best of luck amigo.
    Knicks have a chance for sure on the straight.. Two shiittt teams I couldn't touch it even Steven myself. It's like flipping a coin to me.. Basement dwellers have a tendency to throw games to get an extra ping pong ball in the upcoming lottery draft.. ..


    https://www.rotowire.com/basketball/...php?id=2177213
    Good luck brother. If I had to pick I'd probably take the Knicks as well but the Cavs will be hungry for a win..

    Knicks slightly hotter team of late.. GL BUD!!!
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  29. 02-03-20 05:54 PM #29
    KVB
    It's not what they bring...
    KVB's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 05-29-14
    Posts: 74,849
    Betpoints: 7576

    Picked up a play today for tomorrow...

    Quote Originally Posted by KVB View Post
    The KVB NCAAB Technical Value Fund has picked up...

    614 E MICH +4 (-105)

    This is for tomorrow, Feb 4th...
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  30. 02-03-20 06:15 PM #30
    Bostongambler
    Bostongambler's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 02-01-08
    Posts: 35,930
    Betpoints: 14380

    No Marcus Smart tonight for Celts , but Kanter is back.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  31. 02-03-20 06:43 PM #31
    JIBBBY
    JIBBBY's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 12-10-09
    Posts: 83,076
    Betpoints: 11874

    Quote Originally Posted by Bostongambler View Post
    No Marcus Smart tonight for Celts , but Kanter is back.
    More minutes for J Brown most likely which will contribute to his point total runs of late. He scored 32 points playing 36 minutes of play in his last game. The game before that only 18 points but his minutes were limited to just 26 minutes.. .https://sports.yahoo.com/nba/players/5602/

    If he plays 36 to 40 minutes tonight or so which I think he will this prop most likely covers..


    5347 J.Brown points o23½ +100
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  32. 02-03-20 07:47 PM #32
    JIBBBY
    JIBBBY's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 12-10-09
    Posts: 83,076
    Betpoints: 11874

    Quote Originally Posted by JIBBBY View Post
    Sexton over 20.5 prop looks like a winner again to me.. He's been cashing like clock work for the Cavs with his Over points prop totals lately, I've been riding it.. He's been in a good scoring groove bottom line.

    At home again tonight against the Nets I don't see him slowing down unless he's extremely hung over from the Super bowl weekend..

    Sexton covered the last 4 games.. https://sports.yahoo.com/nba/players/6019/

    Pending2/3/20 7:05pm NBA Props Basketball 4117 C.Sexton points/. Over 20½ -125*

    Sexton with 22 points now in the 3rd quarter.. Easy money cash it.. Next..

    Ride this boy against soft defenses now as he's cashing game after game. https://sports.yahoo.com/nba/players/6019/
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  33. 02-03-20 10:06 PM #33
    stevek173
    stevek173's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 03-29-08
    Posts: 27,589
    Betpoints: 5964

    Dallas delivers.

    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  34. 02-03-20 10:12 PM #34
    BIGDAY
    angelman.org
    BIGDAY's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 02-17-10
    Posts: 48,241
    Betpoints: 24866

    Love starting the week out 2-0
    Points Awarded:

    stevek173 gave BIGDAY 1 SBR Point(s) for this post.
    Nomination(s):
    This post was nominated 1 time . To view the nominated thread please click here. People who nominated: jrgum3
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote 1
  35. 02-03-20 10:29 PM #35
    JIBBBY
    JIBBBY's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 12-10-09
    Posts: 83,076
    Betpoints: 11874

    Quote Originally Posted by BIGDAY View Post
    UNC & KState plus the numbahs
    Nice...
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
Top
« Previous Thread | Players Talk | Next Thread »