I have bunch of post in all the threads on these games anyways so figured might as well put them all in one place and see how it goes. I’m gonna go one by one and post thoughts whether I’m betting the game or not.,
Very little interest in the bills/Texans game. I think a good case can be made for both sides. I will say if fuller out I think bills chances go way up (I’ve heard varying reports, some say he has practiced this week while others saying game time decision and not likely he plays. Even if he does Mfer prob limp off after his 1st catch, always hurt!) watson numbers are substantially better when fuller on the field., he makes it impossible to bracket Hopkins and with those 2 and stills it one of most formidable wrs trios in the league imo. Not sure bills could stop them with all 3 on field.
Bills passing d is incredible by the numbers but they have some built in advantages that make it hard to know if they really as good the numbers say? They have faced lot of bad passing attacks and they play bunch of games in windy/rainy/cold conditions which obviously makes it tougher to pass. On the other hand bills passing offense has many those same disadvantages and have faced lot of highly ranked passing defenses. Allen among worst starters in league in the face of pressure but Houston ranks near bottom of league in pressuring QBs!!! How much will watt impact this? I have no clue. You would think he give houston a bit of a motivational lift probably, I’d think early in the Game his potential impact would be most prevalent.
Big coaching mismatch in bills favor but big qb advantage for Houston. I think both teams can have success on the ground. Both teams fairly slow starters as neither average more than 10 points in 1st half. I suspect there be some feeling out early on as both try to establish the run. Bills have to and Houston needs to try and wear down the pass rush imo. Which leads to my only play on this one.
Bills/Texans 1st half under 21 -106 (1x)
