ThanksOriginally Posted by scot4
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12-10-19 02:08 PM #71
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12-10-19 02:11 PM #72
OP, welcome and thx for posting
as per his cincy-jets erroneous line, i see that line was out there (erroneously).......... so it's not completely OP incompetence...... or was it sarcasm by the person who responded? i can't remember exactly... anyway, there is an erroneous jets/bengals line still being shown on sbrodds from at least one of the sports books.
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12-10-19 02:16 PM #73
can we get IP checks in this thread Originally Posted by gojetsgomoxies
OP, welcome and thx for posting
as per his cincy-jets erroneous line, i see that line was out there (erroneously).......... so it's not completely OP incompetence...... or was it sarcasm by the person who responded? i can't remember exactly... anyway, there is an erroneous jets/bengals line still being shown on sbrodds from at least one of the sports books.
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12-10-19 02:19 PM #74
It wasn't an erroneous line. The picker had the Jets winning big like 31 to 12 or something and with the -3.5 spread on the Jets it had them at a 15 point differential between the live spread and its predicted spread/score. Making it the biggest play on the board. However, it can't account for a healthy Andy Dalton starting over a fledgling rookie that had played the previous four games. Originally Posted by gojetsgomoxies
OP, welcome and thx for posting
as per his cincy-jets erroneous line, i see that line was out there (erroneously).......... so it's not completely OP incompetence...... or was it sarcasm by the person who responded? i can't remember exactly... anyway, there is an erroneous jets/bengals line still being shown on sbrodds from at least one of the sports books.
Somethings are just beyond the comprehension of some people.
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12-10-19 04:39 PM #75
Originally Posted by scot4
Originally Posted by scot4
you only came in this thread to defend him
so relax bro
we already know
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12-10-19 04:56 PM #76
Im defending his model and the picks that he has provided. U of all people, you who made a thread to not be a dick to people who post plays, should understand I am defending the fact he came in here with something to give and u have done nothing but be a jerk. Next time leave it alone and say nothing.
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12-10-19 05:41 PM #77
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12-10-19 05:45 PM #78
You're way off base here, Nasher. Guy is a ghost and scammer Originally Posted by stevenash
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12-10-19 07:10 PM #79
Gmen claiming I'm this and that and not an ounce to back it up. Get a life jj
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12-10-19 09:20 PM #80
What scam would I be perpetuating exactly? Providing my ATS tool with full transparency for free? I'm starting think your dumbass is Rudy but I really don't give a shit enough. And honestly as amusing as some of this shit has been, I feel like a fool for bantering like a fukking 5 year old with you and the other dipshit that lives in your head. Originally Posted by Gmen30
Forget about that shot. And assuming you are a former Marine, I would imagine the Marines that do hang out at my bar would probably laugh at you.
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12-10-19 11:39 PM #81
Incredible. Some of these guys aren’t happy no matter the post. Let us not forget... it’s all of us against the bookie/sportsbook.
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12-11-19 12:45 PM #82
Agree with you on Chargers & Titans Originally Posted by mgcolby
Disagree with you on Ravens, Patriots, 49ers
Interesting model you have here there keep it up and best of luck this weekend!
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12-12-19 12:31 AM #83
Thank you sir. But the way it has gone, since I started posting here again, I am not sure it will happen again. With that said, You are not agreeing, or disagreeing with me. You are disagreeing with the numbers, the stats etc.. I do not have any emotional attachment to this, except when I go bankrupt in my bovada account and I still feel the need to gamble. Then I vicariously live through the picker. Its cool. Originally Posted by oChRoNiCo
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12-12-19 01:41 PM #84
I'm only agreeing and disagreeing with the picks your picker provided, vrs my own personal system picks. I could do the entire card, but I have it filtered out to a point where I play the games above a certain amount and don't play the rest of the games. GL I'm always intrigued to see others with systems and see if there is something I could learn to better my own. Originally Posted by mgcolby
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12-12-19 03:07 PM #85
Have you compared totals to O/U?
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12-12-19 03:26 PM #86
No, I was just thinking about that the other day. I will start doing that this week. I can add some more columns to account for it. I don't do over/under's much, so I never bothered. When I do, I usually just do the math for the one game. Originally Posted by cjwatsonfan32
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12-12-19 03:28 PM #87
I would be interested in seeing what you have as well, be interesting to learn if they look at the games differently or similar over all. Originally Posted by oChRoNiCo
I'm only agreeing and disagreeing with the picks your picker provided, vrs my own personal system picks. I could do the entire card, but I have it filtered out to a point where I play the games above a certain amount and don't play the rest of the games. GL I'm always intrigued to see others with systems and see if there is something I could learn to better my own.
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12-13-19 03:12 PM #88
Ok fair enough here is what I have for this week this Originally Posted by mgcolby
NYJ 13 BAL 39
NE 29 CIN 10
TB 22 DET 21
CHI 21 GB 24
HOU 21 TEN 28
DEN 20 KC 31
MIA 11 NYG 14
PHI 19 WSH 15
SEA 23 CAR 17
JAX 9 OAK 13
CLE 19 ARZ 14
MIN 26 LAC 29
LAR 26 DAL 25
ATL 20 SF 34
BUF 22 PIT 24
IND 20 NO 27
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12-15-19 06:52 PM #89
Rough week for the picker. Its 4-10 going into SNF, took two bad beats, much like I am sure many on here (Skins & Bears). Hopefully it can squeek out the last two games to lessen the blow a bit.
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12-15-19 06:53 PM #90
Nice, thanks. Originally Posted by oChRoNiCo
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12-17-19 10:17 AM #91
Well the picker had a pooper of a week. I think a little bit is still dribbling down its leg. Had a tough beat in the Bears and Skins games. Would of been 6-9-1 which is mildly better looking than 5-11...ouch. Horseshoes & Grenades as it goes...
Game Predicted Score Predicted Spread Live Spread Spread Dif Actual Score ATS SU Jets 17.18 6.41 15 8.59 21 L W Ravens 23.59 -6.41 42 Bears 19.77 0.88 5 4.12 13 L W Packers 20.66 -0.88 21 Patriots 17.02 -1.34 34 L W Bengals 15.69 1.34 10 8.66 13 Seahawks 26.93 -6.23 -5.5 0.73 30 W W Panthers 20.70 6.23 24 Dolphins 25.92 -0.14 3.5 3.64 20 L L Giants 25.78 0.14 36 Texans 22.90 11.94 24 L L Titans 34.83 -11.94 -3 8.94 21 Eagles 19.24 3.40 37 L L Redskins 22.64 -3.40 6 9.40 27 Broncos 23.82 4.93 12 7.07 3 L W Chiefs 28.75 -4.93 23 Buccaneers 27.12 -8.00 -3.5 4.50 38 W W Lions 19.12 8.00 17 Vikings 21.35 2.39 39 L L Chargers 23.75 -2.39 2.5 4.89 10 Jaguars 19.65 1.01 5.5 4.49 20 W L Raiders 20.66 -1.01 16 Browns 30.07 -9.74 -2 7.74 24 L L Cardinals 20.34 9.74 38 Falcons 23.92 4.97 11 6.03 23 W L 49ers 28.89 -4.97 22 Rams 20.76 -3.32 3 6.32 21 L L Cowboys 17.44 3.32 44 Bills 19.37 -3.49 1.5 4.99 17 W W Steelers 15.88 3.49 10 Colts 28.26 4.93 8 3.07 7 L W Saints 33.19 -4.93 34 Wins 5 8
Week W L W L P 3 under w 3 under L 3 Under P +3 W +3 L +3 P +4 W +4 L +4 P 1 2 3 4 5 7 8 8 7 0 5 4 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 6 10 4 10 3 1 5 2 0 1 0 0 0 2 0 7 7 7 7 7 0 4 3 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 8 8 7 7 8 0 3 2 0 0 3 0 0 0 0 9 8 6 6 8 0 4 3 0 0 1 0 0 2 0 10 5 8 8 5 0 3 2 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 11 11 3 9 5 0 4 2 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 12 9 5 8 5 1 3 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 13 7 9 6 10 0 2 5 0 0 1 0 0 1 0 14 14 2 13 2 1 2 1 1 0 1 0 1 0 0 15 8 8 5 11 0 1 0 0 0 2 0 3 2 0 16 17 Totals 94 67 87 71 3 36 26 1 2 8 0 9 8 0 WIN PCT 0.58 0.55 0.58 0.20 0.53 Week +5 W +5 L +5 P +6 W +6 L +6 P +7 W +7 L +7 P 8+ W 8+ L 8+ P 1 2 3 4 5 0 1 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4 0 0 7 1 1 0 0 2 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 8 2 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 2 0 9 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 0 10 2 0 0 0 1 0 1 1 0 1 0 0 11 1 2 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 12 1 0 0 1 0 1 1 1 0 1 1 0 13 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 2 2 0 14 2 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 6 0 0 15 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 2 0 0 3 0 16 17 Totals 9 6 0 7 4 1 5 7 0 16 11 0 0.60 0.64 0.42 0.59
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12-17-19 10:19 AM #92
And without further ado... Week 16 is here. Hopefully the picker can finish out the regular season strong with two winning weeks. Based on winning and losing weeks its 6-4-1 overall.
As usual a few head scratchers:
Bucs over the texans by almost 9 points...
Panthers over the Colts
Cardinals in a virtual tie with the Seahawks
Bills over the Pats
Season:
ATS: 87-71-3 (55%) +8.9 units
SU: 94-67 (58%)
Week 15:
ATS: 5-11
SU: 8-8
Game Predicted Score Predicted Spread Live Spread Spread Dif Texans 21.04 8.92 Buccaneers 29.96 -8.92 1 9.92 Bills 19.63 -2.51 6.5 9.01 Patriots 17.12 2.51 Rams 21.08 8.52 49ers 29.61 -8.52 -6 2.52 Panthers 27.99 -1.72 6.5 8.22 Colts 26.26 1.72 Saints 30.32 -1.00 Titans 29.32 1.00 3 2.00 Ravens 31.47 -11.55 -9.5 2.05 Browns 19.92 11.55 Steelers 19.26 -2.70 Jets 16.55 2.70 3 0.30 Bengals 22.31 0.18 1 0.82 Dolphins 22.50 -0.18 Giants 22.10 2.83 Redskins 24.94 -2.83 -2.5 0.33 Jaguars 19.62 11.27 Falcons 30.89 -11.27 -7.5 3.77 Raiders 14.53 9.89 Chargers 24.42 -9.89 -5.5 4.39 Lions 18.85 4.27 7 2.73 Broncos 23.12 -4.27 Cowboys 21.57 0.84 Eagles 22.41 -0.84 2.5 3.34 Cardinals 26.24 0.10 10 9.90 Seahawks 26.34 -0.10 Chiefs 25.28 -7.93 -5 2.93 Bears 17.36 7.93 Packers 21.30 5.59 Vikings 26.89 -5.59 -4 1.59
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12-17-19 10:41 AM #93
You are 24-33 ATS.
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12-17-19 11:00 AM #94
Funny, but because of the nature of the board I guess I'll play. You chimed in with a snarky comment after it had a bad week, which was the first week I posted it here. Then it goes 12-2-1 and you were conspicuously absent from the thread. It has another shit week and you pop back in with this. I linked you to a post on another forum showing the entire year's play. If you do not care to review it, that is fine. If you don't have any use for this that is cool too. Originally Posted by juicername
The jackassery here is impressive.
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12-23-19 11:24 AM #95
your "system" is a complete fail Originally Posted by mgcolby
i hope sbr is still checking IPs with many in this thread
and i want to laugh at those guys saying wow great job
clown show thread that i win again
wont be a full win til some get banned though
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12-27-19 04:04 PM #96
anyone seen this guy?
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12-27-19 04:05 PM #97
i would love to know this guys actual thoughts NOW Originally Posted by gojetsgomoxies
OP, welcome and thx for posting
as per his cincy-jets erroneous line, i see that line was out there (erroneously).......... so it's not completely OP incompetence...... or was it sarcasm by the person who responded? i can't remember exactly... anyway, there is an erroneous jets/bengals line still being shown on sbrodds from at least one of the sports books.
maybe an apology as well
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12-27-19 04:07 PM #98
Originally Posted by Otters27
Originally Posted by pologq
Originally Posted by reigle9
<br>
<br>
apologies from these guys would be nice as well
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12-27-19 04:17 PM #99
You're a class act Rudy. Fawkin goof
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12-27-19 04:21 PM #100
Join Date: 11-04-18 Originally Posted by scot4
Posts: 377
anyone notice how much these trolls love me?
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12-27-19 04:21 PM #101
its because i bury them one after the other
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12-27-19 05:06 PM #102
Most of these usually have a hidden message to some sort of a Tout site or affiliation
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12-27-19 05:10 PM #103
The only tool in this thread is you. Originally Posted by mgcolby
Since some folks think starting threads is some kinda pre-requisite to post here. Here is my "system", picker, predictor, spread calculator; haven't come up with a decent name for it. whatever you want to call it.
Ok, I post this weekly along with the results on a team forum, where I post regularly. Its a tool to help pick games, and at times when I have taken a break from betting, a surrogate to live through vicariously.
Its not reinventing the wheel, at its core its a YPP system with some additional twists I added. I made it probably 10 or so years ago. It has done well every year, I'm just not disciplined enough to bet every game (or at times believe its picks) and to follow it religiously, if I did I would win more often.
For the Season (since week 5, its based on the last four games):
ATS: 63-48-2 (57%) +10.2 units
SU: 65-48
Its had two losing weeks by win-losses ATS not by units (8 & 9) and one push week (7).
Its got some interesting picks this week including a game I like (Buffalo), either way take a look for yourself.
I tried to upload this as an image from excel, but it only allows to link to an image. Not sure how to post this or upload it so its in a more readable format. The "live spread" is the opening line, figured its the only fair way to measure its success as I could go line shopping and skew its results. And its also in line with its pick for the game.
Game Predicted Score Predicted Spread Live Spread Spread Dif Bears 21.01 -3.55 -1 2.55 Lions 17.46 3.55 Bills 21.64 -3.81 7 10.81 Cowboys 17.83 3.81 Saints 23.66 -2.49 Falcons 21.17 2.49 6.5 4.01 Packers 23.77 1.83 Giants 25.60 -1.83 6.5 8.33 Eagles 21.38 -2.10 Dolphins 19.28 2.10 7.5 5.40 Browns 20.33 -3.19 -1 2.19 Steelers 17.14 3.19 Buccaneers 27.49 -6.75 1 7.75 Jaguars 20.74 6.75 Titans 24.74 0.77 3 2.23 Colts 25.51 -0.77 Redskins 21.78 -0.98 10 10.98 Panthers 20.79 0.98 49ers 22.21 8.36 Ravens 30.57 -8.36 -5.5 2.86 Jets 30.80 -18.93 -3.5 15.43 Bengals 11.87 18.93 Rams 21.99 0.49 Cardinals 22.48 -0.49 3 3.49 Raiders 22.29 2.32 10 7.68 Chiefs 24.61 -2.32 Chargers 20.72 -3.74 -1 2.74 Broncos 16.99 3.74 Patriots 21.93 -3.80 -3.5 0.30 Texans 18.13 3.80 Vikings 26.29 1.72 3 1.28 Seahawks 28.01 -1.72
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12-27-19 08:33 PM #104
Rudy u douche I told u any amount u wanna put up to prove I'm fake. Ur punkass has done nothing but be a coward a run away from that fact. Do the world a favor and play in traffic
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12-31-19 11:15 AM #105
pretty obvious the ghosts in here
im just glad deeppockets posted in here so we can keep them all together
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