1. #1
    hotcross
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    NHL: if you want to make money in betting....Hockey....

    Once again an above-average number of Overtime games occurred Monday night. 4 out of the 9 games on the schedule. Yet I don't seem to be able to pick that. With odds usually offered at +300 or higher for the Overtime prop bet, on a night like tonight a bettor could just play it for an equal amount on every game on the nightly card for a profit.

    Let's assume 4x +300 at one-unit each: Winners for +12 units.
    Also count 5x losers on the Overtime bet: Lose -5 units.
    Profit +7 units on Overtime without any thought required tonight.
    And it seems to happen enough that it would be profitable to bet Overtime every game, every night.


    Monday Nov.25: 4 of 9 games went to OT = +7 units profit
    Sunday Nov.24: 1 of 3 games went to OT = +1 unit profit
    Saturday Nov.23: 5 of 14 games went to OT = +6 units profit
    Friday Nov.22: 0 of 2 games went to OT = -2 units lost
    Thurs. Nov.21: 3 of 13 games went to OT = -1 units lost
    Wed. Nov.20: 1 of 2 games went to OT = +2 units profit
    Tue. Nov.19: 1 of 13 games went to OT = -9 units lost
    Mon. Nov.18: 0 of 2 games went to OT = -2 units lost
    Sun. Nov.17: 0 of 2 games went to OT = -2 units lost
    Sat. Nov.16: 7 of 15 games went to OT = +13 units profit
    Fri. Nov.15: 1 of 5 games went to OT = -2 units lost
    Thurs. Nov.14: 2 of 8 games went to OT = 0 units net
    Wed. Nov.13: 1 of 5 games went to OT = -2 units lost
    Tue. Nov.12: 5 of 9 games went to OT = +11 units profit
    Mon. Nov.11: 1 of 2 games went to OT = +2 units profit
    Sun. Nov.10: 3 of 7 games went to OT = +5 units profit
    Sat. Nov.9: 4 of 11 games went to OT = +5 units profit
    Fri. Nov.8: 0 of 4 games went to OT = -4 units lost
    Thurs. Nov.7: 5 of 11 games went to OT = +9 units profit
    Wed. Nov.6: 0 of 2 games went to OT = -2 units lost
    Tue. Nov.5: 3 of 11 games went to OT = +1 unit profit
    Mon. Nov.4: 1 of 4 games went to OT = 0 units net
    Sun. Nov.3: 1 of 2 games went to OT = +2 units profit
    Sat. Nov.2: 5 of 14 games went to OT = +6 units profit
    Fri. Nov.1: 3 of 8 games went to OT = +4 units profit


    If I totaled those up right, that was +48 units profit for the whole month of November by playing the Overtime prop every game.

    14 nights were profitable, 9 were losing nights, and 2 went even money if you played this strategy form Nov.1 to Nov.25

    If you started on Nov.17 thru Nov.25, it has resulted in 0 net gain/loss during that recent stretch.


    Again that assumes +300 for each winner. The actual Overtime prop odds offered differ for each game, so I think this is a conservative multiplier to use, and in reality the profit is even higher.

    Sometimes streaky, but this is where the league is at.

  2. #2
    cincinnatikid513
    sante' du repos
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    just saw islanders had 4 ots games in a row before tonight, thought that was pretty impressive

  3. #3
    reigle9
    Paint my casket black with a big ass #3
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    ok lets try it

    3 games today, did a round robin +312, +322, +312

  4. #4
    2daBank
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    Quote Originally Posted by cincinnatikid513 View Post
    just saw islanders had 4 ots games in a row before tonight, thought that was pretty impressive
    Blues have been in a shitload of them too! This is prob a pretty solid idea, feel like every other one my nhl plays go to ot or shootout!!!

  5. #5
    msetai
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    tread carefully though guys oct was -19 units

  6. #6
    lakerboy
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    Only if odds are less then+300.

  7. #7
    jjgold
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    Interesting statistics thanks for the tip

  8. #8
    dlowilly
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    Don't do it, just a hot streak

    2018-19 season 271 OT games out of 1271 = -187 units (Assuming +300 on OT bets)

    2017-18 season 291 OT games out of 1271 = -107 units (Assuming +300 on OT bets)

    Even if you shopped around and got +310 avg. on all ur OT bets you would still be way down

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