[Hman]

Best bets for Ravens-Rams

ESPN PLUS ($ MATERIAL)

The 2019 NFL season rolls on, and we're here with a betting preview for Monday night's game on ESPN between the Baltimore Ravens and Los Angeles Rams.

The Ravens are sitting pretty atop the AFC North, while the Rams are in real need of a win to remain in the playoff hunt.

Joe Fortenbaugh, Preston Johnson and Doug Kezirian offer their best bets for the Week 12 finale.

Note: Odds courtesy of Caesars Sportsbook as of Sunday evening, unless otherwise noted.

Baltimore Ravens (-3, 46) at Los Angeles Rams

Fortenbaugh: Any mention of the 2019 Ravens instantly conjures up images of MVP front-runner Lamar Jackson slicing and dicing his way through opposing defenses in vintage Michael Vick fashion. But I'd prefer to focus our attention on the matchup that matters most in this Monday night tilt, which features the Los Angeles offense against the Baltimore defense. Entering Week 12, the Ravens rank sixth in the NFL in scoring defense. In four games against top-16 scoring defenses this season (vs. Saints, vs. 49ers, at Steelers, vs. Bears), the Rams averaged a paltry 15.7 points and 281.5 total yards per game with eight turnovers. Not great, Bob! As for the Ravens' defense, their in-season trade for cornerback Marcus Peters from this very Rams team has drastically altered the club's trajectory. In four games since acquiring Peters, the Ravens are 4-0 straight up and 4-0 against the spread while forcing 10 turnovers and surrendering an average of just 14.0 points. In three of those four aforementioned contests, the Ravens dismantled current playoff occupants Seattle, New England and Houston. Great, Bob!

Rams +3.5 or better

[chosen4th]

Everything about this line tells me to take the Rams.. it just doesn’t make sense. But I just don’t think the rams can score enough to cover.. not to mention I’m a ravens fan and will be out in Baltimore watching it.. also a small tid bit.. I could be wrong but don’t think I am, every week this season the public has not lost both Sunday and Monday night games.. with the public going down last night, does that trend continue?

(edit: week 6 public lost both sun and mon games.. only week)

[Hman]

Everything about this line tells me to take the Rams.. it just doesn’t make sense. But I just don’t think the rams can score enough to cover.. not to mention I’m a ravens fan and will be out in Baltimore watching it.. also a small tid bit.. I could be wrong but don’t think I am, every week this season the public has not lost both Sunday and Monday night games.. with the public going down last night, does that trend continue?

(edit: week 6 public lost both sun and mon games.. only week)

I think it's just hard for us to accept that the Rams are not the same team from last year

[Snowball]

I think it's just hard for us to accept that the Rams are not the same team from last year

They have little chance of making the playoffs, realistically,
would have to win out.. and the schedule is hard.
Ravens also have little chance of gaining 1st seed in AFC.

The game appears important, but it really isn't.

[USCPHILLYGUY]

Rams in a blowout

[JIBBBY]

Ravens are tough this year. Rams still struggling to get back to form from last year, they're still not there yet offensively. Goff getting pressured alot this year, OL struggling to protect.

I think you gotta go with the Ravens on the ML in this one. Maybe the OVER hits too..

[shocka1212]

Rams in a blowout

really?

[5mike5]

L.Jackson scores a rushing TD (+150)

Really like this one. He has done it in 4 of last 5 games.

[Richkas]

Ravens to much for Rams...blowout

[USCPHILLYGUY]

really?

I like Rams. Game really means nothing to Ravens. Other than next week in Houston, Pats will have no issue with remaining schedule so 1st rd bye throughout playoffs looks good as ravens cannot catch. Rams playing desperate. Like the angle here.

[mgcolby]

My analysis tool says Ravens by 8.3 points. but I think I am going to lay off this one. The Rams are to much Jekyll and Hyde for me in this type of game.

[POOLSIDE]

My analysis tool says Ravens by 8.3 points. but I think I am going to lay off this one. The Rams are to much Jekyll and Hyde for me in this type of game.

lol stop.

[mgcolby]

lol stop.

What is so funny about my post?

[POOLSIDE]

What is so funny about my post?

Because that number is absurd. Ravens are on the road against a good football team playing for their playoff lives. The -3.5 line is already inflated because of Baltimore’s recent streak. 8.6 is just a bad analysis tool.

Anything can happen, it’s sports. Ravens can win by thirty. But any computer sim that had them winning by an average of 8.6 on the road against the Rams tonight is comical.

[Goat Milk]

I like Rams. Game really means nothing to Ravens. Other than next week in Houston, Pats will have no issue with remaining schedule so 1st rd bye throughout playoffs looks good as ravens cannot catch. Rams playing desperate. Like the angle here.

Lol that's not how NFL teams think at all bro.

Ravens are going for that 1 seed. They have the tiebreaker over the Pats. Pats still play Houston KC and Buffalo, all games they can lose.

This game means everything to the Ravens...

[mgcolby]

Because that number is absurd. Ravens are on the road against a good football team playing for their playoff lives. The -3.5 line is already inflated because of Baltimore’s recent streak. 8.6 is just a bad analysis tool.

Anything can happen, it’s sports. Ravens can win by thirty. But any computer sim that had them winning by an average of 8.6 on the road against the Rams tonight is comical.

Well going into tonight's game its 62-48-2 ATS (56%) since week 5 (when I start using it as its based on the past 4 games) against the opening line. This week its 7-5-1, had the Jets winning and the 49ers winning by 9.3. Its not perfect but I will take it, and each week it has some head scratchers and more often than not its right. Its not a compute sim...its straight math based on recent performance.

[POOLSIDE]

Its not a compute sim...its straight math based on recent performance.

By all means, good luck with continued success.

[lakerboy]

Ravens cross country and non conference with public pounding them. What could go wrong?

[mgcolby]

I think it's just hard for us to accept that the Rams are not the same team from last year

Which is kinda funny if you think about it. Almost every year with the exception of a few teams Pats, Peyton's Colts/Broncos etc...the SB teams rarely live up to the expectations the following season. We are all guilty. Success in the NFL is finicky, schedule, health, additions/subtractions affecting chemistry; just so many factors from season to season.

[shocka1212]

Ravens cross country and non conference with public pounding them. What could go wrong?

[shocka1212]

I like Rams. Game really means nothing to Ravens. Other than next week in Houston, Pats will have no issue with remaining schedule so 1st rd bye throughout playoffs looks good as ravens cannot catch. Rams playing desperate. Like the angle here.

you taking the points or ML?

[USCPHILLYGUY]

you taking the points or ML?

On the $$$ line brother

[shocka1212]

On the $$$ line brother

BOL. the way the #'s all scream to take Baltimore in this spot, (rams 0-4 ats against winning teams, 2-7 on MNF, Baltimore 15-6 on grass, 20-7 ats vs winning teams), its odd the line is only 3.5 but I agree with LA being more desperate.

[fecgp40]

BOL. the way the #'s all scream to take Baltimore in this spot, (rams 0-4 ats against winning teams, 2-7 on MNF, Baltimore 15-6 on grass, 20-7 ats vs winning teams), its odd the line is only 3.5 but I agree with LA being more desperate.

My perception is "the more desperate team" angle doesn't hold much weight when it comes to picking winners. Everything about this game screams Ravens win by 7 to me. The odd line gives me pause, but what should the line really be? If this game were in Baltimore, the line would be 8-9, which seems about right.

[jjgold]

Rams sharp side

[2daBank]

Everything about this line tells me to take the Rams.. it just doesn’t make sense. But I just don’t think the rams can score enough to cover.. not to mention I’m a ravens fan and will be out in Baltimore watching it.. also a small tid bit.. I could be wrong but don’t think I am, every week this season the public has not lost both Sunday and Monday night games.. with the public going down last night, does that trend continue?

(edit: week 6 public lost both sun and mon games.. only week)

Agree w most these thoughts. Love ravens secondary now. Lambs oline was very good opening holes in the run game vs bears last week, I feel like for rams to have a shot they gonna have to run the ball and hold ravens to at least tied for their season low in points which 23 (very impressive btw), they prob need to keep them below that cause don’t see rams scoring more than 23 actually.

Can they?

I think they have a Chance, if Donald can get good push up the middle it outta hurt ravens rushing attack. A lot of it gonna be up to the rams offense as they will need to control top w their run game. Seems like they came to realization last week there no more saving gurley cause it now or never for their season.

Best defense against ravens is keeping their offense off the field!! One big concern for rams d would be do they still struggle covering tight ends? That used to be a big weakness for them but I dunno if that has remained a problem? Ravens very good getting their tight ends involved in passing game.

Rams/under parlay seems to correlate I think. Just don’t see them winning if this goes over, so get some really good value if that is accurate. I’m up in air on whether to play 1st half under or full game? I could see either or both defenses being worn out by 4th in this one facing 2 physical rushing attacks (when rams run successfully we saw last week how good Goff can be late off play action).

[2daBank]

My perception is "the more desperate team" angle doesn't hold much weight when it comes to picking winners. Everything about this game screams Ravens win by 7 to me. The odd line gives me pause, but what should the line really be? If this game were in Baltimore, the line would be 8-9, which seems about right.

The desperation angle very tough to cap cause I’ve seen many times the team who “needs it” come out and play with their hair on fire. That said I am also a fan of saying “they need the win cause they just haven’t been very good to be in this position”, so yea I dunno, lol.

[2daBank]

BOL. the way the #'s all scream to take Baltimore in this spot, (rams 0-4 ats against winning teams, 2-7 on MNF, Baltimore 15-6 on grass, 20-7 ats vs winning teams), its odd the line is only 3.5 but I agree with LA being more desperate.

I can’t go against Lamar in this spot. I worry this kid just shows the Fukk out on Monday night in prime time for all the world to see!! As much I can’t stand the NFL anymore this actually be a game I’d watch even if I don’t bet it! Kid is must see tv much like mike Vick was in his prime.

[shocka1212]

I can’t go against Lamar in this spot. I worry this kid just shows the Fukk out on Monday night in prime time for all the world to see!! As much I can’t stand the NFL anymore this actually be a game I’d watch even if I don’t bet it! Kid is must see tv much like mike Vick was in his prime.

they did beat the chiefs in that crazy game about a year ago... although their offense was a lot better.

[ZIPPER HEAD]

Pound the fuk on Lamar-3 GET SUM

[RPP]

two team parlay rams -3 and under 47 $100 to win $250.

[grease lightnin]

I like Rams. Game really means nothing to Ravens. Other than next week in Houston, Pats will have no issue with remaining schedule so 1st rd bye throughout playoffs looks good as ravens cannot catch. Rams playing desperate. Like the angle here.

I don’t think the Ravens will count on Pats success the rest of the way. Ravens ml for me. Got -177

[GUMMO77]

Lol that's not how NFL teams think at all bro.

Ravens are going for that 1 seed. They have the tiebreaker over the Pats. Pats still play Houston KC and Buffalo, all games they can lose.

This game means everything to the Ravens...

Exactly.

You don't want to be playing the Pats at home in the playoffs.

[BeatTheJerk]

Because that number is absurd. Ravens are on the road against a good football team playing for their playoff lives. The -3.5 line is already inflated because of Baltimore’s recent streak. 8.6 is just a bad analysis tool.

Anything can happen, it’s sports. Ravens can win by thirty. But any computer sim that had them winning by an average of 8.6 on the road against the Rams tonight is comical.

[JayDr3am]

Because that number is absurd. Ravens are on the road against a good football team playing for their playoff lives. The -3.5 line is already inflated because of Baltimore’s recent streak. 8.6 is just a bad analysis tool.

Anything can happen, it’s sports. Ravens can win by thirty. But any computer sim that had them winning by an average of 8.6 on the road against the Rams tonight is comical.

this didnt age well pool lol