1. #1
    daneblazer
    Most Well Rounded POY
    daneblazer's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 09-14-08
    Posts: 27,840
    Betpoints: 6580

    Gus Malzahn has never lost off a bye week

    Gus Malzahn's 9-0 mark after bye weeks
    2013 - No. 24 Ole Miss (+2.5) at Auburn, 30-22
    2013 - No. 1 Alabama (-10) at No. 4 Auburn, 34-28
    2014
    - No. 5 Auburn (-7.5) at No. 20 Kansas State, 20-14 (Thursday)
    2014 - South Carolina (+18) at No. 5 Auburn, 42-35
    2015 - Kentucky (+18) at Auburn, 30-27
    2016
    - No. 17 Arkansas (+10.5) at No. 21 Auburn, 56-32
    2017 - No. 16 Auburn (-15) at Texas A&M, 42-24
    2018 - No. 25 Texas A&M (+3.5) at Auburn, 28-24
    2019 - No. 11 Auburn (-19) at Arkansas, 51-10

  2. #2
    Mac4Lyfe
    Mac4Lyfe's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 01-04-09
    Posts: 46,243
    Betpoints: 12585

    So you're saying there's a chance? I'm certainly rooting for them. I might as well put a cnote on them too.

  3. #3
    goduke
    goduke's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 02-17-10
    Posts: 11,077
    Betpoints: 1407

    Where did you pull this from? Which site was pushing this?

  4. #4
    2daBank
    2daBank's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-26-09
    Posts: 88,986
    Betpoints: 78

    Thanks for posting spreads with them, that was gonna be my 1st question!! Lol., cause Washingtonís coach had a similarly stout after bye record but lot of that was with Boise and games he was double digit favs in so of course he was winning them all! Lol. This seems more legit than that!!

  5. #5
    dannydiceman
    dannydiceman's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-30-19
    Posts: 375
    Betpoints: 1023

    Georgia dominated Florida. Their O line is superior. Contained Floridaís pass rush which is better than Auburnís. I think Fromm will have all day to sling the ball downfield itíll come down to their wrís making plays. I think this line is spot on. Will be a tight game but if I had to pick Iíd take Georgia or nothing

  6. #6
    2daBank
    2daBank's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-26-09
    Posts: 88,986
    Betpoints: 78

    Quote Originally Posted by dannydiceman View Post
    Georgia dominated Florida. Their O line is superior. Contained Floridaís pass rush which is better than Auburnís. I think Fromm will have all day to sling the ball downfield itíll come down to their wrís making plays. I think this line is spot on. Will be a tight game but if I had to pick Iíd take Georgia or nothing
    You can make the case for gators defensive front being better but I think it be more fair to say they have superior edge rushers to auburn but tigers front is more stout which matches up better against Uga imo. Dawgs live and die with their run game, like many QBs Fromm is much more effective when they mauling teams in the run game. That said I do lean Uga but no interest in betting it.

  7. #7
    daneblazer
    Most Well Rounded POY
    daneblazer's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 09-14-08
    Posts: 27,840
    Betpoints: 6580

    Quote Originally Posted by goduke View Post
    Where did you pull this from? Which site was pushing this?
    I brought it up, mod on a college site pulled the data.

  8. #8
    daneblazer
    Most Well Rounded POY
    daneblazer's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 09-14-08
    Posts: 27,840
    Betpoints: 6580

    FWIW one of them was the kick 6 game

  9. #9
    2daBank
    2daBank's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-26-09
    Posts: 88,986
    Betpoints: 78

    Quote Originally Posted by daneblazer View Post
    FWIW one of them was the kick 6 game
    Crazy game

  10. #10
    shocka1212
    [Too Long]
    shocka1212's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-06-12
    Posts: 16,791
    Betpoints: 3355

    liked auburn a lot before I saw this but I hate those trends.

  11. #11
    daneblazer
    Most Well Rounded POY
    daneblazer's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 09-14-08
    Posts: 27,840
    Betpoints: 6580

    Quote Originally Posted by shocka1212 View Post
    liked auburn a lot before I saw this but I hate those trends.
    throw trends out the window for this one. Georgia has won 11 of 14. The road team use to dominate this series.

    More stats
    In 2019...

    Auburn has defended

    633 plays

    Auburn has run

    658 plays

    UGA has defended

    542 plays

    UGA has run

    607 plays
    It is only one apple to one apple, but vs. the Gators:

    Auburn permitted 132 rushing yards
    Auburn had four sacks

    UGA permitted 21 rushing yards
    UGA had two sacks

    Georgia perspective this weekend: In the last 20 years, there have been 10 Top 5 teams favored by a FG or less on the road vs a team ranked outside the Top 10. The 10 have gone 2-8. The only two to win - 2016 Ohio State at Oklahoma and 2009 Cincinnati at Pitt.

    Auburn has also scored in the first quarter of every game Malzahn has coached against Georgia. Trying to find the stats



  12. #12
    daneblazer
    Most Well Rounded POY
    daneblazer's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 09-14-08
    Posts: 27,840
    Betpoints: 6580

    Every Auburn win against Georgia under Gus Malzahn (as a coordinator and head coach) can be pinpointed to two things: the Tigers picking up 25 first downs and averaging 500 yards of offense. Anything less and the Tigers lose. That's a scary thought for Auburn fans, and with the Tigers' defense the best it has been since the mid-2000s, maybe Auburn can win by not hitting the aforementioned numbers, but so far it has been the only way for Malzahn to beat one of Auburn's rivals. The problem is there is no middle ground, it seems, for Malzahn against Georgia. His offense averages 505.7 yards in wins and only 258.9 yards in losses against the Bulldogs. Three of his 10 worst offensive outputs as a college coordinator or head coach have come against Georgia.

  13. #13
    daneblazer
    Most Well Rounded POY
    daneblazer's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 09-14-08
    Posts: 27,840
    Betpoints: 6580

    Gus Malzahn’s offenses have scored in the first quarter against Georgia in every game he’s been the head coach or coordinator. Every game. In those nine games Auburn has scored a touchdown in six of those nine games on the very first drive of the game for the Tigers. Have a look:
    2009 - Nine plays, 74 yards - TD (1st Drive of Game)
    2010 - Nine plays, 73 yards - TD (1st Drive of Game)
    2011 - Eight plays, 76 yards - TD (1st Drive of Game)
    2013 - 16 plays, 56 yards - FG (1st Drive of Game)
    2014 - 10 plays, 70 yards - TD (1st Drive of Game)
    2015 - 11 plays, 75 yards - TD (1st Drive of Game)
    2016 - 15 plays, 80 yards - TD (2nd Drive of Game)
    2017 - 8 plays, 41 yards - FG (1st Drive of Game)
    2018 - 8 plays, 75 yards - TD (2nd Drive of Game)

  14. #14
    dannydiceman
    dannydiceman's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-30-19
    Posts: 375
    Betpoints: 1023

    Dane great posts. So youíre thinking if thereís any play itís a first Q type of scoring? Like I posted before, I donít see how auburn can win a four quarter game vs Georgia. I actually have Georgia at around -5 or -6.

  15. #15
    daneblazer
    Most Well Rounded POY
    daneblazer's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 09-14-08
    Posts: 27,840
    Betpoints: 6580

    Georgia is the better team, but auburn is certainly capable of winning. Georgia is also a slow starter, but gets stronger as the game goes on. So I think an Aub 1q or 1h play wouldn’t be the worst.

    It’s cliche, but this will be a low margin for error game. Team who doesn’t turn it over and waste possessions will win. Nobody has been able to run on Georgia’s defense. Much is made about Derrick brown, and rightfully so, but Georgia probably has the most under rated DT in the country in Jordan Davis. So can Nix win the game for Auburn? That’ll be the question.

  16. #16
    Otters27
    Otters27's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 07-14-07
    Posts: 30,644
    Betpoints: -2148

    Arkansas defense is pretty weak

    Dane you played for UAB?

    My first college start was against UAB

  17. #17
    daneblazer
    Most Well Rounded POY
    daneblazer's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 09-14-08
    Posts: 27,840
    Betpoints: 6580

    Quote Originally Posted by Otters27 View Post
    Arkansas defense is pretty weak

    Dane you played for UAB?

    My first college start was against UAB
    Valdosta State, Otters

    not sure UAB football was around then haha

  18. #18
    daneblazer
    Most Well Rounded POY
    daneblazer's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 09-14-08
    Posts: 27,840
    Betpoints: 6580

    Conspiracy theorists note the same refs who called the 2017 game in auburn against Georgia are calling this one. That one was littered with several questionable calls against Georgia. Sankey and the folks in SEC HQ in Birmingham need an Auburn win to help Alabama’s schedule. Btw, why the fukk is the SEC HQ in Birmingham ?

  19. #19
    dannydiceman
    dannydiceman's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-30-19
    Posts: 375
    Betpoints: 1023

    Not looking good for Guz. shouldve bet the dawgs like I wanted but choose stupid navy instead

  20. #20
    seaborneq
    It's time to collect
    seaborneq's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-08-06
    Posts: 22,559
    Betpoints: 13422

    Maybe today's game won't count.

  21. #21
    Renegades
    Renegades's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-12-11
    Posts: 5,159
    Betpoints: 21650

    Malzahn is a clown. His offense is great vs horrible defenses. What do his teams do vs elite competition? Nothing

  22. #22
    seaborneq
    It's time to collect
    seaborneq's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-08-06
    Posts: 22,559
    Betpoints: 13422

    Quote Originally Posted by Renegades View Post
    Malzahn is a clown. His offense is great vs horrible defenses. What do his teams do vs elite competition? Nothing
    How do they get to the point where this is the best they can do at QB??? No good recruit is going to come to Auburn and sit behind Bo Nix as bad as he has played this year without getting pulled once.

  23. #23
    Renegades
    Renegades's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-12-11
    Posts: 5,159
    Betpoints: 21650

    Yeah I hear ya. Malzahn going to ride or die with Nix right until the bitter end. I know heís supposed to be a big time recruit but the games that Iíve watched he has not impressed me at all

  24. #24
    seaborneq
    It's time to collect
    seaborneq's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-08-06
    Posts: 22,559
    Betpoints: 13422

    Quote Originally Posted by Renegades View Post
    Yeah I hear ya. Malzahn going to ride or die with Nix right until the bitter end. I know he’s supposed to be a big time recruit but the games that I’ve watched he has not impressed me at all
    That's why they won't be able to get any better players at the QB position. No matter how poorly he has played Nix hasn't been pulled once. I know he has had a 12-32 and a 15-35 game this season in losses with multiple INT's and still no one else got in the game. Oregon should feel like shit for losing to Auburn in his very first game, he is no better now.

  25. #25
    Big Bear
    Love your neighbor
    Big Bear's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-01-11
    Posts: 43,254
    Betpoints: 14

    Quote Originally Posted by Renegades View Post
    Yeah I hear ya. Malzahn going to ride or die with Nix right until the bitter end. I know he’s supposed to be a big time recruit but the games that I’ve watched he has not impressed me at all
    Same here

    once I saw him play at Florida I was like yep that kid sucks

Top