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Best bets for Rams-Seahawks 🤑
Best bets for Rams-Seahawks
ESPN PLUS ($ MATERIAL)
The 2019 NFL season is in full swing, and we're here with a betting preview for Thursday's game between the 3-1 Los Angeles Rams and 3-1 Seattle Seahawks at CenturyLink Field.
ESPN betting analysts Preston Johnson and Joe Fortenbaugh along with Fantasy's Mike Clay combine to offer their best bets for the matchup of NFC West heavyweights.
Note: Odds courtesy of Caesars Sportsbook. Odds as of Oct. 2.
Los Angeles Rams at Seattle Seahawks (-1.5, 49.5)
Will Dissly under 50.5 receiving yards (-120)
Clay: Dissly has gone over this line in two consecutive games, but fell short in five of his previous six career games. Dissly's role figures to lead to a decrease in production, as he has run a route on only 48% of Seattle's pass plays and is handling 5.5 targets per game. Dissly's 86% catch rate has helped boost his numbers, but that will be a hard number to sustain. The Rams' defense has allowed 14 catches for 146 yards to tight ends this season, both of which are seventh-fewest in the league. Expect a number closer to 41 yards for Dissly.
Tyler Lockett under 81.5 receiving yards (-120)
Clay: Lockett has gone under this line in three of four games this season, as well as 13 of 17 last season. His targets have nearly doubled this season, but his yards per reception is down from 16.9 to 12.6 and his yards per target from 14.2 to 10.3. Lockett's usage has been extremely volatile, as he totaled 26 targets during Weeks 2-3, but six during Weeks 1 and 4 combined. The Rams allowed both Chris Godwin and Mike Evans to clear this mark during an off-brand ugly Week 4 performance, but Michael Thomas (89 yards) is the only other wide receiver to clear 80 yards against them this season. A better line for Lockett would be 71 yards on seven targets, which works out to a 10.1 YPT that is well above his current-season mark.
Seahawks (-1.5) over Rms
Fortenbaugh: I'm sorry, but there's simply no way I can get behind Jared Goff in a situation as loud and as hostile as the one he will face Thursday night in Seattle. In three career trips to CenturyLink Field, Goff has tossed three touchdown passes with three interceptions, seven sacks and three fumbles. If the newly minted signal-caller can't communicate with head coach Sean McVay due to the crowd noise -- and I believe that will be the case -- look out.
Through four weeks, the Seahawks outrank the Rams in both yards per play (5.9 to 5.7) and turnover differential (+2 to -3). Throw in the fact that Rams running back Todd Gurley is nowhere near 100 percent and carrying the ball just 12.3 times per game (career-low 5.1 attempts) and you can begin to understand why the early money backed Seattle.
Much like in Dallas, the Los Angeles offense runs through the running back position. With Gurley battling a chronic knee injury, it's not hard to see why the Rams have been struggling on offense this season (22nd in rushing, down from third last season).
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Originally Posted by cincinnatikid513
