[stevenash]

Tampa Bay Rays at Oakland Athletics - American League - Wild Card Playoffs

Tampa starts Charlie Morton, Oakland starts Sean Manaea.

Tampa's Morton had a stellar season going 16-6 named to the American League all star team.
Morton pitched to a 3.05 ERA (third best in the AL behind Houston's Cole and Verlander, Morton had a WH/IP ratio of 1.08 (fifth best in the AL behind, guess who? Cole and Verlander again). He was fifth in the league in strikeout rate averaging 11.10 K's per nine innings pitched behind... wait for it... wait for it.... Cole and Verlander.
Just as important Morton led the league in the lowest home runs allowed ratio allowed 0.7 per nine innings (15 HR's allowed in 194 2/3 innings pitched. He's also amongst the league leaders in hitting batters, he's led the league in that dubious category four times, Morton 'only' hit 12 batters this season. He's not afraid to pitch inside.

Like I said, Morton had a stellar season.

Morton used to pitch for Redding HS here in Connecticut 20 minutes from ny home, I've seen him develop into an all star pitcher. Eight years ago he was a gas can with the Pirates started to pitch inside more and got better every year for the past six years.

Tonight he faces a tough Oakland lineup, runners up to Houston in the West.
The current A's dugout is 28 for 120 lifetime vs. Morton (.233) and a lower than league average .333 OBA
Oakland has hit four HR's off of him however, Kris Davis twice.
Profar and Olson also hit him hard.

Morton faced Oakland twice this season going 1-0 with a no decision loss.
He was both 8-3 at home and on the road only difference is the ERA where his home ERA was 2.59, 3.59 on the road.

Left handed pitcher Sean Manaea starts for Oakland.
Manaea misses the first five months of the season due to a torn labrum.
He's made five September starts and was outstanding in all of them.
Sean was 4-0 with one no decision (9/1 his first start back) where he shut out the Yankees at the stadium for five innings, then won his next four consecutive starts. Has given up 2 earned runs once, and 1 earned or no earned runs four times. He's been razor sharp since returning,

Overall Manaea was 4-0 with a rock solid 1.21 and 0.78 WH/IP ratio.
Struck out 30 in 29 2/3 innings an one an inning ratio. Solid.
Like Morton vs. Oakland's batters, Tampa has had trouble in the past versus Manaea.
In a small sample size Tampa is only 12 for 45 against Manaea (.245) with only one home run, Manaea has only walked five Rays in those 45 at bats (50 plate appearances.

One last item, both Tampa and Oakland played terrific team defense, top five both teams.
Oakland's Olson was AL's best fielding first baseman, won a gold glove last year and will win one again this season. His defensive numbers are off the charts and Chapman at third base was amongst the leader boards in all defensive metrics.

Tampa's middle infielder Adames was one the finest defensive SS this year, Kiermaier is still an exciting, smart center fielder, and left fielder Tommy Pham has a cannon for an arm and like Kiermaier is among the leaders for defensive left fielders.

You can make a lot of pros and very few cons for both sides and pitchers.
Oakland has home field advantage was is the leagues better home field advantage.
The coliseum plays like the Grand Canyon with all that foul ground area, their fans are loud as hell too.
Tampa does not hit LHP well, below average as a team.
Charlie Morton's only flaw is left hand hitting he has trouble with, especially LH power hitters.

Tampa are truly road warriors as they had the second best road record in the American League at 48-33
That's offset however by Oaklands home record, third best in the AL at 52-29. Overall Oakland was 97-65 and Tampa was 96-66. In some seasons that's good for a division title instead of a wild card berth.
On a side note Tampa had the lowest team payroll in the majors on opening day.
Kudos to their front office they truly did more with less.

Two days ago I thought Oakland was the play, it was only a lean but still.
Now I'm leaning Tampa I think this game is a toss up, I can get +123 on what I think is a 50/50 prop.
So I'll grab the road dog at +123 in this spot on what I think is an even money game.

Tampa+123 for a small .50 * wager (50 dollars) for your pal Nasher.
I'm passing on the 7.5 total

MLB Baseball			Run Line	Money Line	Total Runs	Team Total Runs
Tampa Bay Rays at Oakland Athletics - American League - Wild Card Playoffs
Wed 10/2		913 Tampa Bay Rays C Morton - R	+1½ -175+2½ -285-1½ +210-2½ +345+1 -124+2 -247-1 +172-2 +310+3 -393+3½ -437+4 -631+4½ -683+5 -1020+5½ -1075+6 -1463+6½ -1500-3 +476-3½ +507-4 +678-4½ +709-5 +1064-5½ +1096-6 +1481-6½ +1500+½,+1 +100+1,+1½ -150+1½,+2 -207+2,+2½ -265-½,-1 +145-1,-1½ +189-1½,-2 +250-2,-2½ +326	+123 Listed	o7½ +100o7 -133o8 +121o6½ -168o8½ +140o1½ -4500o2 -4385o2½ -2287o3 -2063o3½ -757o4 -701o4½ -470o5 -400o5½ -246o6 -220o9 +177o9½ +204o10 +247o10½ +260o11 +349o11½ +381o12 +459o12½ +468o13 +601o13½ +626o14 +871o14½ +892o15 +1226o15½ +1255o16 +1646o16½ +1670o17 +2445o17½ +2475o18 +3275o18½ +3300o19 +4625o19½ +4650o20 +6650o20½ +6675	o3½ +105o3 -130o2½ -180o2 -320o4 +145o4½ +175o5 +260o5½ +315o6 +460o6½ +480o7 +700o7½ -1370o8 +1303o8½ +1354	u3½ -125u3 +100u2½ +150u2 +248u4 -175u4½ -225u5 -350u5½ -410u6 -700u6½ -750u7 -1300u7½ +750u8 -2600u8½ -2800
8:10PM		914 Oakland Athletics S Manaea - L	-1½ +155-2½ +243+1½ -250+2½ -430-1 +104-2 +207+1 -203+2 -370-3 +322-3½ +349-4 +466-4½ +492-5 +660-5½ +688-6 +963-6½ +1000+3 -651+3½ -713+4 -1055+4½ -1109+5 -1627+5½ -1691+6 -2905+6½ -3000-½,-1 -120-1,-1½ +130-1½,-2 +174-2,-2½ +225+½,+1 -165+1,+1½ -229+1½,+2 -300+2,+2½ -401	-133 Listed	u7½ -120u7 +113u8 -141u6½ +148u8½ -160u1½ +2750u2 +2693u2½ +1494u3 +1382u3½ +567u4 +501u4½ +375u5 +325u5½ +206u6 +180u9 -212u9½ -244u10 -292u10½ -320u11 -437u11½ -476u12 -617u12½ -635u13 -901u13½ -951u14 -1226u14½ -1261u15 -1801u15½ -1855u16 -2591u16½ -2640u17 -3890u17½ -3950u18 -5550u18½ -5600u19 -8250u19½ -8300u20 -12300u20½ -12350	o3½ -125o3 -185o2½ -250o2 -500o4 +100o4½ +145o5 +205o5½ +248o6 +363o6½ +423o7 +580o7½ +620o8 +1100o8½ +1220!@#$%E2	u3½ +105u3 +155u2½ +190u2 +363u4 -130u4½ -175u5 -265u5½ -320u6 -500u6½ -600u7 -1000u7½ -1100u8 -2000u8½ -2300

MLB Baseball			Run Line	Money Line	Total Runs	Team Total Runs
Tampa Bay Rays at Oakland Athletics - American League - Wild Card Playoffs
Wed 10/2		913 Tampa Bay Rays C Morton - R	+1½ -175+2½ -285-1½ +210-2½ +345+1 -124+2 -247-1 +172-2 +310+3 -393+3½ -437+4 -631+4½ -683+5 -1020+5½ -1075+6 -1463+6½ -1500-3 +476-3½ +507-4 +678-4½ +709-5 +1064-5½ +1096-6 +1481-6½ +1500+½,+1 +100+1,+1½ -150+1½,+2 -207+2,+2½ -265-½,-1 +145-1,-1½ +189-1½,-2 +250-2,-2½ +326	+123 Listed	o7½ +100o7 -133o8 +121o6½ -168o8½ +140o1½ -4500o2 -4385o2½ -2287o3 -2063o3½ -757o4 -701o4½ -470o5 -400o5½ -246o6 -220o9 +177o9½ +204o10 +247o10½ +260o11 +349o11½ +381o12 +459o12½ +468o13 +601o13½ +626o14 +871o14½ +892o15 +1226o15½ +1255o16 +1646o16½ +1670o17 +2445o17½ +2475o18 +3275o18½ +3300o19 +4625o19½ +4650o20 +6650o20½ +6675	o3½ +105o3 -130o2½ -180o2 -320o4 +145o4½ +175o5 +260o5½ +315o6 +460o6½ +480o7 +700o7½ -1370o8 +1303o8½ +1354	u3½ -125u3 +100u2½ +150u2 +248u4 -175u4½ -225u5 -350u5½ -410u6 -700u6½ -750u7 -1300u7½ +750u8 -2600u8½ -2800
8:10PM		914 Oakland Athletics S Manaea - L	-1½ +155-2½ +243+1½ -250+2½ -430-1 +104-2 +207+1 -203+2 -370-3 +322-3½ +349-4 +466-4½ +492-5 +660-5½ +688-6 +963-6½ +1000+3 -651+3½ -713+4 -1055+4½ -1109+5 -1627+5½ -1691+6 -2905+6½ -3000-½,-1 -120-1,-1½ +130-1½,-2 +174-2,-2½ +225+½,+1 -165+1,+1½ -229+1½,+2 -300+2,+2½ -401	-133 Listed	u7½ -120u7 +113u8 -141u6½ +148u8½ -160u1½ +2750u2 +2693u2½ +1494u3 +1382u3½ +567u4 +501u4½ +375u5 +325u5½ +206u6 +180u9 -212u9½ -244u10 -292u10½ -320u11 -437u11½ -476u12 -617u12½ -635u13 -901u13½ -951u14 -1226u14½ -1261u15 -1801u15½ -1855u16 -2591u16½ -2640u17 -3890u17½ -3950u18 -5550u18½ -5600u19 -8250u19½ -8300u20 -12300u20½ -12350	o3½ -125o3 -185o2½ -250o2 -500o4 +100o4½ +145o5 +205o5½ +248o6 +363o6½ +423o7 +580o7½ +620o8 +1100o8½ +1220!@#$%E2	u3½ +105u3 +155u2½ +190u2 +363u4 -130u4½ -175u5 -265u5½ -320u6 -500u6½ -600u7 -1000u7½ -1100u8 -2000u8½ -2300

[SEAHAWKHARRY]

Outstanding Writeup nasher

[Tanko]

Excellent. Thanks Nash.

[stevenash]

^
Thank you fells.

[BigBlueNYG]

Nice info bud

[stevenash]

I see Phegley is starting behind the plate tonight for Oakland.
He's not a very good defensive catcher.
If I'm Kevin Cash I'm putting Pham and Kiermaier in motion every chance he gets.
I think he knows this.
Phegley is a passed ball waiting to happen too.



Rays (96-66)
Athletics (97-65)

• Charlie Morton R
  16-6 3.05 ERA
  
• 
  Expected Lineup
• LF
  Tommy Pham R
• RF
  A. Meadows L
• C
  T. d'Arnaud R
• 1B
  Ji-Man Choi L
• DH
  A. Garcia R
• 3B
  Matt Duffy R
• CF
  K. Kiermaier L
• SS
  Willy Adames R
• 2B
  Joey Wendle L

• Sean Manaea L
  4-0 1.21 ERA
  
• 
  Expected Lineup
• SS
  M. Semien R
• LF
  R. Laureano R
• 3B
  Matt Chapman R
• 1B
  Matt Olson L
• CF
  Mark Canha R
• DH
  Khris Davis R
• RF
  S. Piscotty R
• 2B
  J. Profar S
• C
  Josh Phegley R

[Ra77er]

Oakland probably wins. Everyone Ive heard says tampa at a pick is what the line should be. Good spot to pound Oakland. Good writeup Nash, rooting for Tampa, head says Oakland though.

[UncleChael]

Oakland probably wins. Everyone Ive heard says tampa at a pick is what the line should be. Good spot to pound Oakland. Good writeup Nash, rooting for Tampa, head says Oakland though.

There you go using your head again...

[Gameboy]

Nash: Don’t you have a parlay of Washington/Oakland? And now ur taking Tampa
What’s up with that?

[stevenash]

Nash: Don’t you have a parlay of Washington/Oakland? And now ur taking Tampa
What’s up with that?

Yes I do, and I am hedging my parlay.
I'll do that on occasions.

On Monday when the line first came out I was on Oakland.
The more I dug today the more Tampa seemed like the play.
If Tampa wins my very early parlay get saved and I make a few bucks.

This is my official play for the game tonight.
Rays +123

[JMobile]

Rays win.

[bballs84]

Projected lineup? Piscotty not even on roster Nasher

[stevenash]

Projected lineup? Piscotty not even on roster Nasher

lol

I lifted that from Rotoworld.
Good catch and too funny.

[stevenash]

1. Joey Wendle, 2B
2. Tommy Pham, LF
3. Austin Meadows, DH
4. Travis d'Arnaud, C
5. Jesús Aguilar, 1B
6. Avisaíl García, RF
7. Kevin Kiermaier, CF
8. Matt Duffy, 3B
9. Willy Adames, SS




\1. Marcus Semien, SS
2. Ramón Laureano, RF
3. Matt Chapman, 3B
4. Matt Olson, 1B
5. Mark Canha, CF
6. Seth Brown, LF
7. Khris Davis, DH
8. Jurickson Profar, 2B
9. Sean Murphy, C

[Big Bear]

good game to watch but not bet on

[Nickelchip2]

Thanks for the Great Write Up.

[PittsburghPlayer]

No score 1st inning, win bet, go to sleep.
Go Rays!

[krk1030]

Wendle leadoff vs lefty is odd.

[mjsuax13]

Great write up. I’m passing. Still reeling from the Brewers implosion.

[JIBBBY]

Ok Nashers Tampa it is then.

The dog lost yesterday, does the dog win then tonight. Tampa is the dog. That's about the only capping logic I can come up with ...

[nocturnal012]

good game to watch but not bet on

[mackave]

i just don’t believe in this Tampa team, then again it is 1 game.

[bballs84]

Glad Murphy no phegly.. pheg most passed balls in league

[2daBank]

As i mentioned In other thread i went ahead and grabbed the under 7.5 last night.

That my favorite play but I have Oakland small as well. Just believe in them a little more as they always here! Tampa hasn’t hit lefties all that well but Oakland hasn’t hit all that well period lately (Hence under). Gonna be another low scoring tight game so can hardly blame anyone for taking the dog but I think the 23ish cents ya gotta lay on Oakland worth it for their experience in this Game., just a small play for me so gl Nasher.

[stevenash]

Glad Murphy no phegly.. pheg most passed balls in league

I was a catcher back in the day, Phegley is death behind the plate.
And with Manaea doubling his slider usage from 12% in 2018 to 22% in 2019 if Phegley caught tonight he'd be good for three passed balls, and Pham and Kiermaier would steal bases blindly.

[stevenash]

As i mentioned In other thread i went ahead and grabbed the under 7.5 last night.

That my favorite play but I have Oakland small as well. Just believe in them a little more as they always here! Tampa hasn’t hit lefties all that well but Oakland hasn’t hit all that well period lately (Hence under). Gonna be another low scoring tight game so can hardly blame anyone for taking the dog but I think the 23ish cents ya gotta lay on Oakland worth it for their experience in this Game., just a small play for me so gl Nasher.

Thanks man.

[bballs84]

I’m here fellas.. Throwing back in parking lot.. Too short bumping.. One time

[shocka1212]

felt the same way till I saw Fairchild's crooked ass was the home plat ump... take the home team

[Tanko]

felt the same way till I saw Fairchild's crooked ass was the home plat ump... take the home team

Skocka, what makes you dislike this umpire, the home field advantage he seems to have?

He appears to be out of whack as far as Home Tm wins. 65%+ vs league average of 52% this year. Anything else?

[jjgold]

I just made a hunch play Tampa Bay

[2daBank]

Skocka, what makes you dislike this umpire, the home field advantage he seems to have?

He appears to be out of whack as far as Home Tm wins. 65%+ vs league average of 52% this year. Anything else?

He was crazy high last year too (even higher I believe). I’m not convinced it a home field thing w him tho, umps I think are homers tend to have a lot more home dogs win, this guy just seems to have the favs win at high clip and he has done lot of big home favs last 2 years. Home favs above -180 are 13-1 last 2 years for him, that a big chunk of his alleged homerism. Home favs overall do well w him but home dogs havnt really..

[JIBBBY]

I just made a hunch play Tampa Bay

Well your capping logic for this game is about as good as mine JJ!!

Let luck be a lady tonight!!! GO RAYS!! Dart throwing for sure here.. We gotta hit a ROAD dog sooner or later.

[stevenash]

Skocka, what makes you dislike this umpire, the home field advantage he seems to have?

He appears to be out of whack as far as Home Tm wins. 65%+ vs league average of 52% this year. Anything else?

Last nights HPU Evirett was out of whack too.

[GzaTheGenius]

I like TB , they have been playing better lately

Especially Morton

Total is tight, prob a 3-2 4-3 game either way

[Art Vandelay]

I’m on the Rays + as well, & Under 7.5. Good luck gents!