1. #1
    RangeFinder
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    Value this week seems to be the dogs

    I've made 4 early plays

    All doggies

    TB +7 (NFL)

    North Carolina +3 (CFB)

    BYU +4.5 (CFB)

    Arizona +13 (NFL)

    Good luck if you follow

  2. #2
    KVB
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    Been buying some Dogs myself.

    Like that NC Range.

    I also like Akron...

    103 13-Sep NC +150
    125 14-Sep AIR FORCE +155
    133 AKRON +140
    153 IOWA -125
    167 S MISS +130
    185 TCU +105

    117 14-Sep MIA (OH) +16 (-105)
    133 AKRON +6 (-105)
    147 UNLV +20 (-105)
    171 OHIO +5.5 (-105)
    225 WEBER ST +10 (-120)
    233 MISSOURI ST +29 (-120)

    133 14-Sep AKRON +195
    139 E CAROLINA +235
    189 FLORIDA ST +240


  3. #3
    RangeFinder
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    Good luck, K

    I like the Iowa play. Lets hope the dogs eat.

  4. #4
    KVB
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    Yeah, technically that's supposed to be an UPSET buy and the line even opened at Iowa plus money. I am hitting all these right at the open, except for the later AKRON +140 play.

    By the time we could get moneylines on Iowa it started moving. To me there was value at -125 but I feel like we got screwed out of a better number.

    I suppose the books just caught on to that one too soon. It will happen as the season progresses, but we'll still catch plenty of errors and continue to beat that closer in that UPSET Basket.

    Even if these dogs have to drop an egg or two...


  5. #5
    STANDARD BET
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    Not buying the ravens? I think Zona gets smoked.

  6. #6
    gauchojake
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    Tampa - I like it.

  7. #7
    jtoler
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    Quote Originally Posted by KVB View Post
    Yeah, technically that's supposed to be an UPSET buy and the line even opened at Iowa plus money. I am hitting all these right at the open, except for the later AKRON +140 play.

    By the time we could get moneylines on Iowa it started moving. To me there was value at -125 but I feel like we got screwed out of a better number.

    I suppose the books just caught on to that one too soon. It will happen as the season progresses, but we'll still catch plenty of errors and continue to beat that closer in that UPSET Basket.

    Even if these dogs have to drop an egg or two...
    wonder why that akron line dropped or was it a correction

  8. #8
    jjgold
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    a lot of games to choose from here

  9. #9
    KVB
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    Quote Originally Posted by jtoler View Post
    wonder why that akron line dropped or was it a correction
    Not sure, I don't see any immediate game changing injury reports or anything but I dio like the play for multiple strategies.

    Even before the line was released I was looking at the game.

    Quote Originally Posted by KVB View Post
    The KVB NCAAF Visiting Dog Fund seeks to use a stacking percentages forecast that is enhanced by both market analysis and situational factors that allow adjustments to the forecast. Some of those adjustments can be sizeable and a bet can be triggered as the adjusted prediction falls within the offered spread. Further, it’s not always about the visiting dog, it can be about failure on the home favorite’s part of the equation...
    Not only did this play qualify for multiple strategies at the open, and the UPSET basket when the line dropped, but in the Visiting Dog Fund this game had, independently, qualified for more than one adjustment that I use.

    This is a rare game here and a rare spot to be set up. There are destined to be some plays that cross over the Funds and even some plays between the Funds that contradict each other through the year.

    But the Akron game shines like the Queen of Diamonds here, and for so many reasons, so it seems a little unusual.

    I have bet the game, but I sure as hell am not going all in here, games with extreme capping opinions tend to not go as planned.


  10. #10
    daneblazer
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    Both Akron and Central Michigan are miserable teams. Gun to head, I’d probably fade coach Sharky

  11. #11
    stackz125
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    BYU will got rocked.
    Lean Carolina
    Not sure about the other 2
    BOL

  12. #12
    KVB
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    Quote Originally Posted by jtoler View Post
    wonder why that akron line dropped or was it a correction
    So not only did several market beating strategies pick up on the overlay but the pressure had to be on Akron.

    This is not a very heavily bet game and we hit many places at the open, as they opened, throughout the week with as much as we could hit and did with multiple accounts as the early limits are very low.

    I don't know, maybe some protection, I doubt there was nearly the number Central Michigan bets early on here.

    Maybe I moved the line, with this highly, highly unpopular game. Maybe the books are trying to steam Akron in and take a position.

    I don't know but it only went one direction so I hope it's a win.


  13. #13
    CappinTerp
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    I really like Tulsa +14 and IU +17.

  14. #14
    jtoler
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    Quote Originally Posted by stackz125 View Post
    BYU will got rocked.
    kinda think so too

  15. #15
    jtoler
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    Quote Originally Posted by KVB View Post
    So not only did several market beating strategies pick up on the overlay but the pressure had to be on Akron.

    This is not a very heavily bet game and we hit many places at the open, as they opened, throughout the week with as much as we could hit and did with multiple accounts as the early limits are very low.

    I don't know, maybe some protection, I doubt there was nearly the number Central Michigan bets early on here.

    Maybe I moved the line, with this highly, highly unpopular game. Maybe the books are trying to steam Akron in and take a position.

    I don't know but it only went one direction so I hope it's a win.

    I dropped out in 8th grade bruh gonna have to dumb it down for me

  16. #16
    iwantcougars
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    Quote Originally Posted by CappinTerp View Post
    I really like Tulsa +14 and IU +17.
    indiana has good value, thinking they will stay close to 7-10

  17. #17
    jjgold
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    Tampa live dog

    Last week many players had flu

  18. #18
    Slurry Pumper
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    The big boy league has some barking dogs as well.

    Min, NYG, Den, Was, I think a moneyline bet on all of them will be a positive return.

  19. #19
    daneblazer
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    Beware central Michigan backers, Akron has a turnover pencil!!


  20. #20
    Tanko
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    CMU Starting QB (Dormady) is out. The timing of the announcment corresponds to the line change yesterday.

  21. #21
    KVB
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    Quote Originally Posted by Tanko View Post
    CMU Starting QB (Dormady) is out. The timing of the announcment corresponds to the line change yesterday.
    True, for the drop from 3 to 1, but this line dropped from 6 to 3 before that news was released.

    Any idea when he got injured? Was he questionable or just "out" yesterday/this morning?

    Could be dealing with inside info or manipulation here.


  22. #22
    KVB
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    Nice work so far Range!

    TB comes through!


  23. #23
    2daBank
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    Quote Originally Posted by Slurry Pumper View Post
    The big boy league has some barking dogs as well.

    Min, NYG, Den, Was, I think a moneyline bet on all of them will be a positive return.
    Don’t like minny at all. I’d love donks if it wasn’t for short week vs 10 days for bears. All things being equal id love that play.

  24. #24
    RangeFinder
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    Well it's 1-1 so far but plenty to go

  25. #25
    jjgold
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    Value the favorite word
    Of us gamblers to justify our opinions

  26. #26
    Pick'nParlays
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    Go get it em Range

  27. #27
    RangeFinder
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    Quote Originally Posted by Pick'nParlays View Post
    Go get it em Range
    on it

  28. #28
    KVB
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    We lost the NC Range, they stole the push from you.

    And that bastard didn't go out of bounds only to get stood up and kill our shot at a hail mary.


  29. #29
    RangeFinder
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    Quote Originally Posted by KVB View Post
    We lost the NC Range, they stole the push from you.

    And that bastard didn't go out of bounds only to get stood up and kill our shot at a hail mary.

    All good K, BYU rocked. Stay +EV my friend.

  30. #30
    RangeFinder
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    Adding Washington +6

    Good luck

  31. #31
    jjgold
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    Ranger keeps pounding games

  32. #32
    RangeFinder
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    Quote Originally Posted by jjgold View Post
    Ranger keeps pounding games
    Books don't stand a chance

  33. #33
    RangeFinder
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    Doggies went 3-2


    The add came back to bite me

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