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09-02-19 08:33 AM #1
Monday Plays?? Anything significant?
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09-02-19 08:38 AM #2
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09-02-19 09:17 AM #3
Maybe a horse running at Del mar today
Stay tuned
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09-02-19 09:29 AM #4
Twins to close out an open parlay Is all i got
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09-02-19 10:17 AM #5
Braves -1.5 for me at -135. Braves are rolling right now..
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09-02-19 10:53 AM #6
Early game action Mets f5 u5 .5. with the exception of last outing where dodgers crushed syn, he was 8 of 9 quality starts. Ross isn't allowing much 1.74 era l3 but he only goes 4 innings still unless I'm missing something, under f5 looks good for a small play.
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09-02-19 10:54 AM #7
Nadal vs Cilic over 34 games
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09-02-19 10:59 AM #8
You should love this day pal, I see all kinds of juicy ass favs that I can’t bet against!
Originally Posted by JIBBBY
I’m goin all otters style today, parlaying cards/Braves/Twins/dodgers every which way, prob throw in Yankees once too. LolPoints Awarded:
KVB gave 2daBank 1 Betpoint(s) for this post.
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09-02-19 11:05 AM #9
Both Texas +1.5 and TOR +1.5 are on the Contrarian RL Fund radar and will likely trigger soon.
I have started buying for NCAAF this week...
Getting under the hood here... Originally Posted by KVB
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09-02-19 11:06 AM #10
Going to be on the other side of that RL, Jibbs. Originally Posted by JIBBBY
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09-02-19 11:11 AM #11
that looks like me last night in the bedroom Originally Posted by KVB
Going to be on the other side of that RL, Jibbs.
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09-02-19 11:16 AM #12
Picked up Balty in the Contrarian Fund...
Originally Posted by KVB
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09-02-19 11:21 AM #13
Picked up those two runlines...
Originally Posted by KVB
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09-02-19 11:25 AM #14
You go boy!! Do you not take the points just the ml? Originally Posted by KVB
Both Texas +1.5 and TOR +1.5 are on the Contrarian RL Fund radar and will likely trigger soon.
I have started buying for NCAAF this week...
Getting under the hood here...
I usually wait till totals come out to fire at anything early cause those move a bunch!!
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09-02-19 11:27 AM #15
You a bitch? Originally Posted by Big Bear
You realize there ain’t no dudes in that gif right?
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09-02-19 11:59 AM #16
Those are the ML funds. Originally Posted by 2daBank
Two more strategies...ATS/ML Fund and NCAAF Visiting Dog Fund will produce spread bets.
And for some metrics, you are right. We need to see some market Totals and see just what compression factors we're dealing with.
Those early moneylines need to be picked up. Some lines will get away from me, but buying early should have those Funds beating the close, at least the UPSET Basket.
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09-02-19 11:59 AM #17
Originally Posted by 2daBank
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09-02-19 12:02 PM #18
Don't forget Qeefland Indians, they'll roll too. Originally Posted by 2daBank
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09-02-19 12:04 PM #19
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09-02-19 12:08 PM #20
Go long!! Originally Posted by funnyb25
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09-02-19 12:20 PM #21
K I grabbed Cal +13 1/2 this morning. Cal going to make some noise this year.
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09-02-19 12:25 PM #22
Hopefully yanks game is played.. Originally Posted by 2daBank
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09-02-19 12:48 PM #23
There's the Totals, ATS/ML, UPSET Basket, Visiting Dog Funds this year.
I added one more, the Visiting Dog ML Fund...
As with the others we'll be watching the comparison to the closer and win rates vs the numbers as the season unfolds. Originally Posted by KVB
The KVB NCAAF Visiting Dog ML Fund, like some of the other funds, seeks to exploit the inefficiencies of road underdog market. This is another moneyline basket of bets that uses stacking percentages forecasts along with market analysis to determine if we have enough value in the marketplace to pull the trigger.
The moneylines are slightly larger dog bets and therefore we expect to lose more bets than we win. Sometimes it takes patience to get the win. I expect close to 120 plays and this tracking can be used as a gauge of that market. This is a market function but doesn’t quite look like the UPSET basket because while patience for the win can be true for a season, it’s also true over the longer haul. When this market does get hot, it gets hot.
Early season stacking forecasts should not do as well as when the market matures but just like the UPSET basket, evidence over the years shows the difference isn’t enough to overcome the market analysis of the early season.
Here's the long term chart going back to 2005, like the UPSET Basket function, and notice market drops have always recovered. The bigger drops and recoveries are the broader nature of a Fund that will win about 30% of it's bets bet get paid with a positive expected value for those bets won...
The exciting thing here is that last season was negative units (-7), which has happened only twice by seasons end since the beginning.
What makes it exciting is that last season saw drop of 30 UNITS mid season, 10 of those units were made back by season end.
Here's last year's performance chart in units....
I think we go sideways and upward over the next few seasons and I think it's a good idea to jump into this Fund now.
Of course, we expect big things from the KVB NCAAF Visiting Dog ML Fund but we must remember that this a bigger moneyline Fund and recognize that the odds of each play winning are far less, but we're getting paid what we think is value for that play...
Could see a rebound in this Fund, and it could give us double digit units over 120 plays.
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09-02-19 01:52 PM #24
I'm liking it so far with the Braves up 2 runs early.. Hope this sticks Bankers Originally Posted by 2daBank
.. https://sports.yahoo.com/mlb/toronto...ves-390902115/
I'm not betting much I'm not to fond of this schedule today. Just riding the red hot braves -1.5. Yanks game looks like a rain out by the way.. No start time.
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09-02-19 01:56 PM #25
Picked another UPSET basket play for Saturday...
Originally Posted by KVB
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09-02-19 01:59 PM #26
Built like a tank and hard to hit.. Strong arm too.. Impressive, that's my kind of girl right there!! Originally Posted by KVB
Go long!!
..
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09-02-19 02:05 PM #27
The Visiting Dog Fund is in the game for next week...
Originally Posted by KVB
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09-02-19 02:09 PM #28
KVB
You got a thread for that visiting Dog Fund?
Love to increase wagers on dogs as a way to hit low % but be +$$$$
Would love to follow in separate thread
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09-02-19 02:16 PM #29
Espn dickheads said they anticipated them getting it in. Of course they also said at 1st of broadcast it wouldn’t be a long delay which was obviously a lie. Lol. Originally Posted by JIBBBY
I'm liking it so far with the Braves up 2 runs early.. Hope this sticks Bankers.. https://sports.yahoo.com/mlb/toronto...ves-390902115/
I'm not betting much I'm not to fond of this schedule today. Just riding the red hot braves -1.5. Yanks game looks like a rain out by the way.. No start time.
Cards and Braves ml’s the most important 2 for me. Have them in 2 team parlay then used them as base for several other 3-4 teamers. I stayed away from Tampa, have yanks on top of those other 2, have twinks for another that doesn’t have Braves (might been a bad idea, Zimmerman pitching strong game. Also have cards ff -.5 -130 straight.
On another note muts are hot again all a sudden. I thought getting swept by cubs at home was gonna bury them. Pretty impressive they went on road and bounced back!! Hell of a race we have setting up for the NL wc spots!!
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09-02-19 02:18 PM #30
When espn cane on air at beginning they said they anticipated it being played. Honestly I’d be fine if it got rained out, I was lazy and didn’t check weather, rather not be on huge fav w long delay as that tends to make result even more random!! Lol Originally Posted by GzaTheGenius
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09-02-19 02:22 PM #31
Honestly didn’t know shit about their starter and was too lazy to cap these expensive ass favs, lol. Originally Posted by juicername
Kinda like nfl teasers I find when going this favorite parlay route (which If you follow me at all betting bases you would know I hate! lol) you better off w the less is more approach, inevitably couple those favs will go down.
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09-02-19 02:23 PM #32
That description, along with every play posted in these daily threads, come from one thread. I am copying all the original posts from that thread so you can click on any on of them to take you there. Originally Posted by MinnesotaFats
It will get updated each week and I'll post the whole list of plays again as we get closer to the games.
Did the same kinda of review for the UPSET Basket, which was tracked last year.
Here are the recent reviews of the other KVB Family of Funds running this year...
NCAAF Totals Fund
ATS/ML Fund
Visiting Dog Fund
The UPSET Basket has more detail.
There will be 5 Funds total and we should see more than 550 plays this season between them all.
We are grinding here...
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09-02-19 02:28 PM #33
Where the fukk are those threads bro? In saloon? I’ve never seen them! Lol
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09-02-19 02:31 PM #34
Jibbs I think as I been saying all year if you wanna play -1.5 on home favs in most cases you be far better off taking ff -.5. I almost never lay 1.5 on home teams unless I have a really high total for game.
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09-02-19 02:33 PM #35
Of course Braves gonna win by 1 today, when I had +1.5 on Chisox yesterday and Braves win by 2.. that game was a kick in the nuts, all chisox had to do was pitch around freeman and they for sure only lose by 1 if not win, yet they just kept pitching to him and getting burnt. lol.
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